Key Stats for JPMorgan Stock
- This-Week Performance: 5%
- 52-Week Range: $202 to $337
- Valuation Model Target Price: $378
- Implied Upside: 17%
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What Happened?
JPMorgan Chase & Co. stock rose about 5% this week, finishing near $322 per share, as investors reacted to a stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings report and renewed confidence in the bank’s earnings power. The move reflected sustained buying interest rather than a one-day reaction, reinforcing the view that JPMorgan continues to outperform peers even as interest rates normalize.
Shares moved higher after JPMorgan delivered a clear earnings beat, reporting revenue of $46.8 billion and EPS of $4.63, which included a previously disclosed $2.2 billion reserve build tied to the Apple Card portfolio.
Excluding that reserve impact, strength across markets, asset and wealth management, and consumer banking drove a roughly 4% post-earnings gain, which accounted for most of this week’s advance.
Analyst activity added support during the week, with firms reiterating constructive views following the results. Commentary centered on JPMorgan’s scale, diversified revenue mix, and resilient credit performance as reasons earnings remain durable into 2026.
The Street’s average price target sits around $343, suggesting additional upside even with shares trading near the upper end of their $202 to $337 52-week range.
Institutional positioning provided further context. While some funds trimmed exposure, including Summit Global Investments cutting its stake by 61.8% and Great Lakes Advisors reducing holdings by 2.0%, larger investors continued to add.
Foundations Investment Advisors increased its position by 9.1%, AE Wealth Management raised its stake by 11.6%, and Norges Bank disclosed a new stake worth roughly $10.3 billion, leaving institutional ownership at about 71.6% and signaling sustained long-term confidence.
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Is JPMorgan Chase Undervalued?
Under valuation assumptions, the stock is modeled using:
- Revenue Growth (CAGR): 4.7%
- Operating Margins: 45.9%
- Exit P/E Multiple: 13.5x
Revenue growth in the model reflects steady expansion rather than a rebound cycle, consistent with the revenue chart showing normalization after the 2023 spike and low-to-mid single-digit growth in the years ahead.
That trajectory is supported by JPMorgan’s diversified franchise across consumer banking, cards, payments, capital markets, and asset and wealth management.
Earnings durability is reinforced by multiple drivers working together. Card loan growth remains supported by strong customer engagement, capital markets activity is positioned to improve as deal pipelines reopen, and asset and wealth management continues to benefit from higher market levels and sustained net inflows. These factors help offset pressure from a more normalized interest rate environment.
Based on these inputs, the TIKR Guided Valuation Model estimates a target price of $378, implying roughly 17% total upside into 2026, or approximately 5.6% per year, which points to modest undervaluation at current prices under your boss’s framework. Returns are driven more by earnings quality and consistency than by multiple expansion.
Results over the next year hinge on execution across several key areas. Credit performance, investment banking recovery, deposit behavior, and continued technology investment all shape the earnings path, while strong free cash flow supports dividends and buybacks that enhance per-share results.
At current levels, JPMorgan appears undervalued, with future performance tied to earnings durability, diversified growth engines, and disciplined capital allocation rather than a sharp macro rebound.
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