Key Stats for Texas Instruments Stock
- Past-Week Performance: 12%
- 52-Week Range: $140 to $222
- Valuation Model Target Price: $324
- Implied Upside: 50.4% over 2.9 years
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What Happened?
Texas Instruments stock rose about 12% over the past week, finishing near $216 after trading higher across most sessions.
The move pushed shares toward the upper end of their recent range and marked a rebound following a prolonged period of muted performance.
The advance was supported by fresh analyst action. JPMorgan raised its price target on Texas Instruments to $227 from $210 and reiterated an Overweight rating, implying roughly 5% upside from recent levels.
The update helped reset expectations around earnings durability as investors reassessed downside risk following the analog semiconductor downturn.
Institutional positioning also kept the stock in focus. TD Waterhouse Canada increased its stake by 25.6%, adding 7,405 shares to bring its holdings to 36,275 shares valued at about $6.5 million. Donaldson Capital Management raised its position by 1.6% to 337,569 shares, making Texas Instruments roughly 2.0% of its portfolio.
National Pension Service also increased its stake by 2.5% to nearly 1.95 million shares, reinforcing support from large, long-term holders.
Those increases offset reductions elsewhere, including a 94.3% stake cut by Trinity Legacy Partners and a 5.3% trim by Truist Financial, pointing to selective repositioning rather than broad-based selling. With institutional ownership still near 85% and analyst sentiment turning more constructive.
Last week’s advance reflected a shift in expectations toward stabilization and improving earnings visibility rather than a single headline-driven catalyst.
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Is Texas Instruments Undervalued?
Under valuation assumptions, the stock is modeled using:
- Revenue Growth (CAGR): 10.6%
- Operating Margins: 39.0%
- Exit P/E Multiple: 29.9x
Based on these inputs, the model estimates a target price of $324, implying 50.4% total upside from current levels over the next 2.9 years.
Over the next year, results are likely shaped by whether industrial and automotive demand continues to stabilize, as these end markets represent a large share of Texas Instruments’ revenue and carry meaningful operating leverage.
Even modest improvements in order flow can support margins given the company’s largely fixed manufacturing cost structure.
Capital spending discipline and internal fab utilization remain important, as tighter control supports free cash flow and limits the risk of oversupply weighing on returns. With operating margins near 39% and returns on invested capital above 20%.
Texas Instruments appears undervalued, with future performance likely driven by earnings normalization and margin resilience as the cycle gradually improves.
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