Moody’s Stock Prediction: Where Analysts See the Stock Going by 2027

Nikko Henson • 5 minute read

Last updated Nov 15, 2025

Moody’s Corporation (NYSE: MCO) trades near $481/share today after a choppy year for credit markets. Slower global issuance has weighed on parts of the business, but Moody’s remains one of the most profitable data and ratings platforms, supported by recurring revenue and high margins.

Recently, Moody’s reported solid momentum in its data and analytics segment, which continues to grow even in uneven credit environments. Management also tightened its margin outlook and highlighted strong demand for compliance and risk tools, signaling resilience across the business. These updates show that Moody’s is still performing well despite macro headwinds.

This article explores where analysts expect Moody’s to trade by 2027. We reviewed consensus targets and valuation models to outline the stock’s potential path. These figures reflect current analyst expectations and are not TIKR’s own predictions.

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Analyst Price Targets Suggest Modest Upside

Moody’s trades at about $481/share today. The average analyst price target sits near $544/share, which suggests roughly 13% upside. Forecasts show a steady range:

High estimate: ~$620/share
Low estimate: ~$460/share
Median target: ~$550/share
Ratings: 10 Buys, 4 Outperforms, 9 Holds, 1 Underperform

Since the implied return is around 13%, analysts expect modest upside. The tight spread of targets reflects confidence in Moody’s steady earnings profile. For investors, this suggests the stock may gradually outperform as the business continues to compound, even if major upside surprises are unlikely.

Moody's Corporation stock — Moody’s Corporation Analyst Price Target

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Moody’s Growth Outlook and Valuation

The company’s fundamentals appear strong based on the assumptions behind the valuation model:

Revenue is projected to grow about 7.7% annually through 2027
Operating margins are expected to remain near 45.4%
Shares trade around 31x forward earnings
Based on analysts’ average estimates, TIKR’s Guided Valuation Model using a 30.7x forward P E suggests Moody’s could reach about $607/share by 2027.
That implies roughly 24% total return, or about 10.5% annualized.

These results point to a business that compounds through consistency. Most of the projected upside comes from earnings growth rather than a jump in valuation. For investors, this creates a return profile that is steadier and more predictable than companies that rely on multiple expansion.

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What’s Driving the Optimism?

Moody’s remains a critical franchise within global finance. Demand for risk analytics, compliance solutions, and financial data continues to grow as institutions face rising regulatory complexity. The analytics segment has been especially resilient, often offsetting slower periods in the ratings business.

Management’s continued investment in new tools, platform integrations, and data capabilities strengthens Moody’s competitive advantages. For investors, these factors suggest that Moody’s can keep generating stable earnings growth across market cycles, supported by a business model with high switching costs and strong recurring revenue.

Bear Case: Valuation and Cyclicality

Even with these strengths, Moody’s valuation is relatively high compared to the rest of the financial sector. Trading near 31x forward earnings, the stock requires consistent performance to maintain investor confidence.

Moody’s ratings business is sensitive to credit cycles. When issuance slows, revenue can soften, and earnings growth may cool temporarily. Competition in analytics is also rising as more players develop data-driven financial tools. For investors, this means the upside may be limited during periods of macro uncertainty, especially given the premium price tag.

Outlook for 2027: What Could Moody’s Be Worth?

Based on analysts’ average estimates, TIKR’s Guided Valuation Model suggests Moody’s could trade near $607/share by 2027. That would represent about 24% total return, or roughly 10.5% annualized.

This outcome reflects the reliability of Moody’s earnings engine rather than aggressive growth assumptions. Stronger upside would likely require a healthier credit cycle or faster expansion in the analytics segment. Without those catalysts, investors should expect stable but measured returns driven primarily by earnings compounding.

For investors, Moody’s remains a high-quality long-term compounder. Its strong margins, recurring revenue, and essential role in global finance give it the durability to keep creating value over time, even in challenging macro environments.

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