Microsoft Slid 2% on Tech Rotation. Can It Rebound in 2026?

Wiltone Asuncion3 minute read
Reviewed by: Thomas Richmond
Last updated Jan 22, 2026

Key Stats for Microsoft Stock

  • Price Change: -2.3%
  • Current Price: $444
  • Advanced Model Price Target: $935

Is the selling overdone? See the full MSFT model on TIKR (It’s free) →

What Happened?

Shares of Microsoft (MSFT) slipped 2.3% on Wednesday, closing at $444.

The decline comes as investors rotate out of safe haven big tech stocks and into riskier recovery plays like Intel (INTC).

While the broader market rallies, Microsoft is facing a rare period of underperformance known as the “Magnificent Lag.”

Despite a Strong Buy rating from analysts, the market is temporarily favoring high-beta stocks over quality compounders.

MicrosoftStock Price Target (TIKR)

See analysts’ growth forecasts and price targets for Microsoft stock (It’s free!) >>>

Is Microsoft Undervalued Today?

While the stock price is taking a breather, the company’s internal growth engines are accelerating.

Speaking at the Barclays Global Technology Conference, Chief Commercial Officer Judson Althoff outlined the next phase of the company’s AI strategy.

He emphasized that Microsoft is moving beyond chatbots to AI Agents that can autonomously execute complex workflows.

Althoff noted that the ROI of AI is becoming tangible, citing customers “shaving an order of magnitude” off development cycles for new drugs.

According to TIKR’s Advanced Valuation Model, this AI-driven efficiency will unlock massive value.

  • Advanced Model Price Target: $935
  • Current Price: $444
  • Potential Upside: +110.5%

The model assumes Microsoft can maintain a 14.3% revenue CAGR through 2031 as it monetizes its AI infrastructure.

Conclusion: The market is chasing quick gains in recovery stocks, but Microsoft’s long-term thesis remains intact. If the AI Agent strategy executes, the model suggests a path to $935 is visible.

See the full MSFT forecast on TIKR >>>

How Much Upside Does Microsoft Stock Have From Here?

With TIKR’s new Valuation Model tool, you can estimate a stock’s potential share price in under a minute.

All it takes is three simple inputs:

  1. Revenue Growth
  2. Operating Margins
  3. Exit P/E Multiple

If you’re not sure what to enter, TIKR automatically fills in each input using analysts’ consensus estimates, giving you a quick, reliable starting point.

From there, TIKR calculates the potential share price and total returns under Bull, Base, and Bear scenarios so you can quickly see whether a stock looks undervalued or overvalued.

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Disclaimer:

Please note that the articles on TIKR are not intended to serve as investment or financial advice from TIKR or our content team, nor are they recommendations to buy or sell any stocks. We create our content based on TIKR Terminal’s investment data and analysts’ estimates. Our analysis might not include recent company news or important updates. TIKR has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading, and happy investing!

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