Key Stats for DoorDash Stock
- Past 30-Day Performance: -25%
- 52-Week Range: $155 to $286
- Valuation Model Target Price: $329
- Implied Upside: 104%
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What Happened?
DoorDash stock shares fell 25.01% over the past 30 days, closing at $161.14, as investors reacted to insider selling disclosures, regulatory scrutiny in Seattle, and valuation pressure across high-multiple consumer internet stocks.
The decline reflects a combination of governance signals and concerns around marketplace economics in certain regions.
Sentiment weakened after Director Stanley Tang and President and COO Prabir Adarkar reported disposals of common shares in recent SEC filings.
At the same time, DoorDash publicly criticized Seattle’s delivery pay law, stating it led to a nearly 25% decline in Dasher earnings per total time spent on the app compared to 2023 and resulted in “the highest delivery fees in the country.”
Regulatory uncertainty in a major market added another layer of pressure during the month.
Institutional activity showed mixed positioning. ING Groep NV trimmed its stake by 15.4%, selling 9,756 shares and leaving 53,629 shares valued at $14,587,000. Krilogy Financial opened a new position of 7,262 shares valued at about $1.975 million, while Prospera Financial Services increased its holdings by 1,212.8% to 12,603 shares worth $3.428 million.
Illinois Municipal Retirement Fund raised its stake by 9.7% to 77,924 shares valued at $21.2 million, and CIBC World Market Inc. increased its holdings by 1,311.9% to 118,674 shares worth $32.28 million.
Despite selective trimming, institutional investors collectively own about 90.64% of DoorDash shares. Vanguard holds 41.19 million shares valued at about $10.15 billion, Norges Bank opened a roughly $1.19 billion position, and Rhumbline Advisors increased its stake to 718,411 shares worth $195.4 million.
The mix of insider activity, regulatory headlines, and concentrated ownership framed the stock’s decline over the past month.
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Is DoorDash Undervalued?
Under valuation assumptions, the stock is modeled using:
- Revenue Growth (CAGR): 25.7%
- Operating Margins: 10.3%
- Exit P/E Multiple: 27.9x
Revenue is projected to grow from $10,722 million in 2024 to $17,844.48 million in 2026 based on analyst estimates shown in the revenue chart.
Growth reflects continued expansion across restaurant, grocery, and retail categories, along with rising advertising revenue as merchants pay for sponsored placements and improved visibility within the app.
This supports the view that future returns depend more on monetization depth and operating leverage than on simple order growth.
Based on these inputs, the model estimates a target price of $328.85 by late 2026, implying 104.1% upside from the current $161.14 share price, suggesting the stock appears undervalued at current levels.
Results over the next year hinge on advertising scale, contribution profit per order, improved marketplace density, and integration progress from the $2.9 billion Deliveroo acquisition.
At current levels, DoorDash appears undervalued, with future performance driven primarily by margin expansion, advertising growth, and international scaling rather than just higher delivery volume.
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