Key Stats for O’Reilly Automotive Stock
- Past-Week Performance: 6%
- 52-Week Range: $83 to $109
- Valuation Model Target Price: $117
- Implied Upside: 18.2% over 1.9 years
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What Happened?
O’Reilly Automotive stock rose 6% over the past week, climbing across several sessions and finishing near $99 per share, outperforming the broader market.
The rebound followed a period of consolidation after the stock’s recent pullback, as investors reassessed valuation and stepped back into the shares.
Analyst sentiment remained supportive during the week, reinforcing confidence in O’Reilly’s earnings durability and cash generation, which helped sustain buying interest.
Attention is now centered on O’Reilly’s upcoming earnings update, where same-store sales trends, margin discipline, and replacement auto parts demand are expected to shape near-term expectations.
See analysts’ growth forecasts and price targets for O’Reilly Automotive (It’s free) >>>
Is O’Reilly Automotive Undervalued?
Under valuation model assumptions, the stock is modeled using:
- Revenue Growth (CAGR): 6.4%
- Operating Margins: 19.8%
- Exit P/E Multiple: 30.0x
Based on these inputs, the model estimates a target price of $117, implying 18.2% total upside from recent levels over the next 1.9 years.
Over the next 12 months, results are likely shaped by O’Reilly’s ability to sustain same-store sales growth as high vehicle prices and interest rates continue to push consumers toward maintaining older cars.
Pricing discipline and product mix remain important, as professional repair demand and private-label parts support margins even if growth moderates.
Inventory availability and supply chain execution also matter, since consistent in-stock levels allow O’Reilly to capture repair demand efficiently.
Steady cash generation and disciplined share count management continue to support earnings growth even without multiple expansion.
At current levels, O’Reilly Automotive appears modestly undervalued, with future performance driven by execution and demand durability rather than sentiment alone.
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