Nasdaq Stock Gets a Boost As Morgan Stanley Raises Earnings Estimates for Exchanges Ahead of Q1 Reports

Aditya Raghunath4 minute read
Reviewed by: Thomas Richmond
Last updated Apr 12, 2026

Key Stats for Nasdaq Stock

  • YTD price change for Nasdaq stock Today: -14%
  • $NDAQ Stock Price as of Apr. 10: $83
  • 52-Week High: $102
  • $NDAQ Stock Price Target: $107

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What Happened?

Morgan Stanley is raising its near-term earnings estimates for brokers and exchanges ahead of Q1 reports, with analyst Michael Cyprys pointing to strong trading activity driven by market volatility and geopolitical uncertainty as the key tailwind.

Nasdaq (NDAQ) stock is one of the names the firm specifically called out as a preferred pick in the group.

  • The firm trimmed its price targets across the sector by about 6% but still sees roughly 16% upside from current levels.
  • Morgan Stanley flagged Nasdaq and Schwab as “defensive ballast” — steady, reliable names that hold up well even in uncertain markets.
  • That framing fits with the Nasdaq stock’s business mix, which has become increasingly recurring and software-driven over the past few years.
NDAQ Stock Revenue, EBIT, and Free Cash Flow Estimates in Billion USD (TIKR)

The nuance in the note is worth paying attention to. While near-term results look solid, Morgan Stanley also slightly reduced its longer-term growth expectations, suggesting earnings revision momentum could fade as the current volatility-driven trading environment normalizes.

The firm lowered its view on Robinhood specifically, citing a slowdown in crypto trading and new customer asset growth.

See analysts’ growth forecasts and price targets for Nasdaq stock (It’s free) >>>

What the Market Is Telling Us About Nasdaq Stock

Nasdaq stock enters this period on strong footing.

  • The company crossed $5 billion in annual revenue for the first time in 2025, growing net revenue 12% and
  • delivering 24% diluted EPS growth for the full year.
  • Operating income was $2.9 billion, up 16%
  • Its Financial Technology division grew 11%, and the Financial Crime Management business — one of its fastest-growing segments — expanded 22% for the year.

The broader narrative around Nasdaq stock has shifted meaningfully over the past few years.

  • The exchange business still matters, but solutions revenue now makes up 76% of total net revenue.
  • That mix shift makes the business more predictable and less dependent on any single quarter of trading volume.
NDAQ Stock Valuation Model (TIKR)

With volatility elevated and capital markets activity picking up, the near-term setup looks favorable.

Morgan Stanley’s framing of Nasdaq as defensive ballast — rather than a high-beta trading play — reflects just how much the business has changed.

For investors looking for stability in a choppy market, that positioning is worth taking seriously.

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How Much Upside Does Nasdaq Stock Have From Here?

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Disclaimer:

Please note that the articles on TIKR are not intended to serve as investment or financial advice from TIKR or our content team, nor are they recommendations to buy or sell any stocks. We create our content based on TIKR Terminal’s investment data and analysts’ estimates. Our analysis might not include recent company news or important updates. TIKR has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading, and happy investing!

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