CGNX Stock Has Rallied 36% After Q4 Earnings. Here’s Why This Changed the Narrative

Rexielyn Diaz4 minute read
Reviewed by: Thomas Richmond
Last updated Feb 15, 2026

Key Stats for CGNX Stock

  • Price change for CGNX stock: +36.4%
  • CGNX Share Price as of February 13: $58.83
  • 52-Week High: $59.88
  • CGNX Stock Price Target: $48.05

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What Happened?

Cognex Corporation (CGNX) shares moved sharply higher in 2026 after the company delivered a fourth-quarter earnings report that exceeded Wall Street expectations, with profitability improving meaningfully despite continued variability in end-market demand.

Revenue for the quarter totaled $252.3 million, which came in ahead of analyst estimates of $238.9 million and marked an increase from $229.7 million reported in the same quarter last year, reflecting modest year-over-year growth.

While revenue declined sequentially compared to the prior quarter, the earnings report showed that profitability improved at a faster pace, which appeared to be the primary driver behind the stock’s positive reaction.

CGNX Stock Q4 Earnings vs. Estimates (TIKR)

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EBITDA reached $57.3 million, substantially above the $45.3 million analysts had forecast, as operating discipline and cost controls contributed to stronger-than-expected earnings leverage.

As a result, EBITDA margins expanded to 22.7%, well ahead of the 19.0% consensus estimate and up meaningfully from the prior-year period.

Operating income also exceeded expectations by a wide margin, with EBIT totaling $52.7 million, representing a 35%+ beat versus estimates, while EBIT margins expanded by 460 basis points year over year.

Adjusted earnings per share came in at $0.27, surpassing the $0.22 estimate and improving from $0.20 in the prior-year quarter, further reinforcing the company’s margin recovery narrative.

What the Market Is Telling Us About CGNX Stock

The strong rally in CGNX shares, which are now up 36% in 2026, suggests that investors are increasingly focused on the company’s improving profitability profile rather than near-term revenue volatility across its industrial and electronics end markets.

Although sequential revenue softness points to ongoing demand uncertainty, the sharp improvement in margins indicates that management’s efficiency initiatives are having a tangible impact on earnings power.

However, despite the stock trading near its 52-week high of $59.88, analyst price targets remain meaningfully below current levels, highlighting a disconnect between recent market enthusiasm and longer-term valuation expectations.

This divergence suggests that while investors are rewarding near-term execution, analysts remain cautious about the sustainability of growth and multiple expansion over the coming years.

CGNX Stock Valuation Model (TIKR)

The current analyst consensus points to a $48.05 price target, which sits below today’s share price and implies downside from current levels.

This valuation reflects more conservative assumptions around future revenue growth, margin durability, and exit multiples compared to what the market is currently pricing in.

As a result, CGNX stock appears to be trading ahead of consensus valuation estimates, even after factoring in the company’s recent earnings outperformance.

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Disclaimer:

Please note that the articles on TIKR are not intended to serve as investment or financial advice from TIKR or our content team, nor are they recommendations to buy or sell any stocks. We create our content based on TIKR Terminal’s investment data and analysts’ estimates. Our analysis might not include recent company news or important updates. TIKR has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading, and happy investing!

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