Key Stats for General Motors Stock
- 6-Month Performance: 44%
- 52-Week Range: $42 to $88
- Valuation Model Target Price: $92
- Implied Upside: 13%
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What Happened?
General Motors stock has climbed about 44% over the past six months, recently trading near $82 per share and holding in the upper half of its $42 to $88 52 week range.
The move reflects rising confidence in GM’s execution discipline, inventory control, and capital allocation strategy rather than a sudden surge in auto demand.
The stock advanced after management reinforced stability and cash flow strength at Citi’s Global Industrial Tech & Mobility Conference this week.
CFO Paul Jacobson said 2026 is tracking in line with expectations and that it “feels like the most stable year of the last several,” while outlining plans to manage $3 billion to $4 billion in tariffs and roll out new trucks later this year.
GM is operating with 30% to 40% less inventory, discounting roughly 200 basis points less than the industry, and has generated an estimated $3 billion to $4 billion in improved cash performance from tighter pricing and inventory discipline.
EV penetration is trending around 5% to 7%, and battery design changes are expected to reduce costs by thousands of dollars per vehicle, helping narrow the profitability gap.
Institutional activity has supported the rally. Jupiter Asset Management purchased 883,334 shares valued at approximately $53.86 million, while NEOS Investment Management increased its stake by 44.6% and GSA Capital Partners raised its position by 103.3%.
Assetmark Inc. boosted its holdings by 30.1%, and Todd Asset Management retained a 473,161 share position worth about $28.85 million.
On the other side, HighTower Advisors reduced its stake by 83.7%, and Tredje AP fonden cut its position by 52.6%, reflecting portfolio rebalancing rather than broad liquidation.
Overall institutional ownership stands near 92.7%, underscoring continued professional investor participation.
The 44% six month advance reflects confidence in disciplined capital allocation, strong truck demand, and improving EV cost structure, with investors now watching whether margin execution in 2026 can support further gains.
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Is General Motors Undervalued?
Under valuation assumptions, the stock is modeled using:
- Revenue Growth (CAGR): 1.2%
- Operating Margins: 7.9%
- Exit P/E Multiple: 6.0x
Revenue growth expectations remain modest, reflecting a mature North American auto cycle and a more gradual EV adoption curve than previously projected.
With long term revenue modeled to grow just over 1% annually, earnings expansion depends heavily on mix improvement, pricing discipline, and cost control rather than unit growth acceleration.
Operating margin assumptions near 8% rely on continued strength in high margin trucks and SUVs, disciplined incentive spending, and steady progress in EV battery cost reductions.
North American transaction pricing, EV gross margin improvement, and growth in high margin software and services revenue tied to connected vehicles represent meaningful drivers in 2026
At roughly 6.6x forward earnings, GM still trades at a discount to broader market multiples, but valuation already reflects a degree of stabilization.
Sustained free cash flow generation, successful next generation truck launches, and measurable progress toward EV profitability would be required to justify a higher multiple.
Based on these inputs, the model estimates a target price of $92, implying about 13% total upside over roughly 2.8 years, or about 4% annually.
At current levels near $82, GM appears slightly overvalued relative to its modest growth outlook, with further upside dependent on margin durability and execution consistency rather than aggressive revenue acceleration.
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