Intel Stock Rose 11% Last Week After Bernstein Raised Its Price Target to $36

Key Stats for Intel Stock

• Past-Week Performance: 14%
• 52-Week Range: $18 to $50
• Valuation Model Target Price: $62
• Implied Upside: 28% over % 1.9 years

Before reacting to Intel’s latest move, check whether the current share price already reflects revised expectations using TIKR’s Valuation Model for free →

What Happened?

Intel Corporation (INTC) stock rose 10.9% during the third week of January, with the move broadly tied to analyst activity and positioning ahead of the company’s upcoming quarterly earnings release later this week.

The immediate catalyst was a Bernstein price target increase to $36 from $35, while the firm maintained its existing rating and continued to see downside relative to Intel’s recent share price.

The catalyst mattered because Intel’s shares have become highly sensitive to incremental analyst revisions after a strong 84% gain in 2025, leaving valuation and expectations tightly linked to near-term sentiment shifts.

Importantly, there were no changes to guidance, demand trends, margins, or the company’s long-term outlook associated with the analyst update or the move ahead of earnings.

The move reflects a recalibration of expectations rather than a deterioration in the underlying business, with price action driven by sentiment and valuation sensitivity rather than new operational information.

Before reading further, see whether Intel’s post-move valuation still depends on execution by running the numbers on TIKR for free →

Is INTC Undervalued Right Now?

Under the valuation model shown, the stock is modeled using:

• Revenue Growth: 2.5%
• Operating Margins: 9.7%
• Exit P/E Multiple: 88.2x

Under the model realized through 2027, Intel’s outcome depends on revenue growth, margin assumptions, and exit multiple assumptions holding over the forecast horizon.

The model assumes 2.5% revenue growth, 9.7% operating margins, and an 86.2x exit P/E multiple by year-end 2027.

Based on these inputs, the model estimates a $62.20 target price, implying 28.1% total returns and 13.6% annualized returns.

Achieving these assumptions depends on stable server demand, incremental data center growth, margin normalization, and disciplined execution across Intel’s manufacturing and product roadmap.

As a result, the current valuation reflects execution risk and sensitivity to assumptions, meaning the stock may remain volatile despite modeled upside.

Intel jumped this week, but how much of that move is already priced in? Run a quick valuation check on TIKR for free →

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After Intel’s sharp move, stress-test the stock under different margin and multiple assumptions using TIKR’s valuation tools for free →