Paramount Skydance Stock Is Down 34% in 2026. Here’s What’s Driving the Move

Rexielyn Diaz5 minute read
Reviewed by: Thomas Richmond
Last updated Mar 30, 2026

Key Stats for PSKY Stock

  • Price Change for PSKY stock: -33%
  • $PSKY Share Price as of March 27: $9
  • 52-Week High: $21
  • $PSKY Stock Price Target: $11

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What Happened?

Paramount Skydance (PSKY) stock has been under pressure in 2026 because the story has shifted from deal excitement to deal risk. The company won the bidding war for Warner Bros. Discovery in late February, but investors quickly had to price in a much larger regulatory process. Reuters said the planned merger carries a $110 billion value and is expected to create a combined media giant spanning studios, streaming, and major TV networks.

The pressure increased again this week. Reuters reported on March 27 that the DOJ sent subpoenas as part of its antitrust review, with questions centered on studio output, streaming competition, content rights, and movie theaters.

PSKY Revenue (TIKR)

At the same time, investors are weighing a business that is still stabilizing its legacy assets. Paramount told investors that TV Media should keep facing headwinds from pay-TV declines, while 2026 growth should be driven mainly by direct-to-consumer streaming and licensing. Management also forecasted about $30 billion of 2026 revenue and adjusted EBITDA of $3.8 billion, while continuing to invest in content, technology, and transformation.

There have also been several company-specific developments around that broader merger story. Paramount announced a new CFO, Dennis Cinelli, in January, signed a multi-year Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles licensing deal with Mattel in February, and then moved into March with layoffs at CBS News as management reshapes the news operation.

Those moves show a company trying to tighten execution, refresh leadership, and lean harder into franchise monetization while it prepares for a much bigger combination.

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What the Market Is Telling Us About PSKY Stock

The market seems to be saying that PSKY is still a show-me story. Streaming trends are improving, but the legacy TV business is shrinking, and the Warner transaction adds major financing and execution risk. That mix can keep valuation compressed even when headline assets and franchises look attractive.

The underlying numbers explain that caution. PSKY’s LTM gross margin was 31.8%, LTM EBIT margin was 6.5%, and LTM net debt to EBITDA was 4.41x. Revenue has also declined for three straight years through 2025, and free cash flow was just $353 million in 2025, so investors still need proof that streaming gains can outweigh pressure from linear TV and restructuring costs.

PSKY Guided Valuation (TIKR)

Based on estimates of 2.9% annual revenue growth, 8.0% operating margins, and a normalized P/E multiple of 9.8x, the model projects Paramount Skydance stock could rise from $9 to $11 per share.

That would be a 30.7% total return, or a 10.2% annualized return over the next 2.8 years. Compared with the $13.07 average Street target, your model is more conservative, which fits a company still balancing streaming momentum, legacy-TV declines, and merger uncertainty.

Looking forward, the next major catalysts are the April 19 NAB Show presentation, the April 23 special shareholder meeting tied to the Warner transaction, and Paramount Skydance’s expected Q1 2026 results on May 11.

Investors will likely watch for any update on the antitrust review, signs of continued Paramount+ momentum, and whether management can show steadier margins and cash flow. Those events should help clarify whether 2026 remains a transition year defined by deal uncertainty, or whether the business is starting to build a more durable

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Should You Invest in Paramount Skydance Corporation?

The only way to really know is to look at the numbers yourself. TIKR gives you free access to the same institutional-quality financial data that professional analysts use to answer exactly that question.

Pull up PSKY, and you’ll see years of historical financials, what Wall Street analysts expect for revenue and earnings in the quarters ahead, how valuation multiples have moved over time, and whether price targets are trending up or down.

You can build a free watchlist to track PSKY alongside every other stock on your radar. No credit card required. Just the data you need to decide for yourself.

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Disclaimer:

Please note that the articles on TIKR are not intended to serve as investment or financial advice from TIKR or our content team, nor are they recommendations to buy or sell any stocks. We create our content based on TIKR Terminal’s investment data and analysts’ estimates. Our analysis might not include recent company news or important updates. TIKR has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading, and happy investing!

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