StoneCo Stock Tumbles 19% After Earnings Report. What the 2026 Outlook Means for Investors

Rexielyn Diaz4 minute read
Reviewed by: Thomas Richmond
Last updated Mar 4, 2026

Key Stats for STNE Stock

  • Price Change for STNE stock: -19.4%
  • $STNE Share Price as of March 03: $14
  • 52-Week High: $20
  • $STNE Stock Price Target: $20

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What Happened?

StoneCo Ltd. (STNE) stock dropped about 19% following the company’s latest earnings release and updated outlook. The Brazilian fintech company reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results on March 2, which triggered a sharp reaction from investors.

The company reported adjusted basic EPS of BRL 2.87 for the fourth quarter, up 26.8% year over year. For the full year, StoneCo posted adjusted EPS of BRL 9.71, representing roughly 34% growth compared with the prior year. However, despite these improvements, investors focused on the company’s cautious forward outlook.

STNE Advanced Guided Valuation (TIKR)

Management guided 2026 adjusted EPS to between BRL 10.8 and BRL 11.4, which equates to roughly $2.10 to $2.20 per share, depending on currency movements. While the forecast signals continued earnings growth, the outlook appeared conservative relative to some investor expectations.

At the same time, StoneCo announced plans to repurchase up to R$5 billion of stock, signaling confidence in its capital position and long-term strategy. The company has already been active with share buybacks, including repurchasing over 21 million shares in late 2025.

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What the Market Is Telling Us About STNE Stock

The sharp decline in STNE stock suggests investors expected stronger near-term growth after the company’s strong earnings expansion over the past several years. Over the last three years, StoneCo delivered 77.4% EPS CAGR, driven by payments growth, higher financial income, and operating leverage.

StoneCo’s business continues to generate strong profitability metrics. The company currently reports 73.6% gross margins and 46.2% EBIT margins, which are unusually high for a fintech platform serving small and mid-sized merchants.

STNE Total Revenues and Gross Margins (TIKR)

Revenue has also expanded meaningfully. Total revenue reached roughly $14.2 billion LTM, up more than 12% year over year, reflecting growth in payments processing and financial services like credit and banking solutions.

However, investors may be concerned about slowing growth going forward. Analysts expect forward two-year revenue growth of about 6.4% and EBITDA growth of just 1.5%, which represents a notable deceleration compared with the company’s historical growth rates.

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Should You Invest in StoneCo Ltd.?

The only way to really know is to look at the numbers yourself. TIKR gives you free access to the same institutional-quality financial data that professional analysts use to answer exactly that question.

Pull up STNE, and you’ll see years of historical financials, what Wall Street analysts expect for revenue and earnings in the quarters ahead, how valuation multiples have moved over time, and whether price targets are trending up or down.

You can build a free watchlist to track STNE alongside every other stock on your radar. No credit card required. Just the data you need to decide for yourself.

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Disclaimer:

Please note that the articles on TIKR are not intended to serve as investment or financial advice from TIKR or our content team, nor are they recommendations to buy or sell any stocks. We create our content based on TIKR Terminal’s investment data and analysts’ estimates. Our analysis might not include recent company news or important updates. TIKR has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading, and happy investing!

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