Key Stats for United Airlines Stock
- Price change for United Airlines stock: -5%
- $UAL Share Price as of Mar. 05: $55
- 52-Week High: $83
- $UAL Stock Price Target: $84
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What Happened?
United Airlines (UAL) stock dropped 5.03% in the latest session, a notably steeper fall than the broader market.
- The S&P 500 fell just 0.57% on the same day, while the Dow lost 1.61%.
- Over the past month, United Airlines stock is down 8.22%, lagging well behind the Transportation sector, which actually gained 1.84% in the same period.
- The selloff in airline stocks is largely driven by rising oil prices. Fuel is one of the highest costs for any airline, and when oil prices rise, profit margins shrink quickly. Investors tend to react quickly to that kind of pressure, even before it shows up in earnings.
The timing is notable.
United Airlines just wrapped up a strong 2025. Full-year EPS came in at $10.62, and the company guided for $12 to $14 in EPS for 2026, implying more than 20% growth at the midpoint.
CEO Scott Kirby said on the Q4 earnings call that the year got off to a strong start, with business travel revenue up in the high single digits in early January compared to a year ago.
Despite that momentum, United Airlines stock is now trading at a forward P/E of just 7.53, below the airline industry average of above 8.5. That puts it in discount territory relative to peers, even with one of the sector’s stronger outlooks.
For 2026, analysts are projecting EPS of $13.34 and revenue of $63.79 billion. That would represent earnings growth of roughly 26% and revenue growth of about 8% year-over-year.
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What the Market Is Telling Us About United Airlines Stock
United Airlines stock is caught in a macro crosswind.
The underlying business is performing well. Premium cabin revenue is growing, corporate travel is bouncing back, and the company is one of the few U.S. airlines with every single hub profitable.
But oil prices don’t care about strong earnings calls.
When fuel costs rise, airline stocks tend to sell off across the board, and United is no exception. The stock’s steep monthly decline relative to the sector suggests some investors are taking profits after a strong run rather than waiting to see how the oil situation plays out.
At current valuations, United Airlines stock looks cheap relative to its growth outlook. Whether that discount holds depends largely on where oil goes from here.
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Disclaimer:
Please note that the articles on TIKR are not intended to serve as investment or financial advice from TIKR or our content team, nor are they recommendations to buy or sell any stocks. We create our content based on TIKR Terminal’s investment data and analysts’ estimates. Our analysis might not include recent company news or important updates. TIKR has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading, and happy investing!
