Key Stats for Blackstone Stock
- Post-Earnings Move: -0.36%
- Current Price: $121.27
- Valuation Model Target: $197.54
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What Happened?
Blackstone (BX) shares held steady following its latest earnings report, dropping just 0.36% on its reporting date to close at $121.27.
The alternative asset manager reported impressive fourth-quarter results.
Revenue came in at $3.94 billion, beating Wall Street estimates of $3.69 billion.
Adjusted EPS also topped expectations at $1.75 compared to the $1.54 consensus.
Despite the earnings beat, the stock traded relatively flat due to broader market concerns regarding private credit and commercial real estate.
Specifically, Wall Street has been indiscriminately selling off software stocks due to AI disruption risks.
Since software loans make up a portion of private credit portfolios, this sparked fears of potential defaults.
However, Blackstone is actively playing offense, deploying a massive $138 billion throughout 2025.
The firm is heavily investing in the AI infrastructure ecosystem, capitalizing on a projected $7 trillion data center CapEx requirement over the next five years.
See analysts’ growth forecasts and price targets for Blackstone stock (It’s free!) >>>
Is Blackstone Undervalued Today?
The TIKR Model indicates the market is overly focused on isolated credit risks while ignoring Blackstone’s massive scale and diversified growth engines.
The model projects a target price of $197.54, representing a lucrative 62.9% upside from current levels.
During the Bank of America Financial Services Conference, CFO Michael Chae defended the firm’s private credit software exposure.
He stated verbatim: “Our average loan-to-value was less than 40% at setup, which implies the original purchase price would need to be impaired by over 60% before our position is impaired at all.”
He also highlighted the firm’s aggressive posture in putting capital to work.
Chae added: “We deployed throughout the year about $138 billion of investments. That was our highest annual level in 4 years, including $42 billion in the fourth quarter.”
Read the full Blackstone Transcript on TIKR to see the asset growth breakdown >>>
Valuation Deep Dive
The TIKR Advanced Valuation Model identifies Blackstone as a diversified compounder trading below its intrinsic value.
- Target Price: $197.54
- Current Price: $121.27
- Annualized Return: 10.6%
The Private Wealth Engine: Blackstone crossed the $300 billion milestone in private wealth AUM in the fourth quarter. By continuously expanding distribution into untapped markets like Japan, Canada, and Australia, the firm is securing highly sticky, perpetual capital that drives management fee growth.
The Real Estate Recovery: While the real estate sector has been out of favor, the cycle is turning. With new construction starts at multi-year lows across multifamily and logistics, Blackstone is perfectly positioned to benefit from suppressed supply and rising rents in its highest conviction sectors.
Conclusion: A premier asset manager at a reasonable valuation. With a projected +62.9% total return potential, Blackstone offers investors a diversified play on the global private markets expansion. The path to $197 is secured by the data center boom, a real estate recovery, and an unmatched private wealth distribution network.
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How Much Upside Does Blackstone Stock Have From Here?
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Disclaimer:
Please note that the articles on TIKR are not intended to serve as investment or financial advice from TIKR or our content team, nor are they recommendations to buy or sell any stocks. We create our content based on TIKR Terminal’s investment data and analysts’ estimates. Our analysis might not include recent company news or important updates. TIKR has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading, and happy investing!
