Uber Stock Is Down 9% in 2026. Here’s Why Analysts Still See Upside to $103

Rexielyn Diaz5 minute read
Reviewed by: David Hanson
Last updated Apr 27, 2026

Key Stats for UBER Stock

  • Past week’s performance: -3.7%
  • 52-week range: $68 to $102
  • Valuation model target price: $92
  • Implied upside: 23.5% over 2.7 years

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What Happened?

Uber (UBER) stock slipped this week as investors focused on the company’s growing autonomous vehicle strategy. Reuters reported that Uber disclosed an 11.5% passive stake in Lucid. That matters because Lucid is part of Uber’s robotaxi plans, and robotaxis could reshape ride-hailing economics over time.

The move also came after Uber agreed to buy an additional 4.5% stake in Delivery Hero for about €270 million. Delivery Hero is a European food delivery company, and the deal makes Uber a larger shareholder in a key international delivery platform. Reuters reported the stake was valued at more than $600 million after the transaction.

At the same time, Uber’s core business remains strong. In Q4 2025, trips grew 22% year over year, gross bookings grew 22%, and adjusted EBITDA rose 35%. That showed the platform is still scaling across rides and delivery, but investors are now debating how much future cash flow may go toward autonomous mobility investments.

The tone around Uber is mixed. The company is profitable, generating strong cash flow, and expanding into new growth areas. But the stock’s recent weakness suggests investors want more clarity on robotaxi spending and near-term earnings before buying more aggressively going forward.

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Is UBER Stock Undervalued?

UBER Guided Valuation Model (TIKR)

Under valuation model assumptions realized through 12/31/28, the stock is modeled using:

  • Revenue growth (CAGR): 15%
  • Operating Margins: 10.7%
  • Exit P/E Multiple: 22.5x

Based on these inputs, the model estimates a target price of $92, implying 23.5% total upside from the current share price and an 8.2% annualized return over the next 2.7 years.

That return profile looks reasonable, but not deeply undervalued. Uber’s average street target price is $103.46, which is above the current share price. However, the valuation model’s 8.2% annualized return sits below the 10% level many investors target.

UBER Revenues and % Gross Margins (TIKR)

Uber’s business quality has improved materially. LTM revenue reached $52.0 billion, gross margin was 38.5%, and EBIT margin was 10.7%. Those numbers show Uber has moved from growth-at-any-cost toward a more profitable marketplace model.

The stock trades at 22.5x next-twelve-month earnings and 14.7x next-twelve-month market cap to free cash flow. Those multiples are not demanding if Uber keeps growing double digits. But they require continued operating discipline because mobility, delivery, and autonomous vehicles all need investment

What’s Driving UBER Stock Going Forward?

The next key catalyst is Q1 earnings on May 6. Investors will watch gross bookings, trips, adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flow. These metrics show whether Uber is adding more users while keeping the platform profitable.

Autonomous vehicles are the bigger strategic catalyst. Uber and Nvidia announced plans to launch L4 software-driven robotaxis across 28 cities by 2028. L4 means the vehicle can drive itself in defined areas without human control, which could eventually reduce driver costs.

Delivery expansion is another growth driver. Uber’s larger Delivery Hero stake supports its international food delivery strategy. If those markets scale, Uber Eats could add gross bookings without requiring Uber to build every market from scratch.

Capital allocation will decide how investors value the stock. Uber generated $9.8 billion in LTM free cash flow, so it has the capacity to invest, repurchase shares, or strengthen the balance sheet. If robotaxi investments create growth without pressuring margins, Uber stock could regain momentum going forward.

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Should You Invest in Uber Technologies?

The only way to really know is to look at the numbers yourself. TIKR gives you free access to the same institutional-quality financial data that professional analysts use to answer exactly that question.

Pull up UBER, and you’ll see years of historical financials, what Wall Street analysts expect for revenue and earnings in the quarters ahead, how valuation multiples have moved over time, and whether price targets are trending up or down.

You can build a free watchlist to track UBER alongside every other stock on your radar. No credit card required. Just the data you need to decide for yourself.

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Disclaimer:

Please note that the articles on TIKR are not intended to serve as investment or financial advice from TIKR or our content team, nor are they recommendations to buy or sell any stocks. We create our content based on TIKR Terminal’s investment data and analysts’ estimates. Our analysis might not include recent company news or important updates. TIKR has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading, and happy investing!

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