Bank of America Predicts Blue Owl Stock Will Continue Its Rebound Rally

Aditya Raghunath4 minute read
Reviewed by: Thomas Richmond
Last updated May 4, 2026

Key Stats for Blue Owl Stock

  • Price change for Blue Owl stock: 2%
  • $OWL Share Price as of May. 1: $10
  • 52-Week High: $21
  • $OWL Stock Price Target: $13

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What Happened?

Blue Owl (OWL) stock surged nearly 10% last Thursday after the company revealed something investors weren’t expecting: it made roughly 10 times its initial investment in SpaceX.

  • The disclosure came during the company’s Q1 2026 earnings call. Co-CEO Marc Lipschultz confirmed that Blue Owl had already sold about half of its SpaceX position at a $1.25 trillion valuation and still holds the remainder.
  • That’s a massive win for a firm that started simply as a lender to the space company.
  • The gain matters for more than just the headline number. It could help offset potential losses in Blue Owl’s software lending portfolio — an area that’s been under pressure as AI disrupts the industry.
  • Blue Owl stock had been weighed down by those concerns all year, falling more than 34% in 2026.

Beyond SpaceX, Q1 results were solid across the board.

  • Fee-related earnings rose 14% year-over-year.
  • Assets under management grew as the firm continued pulling in new capital — $11 billion raised in Q1 alone.
  • Management also reaffirmed its target of a 58.5% fee-related earnings margin for the full year, even assuming the fundraising environment stays soft.
OWL Stock Revenue and EBIT Estimates in Billion USD (TIKR)

On the credit side, loan-to-value ratios have ticked up in the software portfolio as public valuations fell, but executives were direct about the cushion that remains.

The average loan-to-value across the tech lending book is now in the low 40s — still well below the level where losses would typically appear.

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What the Market Is Telling Us About Blue Owl Stock

Bank of America analyst Craig Siegenthaler kept his buy rating on Blue Owl stock after earnings, though he trimmed his price target by $3 to $18. Even at that lower target, the implied upside is close to 85% from where shares were trading.

Siegenthaler’s note said Blue Owl stock has “attractive valuation and investor sentiment setups” — a signal that the selloff may have gone too far relative to the business fundamentals.

With the SpaceX IPO potentially on the horizon, more upside could be coming from that remaining position too.

OWL Stock Valuation Model (TIKR)

Blue Owl stock is still deeply in the red for the year.

But Thursday was a reminder that the business itself is performing — and that the narrative around private credit risks may be more headline-driven than fundamental.

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Disclaimer:

Please note that the articles on TIKR are not intended to serve as investment or financial advice from TIKR or our content team, nor are they recommendations to buy or sell any stocks. We create our content based on TIKR Terminal’s investment data and analysts’ estimates. Our analysis might not include recent company news or important updates. TIKR has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading, and happy investing!

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