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KKR Stock Is Down 33% From Its 52-Week High. Here’s What Q1 Earnings Mean Going Forward

Rexielyn Diaz6 minute read
Reviewed by: David Hanson
Last updated May 5, 2026

Key Stats for KKR Stock

  • Past week’s performance: 4%
  • 52-week range: $83 to $154
  • Valuation model target price: $147
  • Implied upside: 42.2% over 2.7 years

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What Happened?

KKR & Co. (KKR) rose about 4% over the past week, but shares are still well below the 52-week high of $154. The stock currently trades near $103, which is about 33% below its peak. Investors are paying close attention to Q1 2026 earnings being reported today on May 5, 2026.

KKR is a global alternative asset manager. The firm invests across private equity, infrastructure, real estate, credit, and energy. It earns management fees for overseeing institutional capital and earns performance fees when investments generate strong returns. So the firm’s earnings power ties closely to deal activity, asset valuations, and capital market conditions.

The deal pipeline has been highly active in recent months. KKR acquired U.S. bakery chain Nothing Bundt Cakes for over $2 billion from Roark Capital. The firm is also reportedly preparing a new $10 billion AI-focused company led by a former Amazon Web Services executive. GMR Solutions, a KKR-backed emergency medical services firm, filed for an IPO targeting a $5 billion valuation. So capital deployment and monetization activity remain strong despite broader market uncertainty.

On the exit side, KKR agreed to sell Axius Water to CRH. Ecolab also neared a deal to acquire the firm’s CoolIT Systems unit for between $4.5 billion and $5 billion. If KKR stock continues to recover from its pullback, today’s Q1 results will be a key test of whether deal momentum and fee earnings can support a higher multiple.

See analysts’ growth forecasts and price targets for KKR (It’s free) >>>

Is KKR Stock Undervalued?

KKR Guided Valuation Model (TIKR)

Under valuation model assumptions realized through 12/31/28, the stock is modeled using:

  • Revenue growth (CAGR): 14%
  • Operating Margins: 76.3%
  • Exit P/E Multiple: 16.8x

Based on these inputs, the model estimates a target price of $147, implying 42.2% total upside from the current share price and a 14.1% annualized return over the next 2.7 years.

A 14.1% annualized return is well above the 10% threshold that typically defines an attractive investment. And because the stock has already pulled back more than 30% from its 52-week high, the model’s upside case looks compelling for long-term investors willing to hold through near-term volatility.

KKR Revenue (TIKR)

Revenue growth of 14.0% reflects a strong but measured outlook for KKR’s asset management franchise. The firm’s 5-year revenue CAGR was 29.3%, and its 10-year CAGR was 21.0%, so the model actually assumes a meaningful deceleration from recent history.

But fee-earning assets under management have grown steadily, and KKR continues to expand into new asset classes and geographies. So the 14.0% growth assumption appears achievable.

Operating margins of 76.3% reflect the highly scalable economics of alternative asset management. KKR earns management and performance fees with limited incremental cost growth at scale. The firm’s gross margin was already 57% on a trailing basis.

An exit P/E of 16.8x is reasonable for a business of this quality and growth profile, and the current NTM P/E of around 17x already sits near the model’s exit multiple. Wall Street’s consensus target of $123 is more conservative but still implies over 19% upside from current levels.

What’s Driving KKR Stock Going Forward?

Q1 2026 earnings are the most immediate catalyst, with results due today. Investors will focus on fee-related earnings, which are the portion of income from management fees that does not depend on market-sensitive performance bonuses. Strong fee-related earnings growth would confirm that KKR’s franchise is compounding steadily regardless of short-term market conditions.

The AI buildout represents a major emerging growth driver for KKR. The firm is reportedly preparing a $10 billion AI-focused investment vehicle led by a former Amazon Web Services executive. And KKR partnered with Samsung SDS to drive long-term value creation in technology. So KKR is actively positioning itself at the center of one of the biggest capital allocation trends of this decade.

Infrastructure and energy transition investing also represent a growing opportunity. KKR is committed to climate transition strategies through its Alterra partnership and formed a $310 million partnership with PMI Electro to scale an electric bus platform.

These positions tie the portfolio to secular trends in clean energy and physical infrastructure, which are drawing long-term institutional capital at an accelerating pace.

Sports and media investments are emerging as a newer frontier. KKR recently took a minority stake in MLS NEXT Pro’s growth platform through Hometown Soccer Holdings. Co-CEO Scott Nuttall also personally purchased 50,000 KKR shares at around $88 each in late February, signaling strong insider conviction at prices below current levels. Because insider buying at this scale is rare, it adds an additional bullish signal alongside the model’s implied upside.

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Should You Invest in KKR & Co.?

The only way to really know is to look at the numbers yourself. TIKR gives you free access to the same institutional-quality financial data that professional analysts use to answer exactly that question.

Pull up KKR, and you’ll see years of historical financials, what Wall Street analysts expect for revenue and earnings in the quarters ahead, how valuation multiples have moved over time, and whether price targets are trending up or down.

You can build a free watchlist to track KKR alongside every other stock on your radar. No credit card required. Just the data you need to decide for yourself.

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Disclaimer:

Please note that the articles on TIKR are not intended to serve as investment or financial advice from TIKR or our content team, nor are they recommendations to buy or sell any stocks. We create our content based on TIKR Terminal’s investment data and analysts’ estimates. Our analysis might not include recent company news or important updates. TIKR has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading, and happy investing!

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