Key Stats for COIN Stock
- Price Change for COIN stock: -13.34%
- COIN Share Price as of Feb. 5: $146.12
- 52-Week High: $444.65
- COIN Stock Price Target: $334.88
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What Happened?
Coinbase Global (COIN) shares dropped more than 13% as traders positioned ahead of the company’s upcoming fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 earnings report on February 12–13.
The move came after a sharp pullback in crypto prices and rising concern that lower trading volumes could pressure Coinbase’s transaction revenue in early 2026.
Coinbase has been one of the strongest performers in the crypto ecosystem over the past year, though. The stock is still up roughly 47% on a total-return basis over the past 12 months, even after the selloff.
Its platform remains a key gateway to crypto markets for retail traders, institutions, and developers, so its share price often amplifies moves in underlying digital assets.
Fundamentally, Coinbase’s latest reported results show an asset-light, high-margin business that is still sensitive to market cycles.
LTM gross margin stands near 85%, and LTM EBIT margin is about 30%, which highlights strong operating leverage when trading activity is healthy.
At the same time, the forward two-year consensus expects revenue CAGR of about 12% but a mid-teens decline in EPS, so analysts are cautious about near-term profitability.
Management has not emphasized buybacks or dividends, and instead appears focused on reinvestment in product development and regulatory compliance.
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What the Market Is Telling Us About COIN Stock
The sharp pullback suggests investors are bracing for softer trading metrics or cautious guidance when Coinbase reports next week.
Options pricing and recent volatility in crypto-linked stocks also indicate traders expect a wide post‑earnings move, both up or down.
Even with the drawdown, valuation remains demanding versus traditional brokers but more in line with high-growth fintech peers.
A recent piece from Morningstar argues that Coinbase stock has often traded well above its estimate of fair value and that earnings remain highly volatile, so it sees the shares as overvalued at higher levels.
By contrast, a January 2026 upgrade from Goldman Sachs on CNBC highlighted Coinbase’s strengthening fundamentals and product expansion, and it suggested the recent pullback could offer a more appealing entry point for investors.
Crypto prices remain highly sensitive to changes in risk appetite, interest rates, and regulatory actions in the United States and abroad, and these factors can quickly affect Coinbase’s trading volumes and fee revenue.
Investors, therefore, tend to demand a wider risk premium for COIN than for diversified financials, so swings around events like earnings are common.
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Disclaimer:
Please note that the articles on TIKR are not intended to serve as investment or financial advice from TIKR or our content team, nor are they recommendations to buy or sell any stocks. We create our content based on TIKR Terminal’s investment data and analysts’ estimates. Our analysis might not include recent company news or important updates. TIKR has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading, and happy investing!
