Strategy Stock Jumps 26% on Bitcoin Relief Rally: Why Analysts Still See High Volatility Around a $406 Target

Rexielyn Diaz4 minute read
Reviewed by: Thomas Richmond
Last updated Feb 7, 2026

Key Stats for MSTR Stock

  • Price Change for MSTR stock today: about 26%
  • $MSTR Share Price as of Feb. 6: $134.93
  • 52-Week High: $457.22
  • $MSTR Stock Price Target: $405.54

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What Happened?

Strategy Inc. (MSTR), formerly MicroStrategy, rallied more than 25% on February 6 as Bitcoin rebounded from roughly $60,000 to about $71,000 in a single day, a move highlighted in crypto‑equity coverage that tied the swing directly to Bitcoin’s sharp intraday bounce.

The price spike followed Strategy’s release of fourth‑quarter and full‑year 2025 results, where the company published updated Bitcoin holdings and financial metrics on its investor‑relations site and through a Business Wire press release.

In those materials, Strategy reported that it held 713,502 bitcoins as of February 1, 2026, at a total cost of approximately $54.26 billion, or about $76,052 per coin, and explained that this position represents roughly 3.4% of all Bitcoin in circulation

During 2025, Strategy raised more than $25 billion of capital, primarily via equity and Digital Credit issuance, to acquire additional Bitcoin, a figure cited in earnings‑call summaries that compiled the company’s financing activities for the year.

The company increased its Bitcoin position by 32,470 coins in the fourth quarter alone for approximately $3.1 billion, according to the detailed Q4 2025 transaction breakdown published alongside the earnings release.​

Analysts highlighted that Strategy’s Q4 2025 loss per share of around negative $42.93 was significantly wider than the prior‑year loss and missed consensus estimates by a wide margin, as documented in transcripts and estimate‑comparison articles.

Because these swings overshadow underlying software margins, several research pieces describe MSTR less as a conventional software company and more as a leveraged way to gain Bitcoin exposure, with reported earnings dominated by crypto valuation changes rather than by core software profitability.

MSTR Stock Price Targets (TIKR)

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What the Market Is Telling Us About MSTR Stock

Recent price action suggests that investors are effectively treating Strategy as an “amplified wrapped BTC,” a term used in February commentary that compared MSTR’s 26% share‑price jump to Bitcoin’s roughly 12% rebound over the same session.​

StockAnalysis, which compiles current Wall Street research, reports an average 12‑month price target of $411.92 for MSTR, with individual targets ranging from a low of $54 to a high of $705, and notes that several firms have updated their estimates following Q4 results.

Management indicated on the Q4 2025 call that Strategy’s 713,502 bitcoins had a reported fair value of roughly $58.9 billion at the end of 2025, up from $41.8 billion a year earlier, reflecting both Bitcoin appreciation and incremental purchases made using capital raised through equity and Digital Credit offerings.

Research summaries explain that the company’s multi‑year goal is to systematically increase “Bitcoin per share,” supported by its Digital Credit strategy, though they also point out that this approach depends on continued investor demand for new securities and on Bitcoin prices that make capital raises attractive relative to underlying net asset value.

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Disclaimer:

Please note that the articles on TIKR are not intended to serve as investment or financial advice from TIKR or our content team, nor are they recommendations to buy or sell any stocks. We create our content based on TIKR Terminal’s investment data and analysts’ estimates. Our analysis might not include recent company news or important updates. TIKR has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading, and happy investing!

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