Key Stats for Amphenol Corporation Stock
- Past-Week Performance: -7%
- 52-week Range: $56 to $167
- Valuation Model Target Price: $220
- Implied Upside: 52.6% over 2.9 years
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What Happened?
Amphenol stock fell about 7% over the past week, pulling back after a strong run earlier this year. The decline developed early in the week and then stabilized, pointing to a reset in positioning rather than a deterioration in demand across the company’s core end markets.
The drop was driven primarily by institutional selling, as several large holders trimmed exposure following recent gains.
Mawer reduced its stake by 20.4%, selling 1,517,720 shares, while TD Waterhouse Canada cut its position by 9.9%, selling 9,777 shares.
Principal Financial Group also trimmed its stake by 2.2%, selling 61,340 shares, adding near-term supply that weighed on the stock.
That selling was partially offset by continued accumulation from other institutions. Convergence Investment Partners increased its position by 59.9% to 19,300 shares, Mirae Asset Global Investments raised its stake by 44.7% to 247,728 shares, and Win Advisors opened a new position with 13,712 shares.
With institutional investors collectively owning about 97% of Amphenol, last week’s move reflected portfolio rebalancing rather than broad institutional exit.
Looking ahead, attention is shifting toward demand trends in AI infrastructure, automotive electronics, and defense programs as the next earnings report approaches.
After last week’s ownership-driven pullback, the stock appears to be consolidating as positioning normalizes rather than signaling a change in Amphenol’s longer-term growth trajectory.
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Is Amphenol Undervalued?
Under valuation assumptions, the stock is modeled using:
- Revenue Growth (CAGR): 18.2%
- Operating Margins: 27.0%
- Exit P/E Multiple: 32.3x
Based on these inputs, the model estimates a target price of $220, implying 52.6% total upside from current levels over the next 2.9 years.
Over the next year, results are likely shaped by continued expansion in AI and data center infrastructure, where increasing system complexity is driving higher connector content and supporting above-market growth.
Automotive electrification, advanced safety systems, and defense programs also remain important contributors, as each trend increases the amount of connectivity Amphenol supplies per platform.
Margin performance remains closely tied to mix improvement, with growing exposure to higher-value interconnect solutions supporting pricing power and operating leverage even if broader demand fluctuates.
At current levels, Amphenol appears undervalued, with future performance likely driven by sustained AI-related demand, expanding content per system, and margin resilience rather than short-term sentiment swings.
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