Introducing Valuation Models! 
Key Takeaways:
- Atlassian stock could reasonably reach $253/share by the end of 2027, based on analysts’ consensus estimates used for our valuation assumptions.
- That implies a total return of 33% from today’s price of $191/share, with an annualized return of 16% over the next 1.9 years.
- Atlassian operates as the world’s leading collaboration company with over 300,000 customers and 85% of Fortune 500 companies using its products.
Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) is a collaboration software powerhouse that has evolved from a developer-focused tool provider to a comprehensive enterprise platform serving teams across every function.
The software platform aims to unleash the potential of every team by creating an integrated ecosystem of products that facilitate collaboration, project management, and knowledge sharing across organizations worldwide.
Atlassian benefits from its unique product-led growth model, featuring an exceptional land-and-expand strategy that has generated over $5 billion in annual run-rate revenue, serving a total addressable market of $67 billion.
With 1.5 million monthly active users of its AI capabilities and an aggressive enterprise expansion under new leadership, Atlassian is well-positioned to capture a significant market share in the rapidly growing collaboration software space.
With impressive revenue growth of 23% over the past year and a fully distributed workforce of over 13,000 employees, Atlassian continues to demonstrate the scalability and future-readiness of its business model while living the future of work it helps other organizations achieve.
Here’s why TEAM stock could return 16% annually through 2027 and continue delivering exceptional performance through 2030.
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What the Model Says for TEAM Stock
We analyzed Atlassian’s upside using valuation assumptions based on its dominant position in collaboration software and the accelerating adoption of enterprise solutions.
Based on estimates of 19% annual revenue growth, 25% operating margins, and stable valuation multiples, the model projects TEAM stock could rise from $191/share to $253/share.
That represents a 33% total return and a 16% annualized return over the next 1.9 years.
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Our Valuation Assumptions
TIKR’s Valuation Model lets you plug in your own assumptions for a company’s revenue growth, operating margins, and P/E multiple, and calculates the stock’s expected returns.
Here’s what we used for TEAM stock:
1. Revenue Growth: 19%
Atlassian delivered 23% growth over the past year and has had consistent expansion across multiple time periods.
The company’s cloud migration success, enterprise focus, and AI-powered Rovo platform create multiple growth vectors driving continued expansion.
We used a 19% forecast reflecting massive enterprise opportunity, successful cloud transition, and the introduction of consumption-based pricing models alongside traditional seat-based growth.
2. Operating Margins: 25%
Atlassian demonstrates strong operational efficiency with consistent margins in the low-to-mid 20% range.
Its product-led growth model and heavy R&D investment create sustainable competitive advantages while maintaining healthy profitability.
3. Exit P/E Multiple: 44x
Atlassian trades at premium multiples typical of high-growth collaboration software companies with strong competitive moats.
We used an elevated valuation multiple in our valuation given its market leadership, enterprise expansion opportunity, and AI-driven innovation capabilities.
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What Happens If Things Go Better or Worse?
TIKR’s valuation tool allows investors to test a wide range of outcomes based on how TEAM stock performs through 2030 under different scenarios (these are estimates, not guaranteed returns):
- Low Case: Market saturation and competitive pressure → 10% annual returns
- Mid Case: Steady enterprise expansion and AI adoption → 18% annual returns
- High Case: Accelerated platform dominance and margin expansion → 26% annual returns
Even in the conservative case, Atlassian stock offers attractive double-digit returns, while the upside scenario could deliver exceptional performance if it can successfully capture its $18 billion opportunity within existing customers alone.
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TIKR Takeaway for TEAM Stock
Atlassian represents a compelling combination of market leadership in collaboration software, massive enterprise expansion opportunity, and exposure to transformational AI trends reshaping how teams work together.
TEAM stock is best suited for investors seeking exposure to the collaboration software sector, companies with strong competitive moats and recurring revenue models, and businesses positioned to benefit from the ongoing digital transformation of workplace productivity and the rise of distributed work environments.
The combination of 85% Fortune 500 penetration, representing only 10% of total revenue, accelerating AI adoption through Rovo, and a $67 billion total addressable market makes Atlassian an attractive consideration for growth-oriented technology portfolios positioned for long-term outperformance in the enterprise collaboration space.
Is TEAM stock worth buying today? Use TIKR’s Valuation Model and analyst forecasts to see if it looks undervalued.
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Disclaimer:
Please note that the articles on TIKR are not intended to serve as investment or financial advice from TIKR or our content team, nor are they recommendations to buy or sell any stocks. We create our content based on TIKR Terminal’s investment data and analysts’ estimates. Our analysis might not include recent company news or important updates. TIKR has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading, and happy investing!
