Key Stats for Walmart Stock
- Past-Week Performance: 4.5%
- 52-week Range: $80 to $121
- Valuation Model Target Price: $127
- Implied Upside: 5.7% over 2.0 years
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What Happened?
Walmart (WMT) rose about 4.5% over the past week, moving steadily higher and approaching its recent highs before finishing just below the $121 level.
Shares climbed after Walmart detailed a new push to integrate its core shopping experience for both Walmart and Sam’s Club directly into Google’s Gemini AI platform.
The update highlighted how customers will be able to search for products, see prices, and complete purchases inside the AI interface itself, effectively creating a new, AI-driven entry point for Walmart’s e-commerce business.
The announcement helped reframe Walmart’s AI efforts from long-term experimentation to near-term execution.
By shortening the path from product discovery to checkout and using account-level data to personalize recommendations, the integration has the potential to improve conversion rates without requiring incremental store expansion.
That shift supported buying interest during the week, as investors reacted to signs that Walmart’s multi-year investments in AI and automation are beginning to translate into practical, customer-facing tools that could support growth and efficiency at scale.
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Is Walmart Undervalued Right Now?
Under valuation model assumptions, the stock is modeled using:
- Revenue Growth (CAGR): 4.9%
- Operating Margins: 4.7%
- Exit P/E Multiple: 37.0x
Based on these inputs, the model estimates a target price of $127, implying 5.7% total upside from the recent share price over the next 2.0 years, or about 2.8% per year.
Looking ahead, results depend on how effectively Walmart converts its massive store and online traffic into incremental profit.
Improvements in fulfillment density, automation, and labor productivity help lower per-order costs, while Walmart Connect adds higher-margin advertising revenue that scales on top of existing sales.
Together, these factors help explain why Walmart continues to trade near recent highs.
The valuation reflects steady execution and incremental efficiency gains rather than outsized growth, with AI-enabled tools supporting durability more than explosive upside.
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