Lucid Group Fell 4% Last Week. Here’s Why the Stock Could Have 180% Upside

Wiltone Asuncion3 minute read
Reviewed by: Thomas Richmond
Last updated Jan 26, 2026

Key Stats for Lucid Group Stock

  • Price Change: -3.6%
  • Current Price: $11
  • Advanced Model Price Target: $31

The Street targets $14. The Model targets $31. Who is right? Run the numbers on TIKR →

What Happened This Week?

Lucid Group (LCID) shares fell 3.6% to close at $11 on Friday, pulling back alongside the broader EV sector as investors digested updates from the 53rd Annual Nasdaq Investor Conference.

Despite the dip, the company emphasized its technological leadership, with management highlighting that the Lucid Air remains the “most award-winning EV in the space.”

Lucid Group Stock Price Target (TIKR)

Is Lucid Group (LCID) Undervalued Today?

The investment case for Lucid Group (LCID) is pivoting from pure manufacturing to software-defined luxury.

At the Nasdaq conference, CEO Marc Winterhoff detailed how the company is using AI to accelerate its vehicle development cycle.

Additionally, he explained that for new development vehicles, “it’s training the algorithm based on that new vehicle together with the driver.”

Furthermore, Winterhoff noted that once the initial validation is done, the process becomes about “computing power and training the vehicles in other locations.”

Moreover, he stated that this “AI-based technology works much faster than it used to in the past.”

According to TIKR’s Advanced Valuation Model, the market is pricing Lucid as a distressed auto manufacturer rather than a high-growth tech platform.

  • Advanced Model Price Target: $31
  • Current Price: $11
  • Potential Upside: +179.0%

The model assumes Lucid Group (LCID) can deliver a massive 35.7% revenue CAGR through 2030 as it scales production of the Gravity SUV and enters mass-market segments.

Furthermore, this aggressive growth profile supports a significant valuation premium, provided the company can stabilize its cash burn and execute on its AI-driven manufacturing efficiencies.

Conclusion: Lucid Group (LCID) is using AI to shrink its R&D timeline. With a valuation model pointing to $31 and a technology lead that management claims is “faster than the past,” the current price of $11 offers a high-risk, high-reward entry point.

See the full Lucid Group forecast on TIKR >>>

How Much Upside Does Lucid Group Stock Have From Here?

With TIKR’s new Valuation Model tool, you can estimate a stock’s potential share price in under a minute.

All it takes is three simple inputs:

  1. Revenue Growth
  2. Operating Margins
  3. Exit P/E Multiple

If you’re not sure what to enter, TIKR automatically fills in each input using analysts’ consensus estimates, giving you a quick, reliable starting point.

From there, TIKR calculates the potential share price and total returns under Bull, Base, and Bear scenarios so you can quickly see whether a stock looks undervalued or overvalued.

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Disclaimer:

Please note that the articles on TIKR are not intended to serve as investment or financial advice from TIKR or our content team, nor are they recommendations to buy or sell any stocks. We create our content based on TIKR Terminal’s investment data and analysts’ estimates. Our analysis might not include recent company news or important updates. TIKR has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading, and happy investing!

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