Key Stats for Republic Services Stock
- Past week’s performance: +3%
- 52-week range: $201 to $259
- Valuation model target price: $267
- Implied upside: 21.3% over 1.9 years
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What Happened?
Shares of environmental services provider Republic Services (RSG) rose about 3% this week. And the stock closed at $219.94 on February 6.
The modest gain came during a quiet trading period. So investors looked ahead to earnings. Republic Services reports Q4 and full-year 2025 results on February 17.
No single major headline drove the move. But positive developments supported sentiment wondrously. Recently, local officials in Lawrence, Kansas, approved the sale of the Hamm Sanitary Landfill and MRF to a Republic Services subsidiary. And this tuck-in acquisition fits the company’s ongoing strategy.
Earlier in January, Republic Services was named one of Fortune’s World’s Most Admired Companies for the fifth time. And the recognition highlighted strength in social responsibility and management quality.
Demand remains steady because waste collection is essential. And recurring revenue provides visibility. Additionally, the stock benefits from its defensive nature in uncertain markets. So the advance reflects building anticipation for earnings rather than dramatic new catalysts.
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Is Republic Services Stock Undervalued?
Under the valuation model assumptions realized through 2027, the stock is modeled using:
- Revenue growth (CAGR): 4.3%
- Operating margins: 20.8%
- Exit P/E multiple: 30.3x
Based on these inputs, the model estimates a target price of $267, implying 21.3% total return from the current share price. And it projects a 10.7% annualized return over the next 1.9 years.
Core collection volume and pricing drive organic growth. And acquisitions add incrementally, as seen with the recent Hamm landfill deal. So execution remains consistent across cycles.
Margins expand through efficiency and scale. And sustainability initiatives support customer retention. For example, investments in recycling and renewable natural gas strengthen long-term positioning. Because waste services are non-discretionary, cash flows stay predictable. Additionally, the company maintains a solid dividend yield near 1.1%.
If trends continue, the model suggests attractive risk-adjusted returns from current levels. And the stock’s low volatility supports its appeal for steady compounding.
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