Key Stats for Entergy Stock
- 6-Month Performance: 16%
- 52-Week Range: $76 to $107
- Valuation Model Target Price: $120
- Implied Upside: 15.6%
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What Happened?
Entergy Corporation stock has climbed about 16% in the last 6 months, recently trading near $104 per share and approaching its 52 week high of $107. The advance reflects improving earnings visibility, accelerating industrial load growth, and expanding capital investment tied to data centers and large industrial customers.
Shares moved higher as investors reacted to stronger fundamentals and reaffirmed long term growth targets.
Entergy reported 2025 adjusted EPS of $3.91, landing in the top half of its guidance range, while retail sales increased 4% driven by 7% industrial growth as steel, LNG, petrochemical, and data center projects ramped.
Management reiterated expectations for greater than 8% annual adjusted EPS growth through 2029 and outlined a $43 billion capital plan, including $11.6 billion of investment in 2026, reinforcing confidence in sustained regulated rate base expansion.
Analyst activity added support during the period. BMO Capital Markets raised its price target from $104 to $112 and maintained an outperform rating, highlighting Entergy’s 7 to 12 gigawatt data center pipeline and 3 to 5 gigawatts of additional industrial demand.
The upward revision signaled continued confidence in load growth and long term earnings durability.
Institutional positioning also strengthened. JPMorgan Chase increased its stake by 3.3% to 14.6 million shares valued at approximately $1.37 billion.
Envestnet Asset Management raised its position to 1.9 million shares worth about $177.5 million, while Assetmark increased its holdings by 21.7% and AGF Management boosted its stake by 27.1%. Reaves W H & Co. expanded its position to roughly 2.29 million shares valued near $213 million.
Institutional ownership remains around 88%, underscoring sustained long term investor conviction in Entergy’s regulated growth story.
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Is Entergy Undervalued?
Under valuation assumptions, the stock is modeled using:
- Revenue Growth (CAGR): 8.2%
- Operating Margins: 29.9%
- Exit P/E Multiple: 19.7x
Revenue is projected to increase from about $12,947 million in 2025 to $13,885 million in 2026 and $16,392 million by 2028, consistent with the model’s 8.2% revenue CAGR.
Growth is supported by regulated rate base expansion tied to new generation, transmission, and resilience investments, along with industrial and data center load additions.
Margin expansion toward 29.9% assumes operating leverage as new assets enter rate base and incremental sales flow through a largely fixed cost structure.
Retail sales are expected to grow at an 8% CAGR through 2029, led by 15% industrial growth, providing unusually strong visibility for a regulated utility.
The 7 to 12 gigawatt data center pipeline and 3 to 5 gigawatts of additional industrial demand represent measurable catalysts for 2026.
Management has secured turbine and plant equipment for approximately 8 gigawatts of incremental load and structured long-term contracts with minimum bills and termination protections, limiting downside risk if customer ramp timelines shift.
Nuclear production tax credits, including an estimated $215 million of monetization in 2026, further support cash flow and capital flexibility.
Based on these inputs, the model estimates a target price of $120, implying about 15.6% total upside over roughly 2.9 years, or about 5.2% annually.
In 2026, performance will likely depend on execution of the $11.6 billion capital plan, continued industrial ramp activity, and regulatory approvals tied to new generation projects.
At current levels, Entergy appears modestly undervalued, with growth driven primarily by regulated asset expansion rather than multiple expansion.
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