Salesforce Closed 8,000 Agentforce Deals Last Quarter. The Stock Is Still Down 26% This Year

David Beren5 minute read
Reviewed by: David Hanson
Last updated Jul 30, 2026

tumsasedgars from Getty Images, Blue Planet Studio from Getty Images

Key Stats for Salesforce Stock

  • 52-Week Range: $146.32 – $269.11
  • Current Price: $188.38
  • Street Target Price: ~$242
  • NTM P/E: ~14x
  • YTD Return: -26%
  • Market Cap: ~$154B
  • Fwd 2-Yr Revenue CAGR: ~10%

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Agentforce Is Ramping Fast. Here’s Why It Matters for Salesforce Revenue

Salesforce (CRM) built its business on CRM software, which stands for customer relationship management. The core product helps businesses track sales pipelines, manage customer data, and run marketing campaigns from a single platform.

For years, that business compounded at 20%-plus revenue growth as companies migrated operations to the cloud. Growth has since decelerated to around 8-10%, and the stock has spent most of 2026 selling off as investors questioned whether the next growth leg was real.

Agentforce is the answer management is betting on. It is Salesforce’s AI agent platform, meaning it allows businesses to deploy software that autonomously handles complex tasks including answering customer inquiries, qualifying sales leads, and resolving IT tickets without a human in the loop.

The distinction from basic AI chatbots is that Agentforce agents can take actions inside Salesforce’s existing product suite rather than simply generating responses. More than 8,000 deals have been closed, and Data Cloud, the underlying data infrastructure that powers those agents, grew 120% year over year in Q1 FY2027.

Results came in ahead of expectations, as revenue reached $9.83 billion, up 8% year over year, with non-GAAP EPS of $2.58, up 10%.

Current remaining performance obligations, a forward-looking indicator of contracted future revenue, grew 11% to $29.5 billion. Non-GAAP operating margin held at 33.1%. CEO Marc Benioff called Agentforce “the most successful product launch in Salesforce’s history.”

Salesforce Revenue Estimates. (TIKR)

Estimates show revenue climbing from $41.5 billion in FY2026 toward $68.8 billion by FY2031, embedding the assumption that Agentforce begins moving the needle meaningfully over the next several years.

Whether those estimates prove right depends almost entirely on whether enterprise customers renew and expand contracts at the rates Salesforce is projecting.

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The Profitability Transformation Investors Are Underestimating

While the revenue growth debate dominates the Salesforce conversation, the more dramatic change over the past five years has been on the profitability side.

Operating income was $455 million in FY2021 and $548 million in FY2022, when the company was spending aggressively on sales, marketing, and acquisitions. Following pressure from activist investors, priorities shifted sharply, and the results were striking.

From $1.9 billion in FY2023, the figure climbed to $6.0 billion in FY2024, $7.7 billion in FY2025, and $8.9 billion in FY2026. In five years, operating income grew nearly 20 times while revenue roughly doubled.

Salesforce Operating Income. (TIKR)

The non-GAAP operating margin of 33.1% reflects that new reality. Salesforce is no longer trading profitability for growth.

It generates substantial free cash flow, maintains a 78% gross margin, and has shown that the business model delivers meaningful earnings even at moderate revenue growth rates.

The open question is whether Agentforce can push revenue back toward double digits, which would make the current valuation look very attractive in hindsight.

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What the Valuation Model Says About Salesforce Stock

The TIKR valuation model mid-case target comes out toaround $367, representing a potential total return of roughly 95% at around 16% annualized over 4.5 years. The model assumes revenue growing at around 12% annually, net income margins expanding to roughly 28%, and EPS compounding at around 14% per year.

Multiple compression of about 2% per year is baked in, meaning returns are driven by earnings growth rather than re-rating.

Salesforce Valuation Model. (TIKR)

At roughly 14 times forward earnings, Salesforce sits well below the multiples it commanded during its high-growth years and near the low end of its post-2022 range.

The Street consensus target of around $242 implies roughly 28% upside from current levels. The high case reaches around $809 at roughly 19% annualized, though that requires sustained double-digit revenue reacceleration that current estimates do not yet reflect.

Should You Buy Salesforce Stock?

Salesforce at $188 is a different proposition than it was at $269 earlier this year. The business is generating nearly $9 billion in operating income annually, Agentforce is showing early signs of genuine enterprise traction, and the valuation has compressed to levels that price in almost no growth improvement.

The risk is that 8-10% revenue growth becomes the new normal rather than a trough, in which case the current multiple may be more justified than it appears.

For investors who believe AI agents represent a genuine new revenue layer for enterprise software, Salesforce is one of the more compelling setups in large-cap tech right now.

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Disclaimer:

Please note that the articles on TIKR are not intended to serve as investment or financial advice from TIKR or our content team, nor are they recommendations to buy or sell any stocks. We create our content based on TIKR Terminal’s investment data and analysts’ estimates. Our analysis might not include recent company news or important updates. TIKR has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading, and happy investing!

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