Key Stats for TJX Stock
- Past-Week Performance: -2%
- 52-Week Range: $112 to $159
- Valuation Model Target Price: $157
- Implied Upside: 4.6% over 2.0 years
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What Happened?
The TJX Companies stock slipped about 2% over the past week, ending near $150, as selling pressure followed a strong run toward recent highs.
The stock moved lower as investors reacted to disclosed institutional selling from the third quarter and reduced exposure near TJX’s $159 52-week high, limiting follow-through buying late in the week.
AustralianSuper disclosed one of the largest moves, cutting its TJX position by 97.1%, selling 415,890 shares and retaining 12,383 shares valued at about $1.79 million.
Other firms also trimmed exposure. LBP AM SA reduced its stake by 90.7%, selling 69,241 shares and ending the quarter with 7,068 shares worth roughly $1.02 million, while J. Safra Sarasin Holding AG cut its position by 76.1%, selling 32,529 shares and retaining 10,233 shares valued at about $1.48 million.
Truist Financial Corp made a smaller adjustment, trimming its stake by 2.7% to 519,643 shares, still valued near $75 million.
Not all institutional activity skewed negative. AlphaQuest LLC increased its TJX stake by 137.5% to 30,833 shares worth about $4.46 million, making TJX its 24th-largest holding at roughly 0.3% of assets.
With institutional ownership still high at 91.09%, last week’s decline reflected portfolio rebalancing and profit-taking, not a deterioration in TJX’s underlying business performance.
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Is TJX Undervalued?
Under valuation model assumptions, the stock is modeled using:
- Revenue Growth (CAGR): 6.2%
- Operating Margins: 11.9%
- Exit P/E Multiple: 25.8x
Based on these inputs, the model estimates a target price of $157, implying 4.6% total upside from current levels over the next 2.0 years.
TJX appears fairly valued at current levels, with longer-term performance likely driven by consistent execution and resilient demand rather than a dramatic valuation re-rating.
Looking ahead, results are likely shaped by TJX’s ability to sustain store traffic as higher-income consumers continue trading down into off-price retail while value-focused shoppers remain selective.
Favorable inventory availability from brand partners supports merchandise margins while preserving pricing flexibility.
Execution across store productivity, freight efficiency, and labor discipline remains important, especially with margins already near the upper end of historical levels.
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