Key Stats for Robinhood Stock
- This Week Performance: 0.18%
- 52-Week Range: $30 to $154
- Current Price: $76
What Happened to Robinhood Stock?
Robinhood (HOOD) stock closed at $76.11 last Friday, sitting roughly 50% below its 52-week high of $153.86, even as the company reported record FY 2025 revenues of $4.47 billion (+52% YoY) and adjusted EBITDA of $2.52 billion (+76%) within the same week it unveiled the IPO of Robinhood Ventures Fund I and announced a tax-filing partnership with April.
Q4 2025 earnings delivered a mixed signal, with net income coming in at $605 million but revenue of $1.28 billion falling short of the IBES consensus estimate of $1.343 billion, tempering enthusiasm despite the record full-year results.
Underneath the headline miss, Robinhood’s platform continued compounding aggressively, ending 2025 with $322.1 billion in total platform assets (+67%), 4.18 million Gold subscribers (+58%), and a record $68.1 billion in net deposits at a 35% annualized growth rate.
Still, the gap between the 52-week high and the current price reflects a market recalibrating its expectations, as investors weigh Robinhood’s massive product expansion across banking, prediction markets, tokenization, and private markets against a cost structure growing 18% in 2026 before many of these bets have proven scalable.
CEO Vlad Tenev stated on the Q4 2025 earnings call that “revenues, which were less than $3 billion a year ago, grew to $4.5 billion in 2025,” grounding the 50%-plus revenue growth in back-to-back years as the platform scaled across 11 business lines each generating over $100 million in annualized revenue.
Meanwhile, early 2026 operating data offered a constructive offset, with January equity volumes up 50% YoY, options up 20%, and Q1 net deposits already exceeding $7 billion through mid-February, including over $2 billion in a single week.
Wall Street’s Take on HOOD Stock
Robinhood’s record 2025 results, early 2026 momentum data, and a flurry of product launches including Ventures Fund I and the Rothera JV collectively build the case that the stock’s current 50% pullback from its 52-week high represents dislocation rather than deterioration.
Analysts project FY 2026 revenue of $5.46 billion (+22.2% YoY) with EBITDA margins expanding further to 58.9%, reinforcing that Robinhood’s profitability trajectory remains intact even as the company accelerates investment across banking, prediction markets, and tokenization.
However, Wall Street currently assigns HOOD a mean price target of $131.29 across 21 analyst estimates, with 15 Buy ratings and only 2 Sells, implying roughly 72.5% upside from the february 20 close of $76.11.
Thus, the target range spans from a low of $90.00 to a high of $180.00, reflecting genuine disagreement on how quickly Robinhood’s newer businesses like banking, private markets, and international expansion can scale into material revenue contributors.
What Does the Valuation Model Say?
Against that backdrop, a mid-case valuation model built on 15.5% revenue CAGR and 45% net income margins through 2030 prices HOOD at $142.45, representing an 87.2% total return and a 13.8% annualized IRR from current levels, a target that starts to look conservative if January’s 50% equity volume surge sustains.
The primary risk is multiple compression, as HOOD’s P/E ratio is projected to contract at a 7.2% CAGR in the mid-case through 2031, meaning earnings growth must outrun valuation decay for the stock to deliver on its implied upside.
At $76.11, Robinhood stock looks materially undervalued relative to both analyst consensus and fundamental models, but the stock’s path to rerating depends on whether its 2026 product bets convert from compelling roadmap items into measurable revenue lines.
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