Key Stats for ConocoPhillips Stock
- Past-Week Performance: 8%
- 52-Week Range: $80 to $106
- Valuation Model Target Price: $119
- Implied Upside: 17% over ~1.9 years
Value your favorite stocks like ConocoPhillips with 5 years of analysts’ forecasts using TIKR’s new Valuation Model (It’s free) >>>
What Happened?
ConocoPhillips stock rose about 8% over this week, trading higher across most sessions and finishing near $105, close to its 52-week highs. The advance was steady, reflecting sustained buying interest rather than short-term trading.
Shares moved higher as investors positioned ahead of the company’s early February earnings report, with stable oil prices supporting expectations for reliable free cash flow and continued shareholder returns.
Crude prices held firm during the week, reducing near-term earnings uncertainty and favoring low-cost producers like ConocoPhillips.
Analyst updates also shaped sentiment. Capital One Financial raised its price target to $116 from $111 while maintaining an Equal Weight rating, while Morgan Stanley lowered its target to $108 from $117 but kept an Overweight rating.
Bank of America reiterated an Underperform rating with a $102 target, and JPMorgan maintained a Neutral rating with a $98 target, defining a clear valuation range.
Overall, the weekly gain reflected confidence in earnings visibility and cash flow stability. With earnings approaching and analysts actively adjusting views, the stock remained supported as attention stayed on execution and capital returns rather than short-term oil price swings.
See analysts’ growth forecasts and price targets for ConocoPhillips (It’s free) >>>
Is ConocoPhillips Undervalued?
Under valuation model assumptions, the stock is modeled using:
- Revenue Growth (CAGR): 1.6%
- Operating Margins: 22.1%
- Exit P/E Multiple: 17.0x
Based on these inputs, the model estimates a target price of $119, implying 17% total upside from recent levels over the next 1.9 years.
Over the next year, results are likely shaped by ConocoPhillips’ ability to sustain strong free cash flow while integrating low-cost assets that improve portfolio efficiency instead of prioritizing production growth.
Execution across the Permian, Alaska, and LNG-linked projects remains central, as these assets carry lower breakeven costs and stronger cash margins, supporting earnings stability even if oil prices remain range-bound.
Continued focus on dividends and share repurchases, backed by a conservative balance sheet, reinforces downside protection while preserving upside if operational efficiency and realized pricing improve.
ConocoPhillips appears undervalued at current levels, with future performance likely driven by steady cash flow execution and capital discipline rather than a short-term rebound in oil prices.
Estimate a company’s fair value instantly (Free with TIKR) >>>
Value Any Stock in Under 60 Seconds (It’s Free)
With TIKR’s new Valuation Model tool, you can estimate a stock’s potential share price in under a minute.
All it takes is three simple inputs:
- Revenue Growth
- Operating Margins
- Exit P/E Multiple
From there, TIKR calculates the potential share price and total returns under Bull, Base, and Bear scenarios so you can quickly see whether a stock looks undervalued or overvalued.
If you’re not sure what to enter, TIKR automatically fills in each input using analysts’ consensus estimates, giving you a quick, reliable starting point.
See a stock’s true value in under 60 seconds (Free with TIKR) >>>
