Intuitive Machines Stock Plunges 16% After $175 Million Offering: Can 18% Upside to $19 Offset Dilution Risk?

Rexielyn Diaz3 minute read
Reviewed by: Thomas Richmond
Last updated Feb 26, 2026

Key Stats for LUNR Stock

  • Price Change for LUNR stock: -15.93%
  • LUNR Share Price as of Feb. 25: $16
  • 52-Week High: $23
  • LUNR Stock Price Target: $19

Now Live: Discover how much upside your favorite stocks could have using TIKR’s new Valuation Model (It’s free)>>>

What Happened?

Intuitive Machines (LUNR) stock fell nearly 16% after the company announced a $175 million private placement of Class A shares. The shares were sold at a discount to the prior close, which pressured the stock and triggered heavy trading volume. Reuters reported the offering was used to advance satellite communications and infrastructure investments.

The capital raise increased near-term dilution concerns, even though it strengthened liquidity. Investors reacted quickly because the stock had rallied strongly earlier in the year. As a result, short-term sentiment turned cautious.

The offering followed recent insider activity, including reported share disposals by senior executives. While these transactions were disclosed properly, they added to selling pressure. The combination of dilution and insider sales weighed on shares.

The move also came amid broader volatility in space-related stocks. Investors have become more selective as funding conditions tighten. That backdrop amplified the downside reaction.

LUNR Stock Price Targets (TIKR)

See analysts’ growth forecasts and price targets for LUNR stock (It’s free!) >>>

What the Market Is Telling Us About LUNR Stock

The selloff suggests the market is focused on capital intensity and profitability risks. Intuitive Machines is still in an investment-heavy phase, so earnings remain volatile. The company reported an LTM EBIT margin of (30.7%), reflecting high operating costs.

Efficiency metrics remain weak, with negative ROA, ROIC, and ROCE. However, revenue growth has been strong as new contracts ramp up. Over the last three years, revenue CAGR reached 46.5%.

Growth expectations remain elevated but uneven. Analysts project forward 2-year revenue CAGR near 98.7%, while EPS growth remains negative. This highlights execution risk despite strong top-line momentum.

Balance sheet leverage also remains elevated. LTM net debt to EBITDA stands at 4.2x, limiting flexibility. That makes equity financing more likely during expansion phases.

Estimate a company’s fair value instantly (Free with TIKR) >>>

Should You Invest in Intuitive Machines, Inc.?

The only way to really know is to look at the numbers yourself. TIKR gives you free access to the same institutional-quality financial data that professional analysts use to answer exactly that question.

Pull up LUNR, and you’ll see years of historical financials, what Wall Street analysts expect for revenue and earnings in the quarters ahead, how valuation multiples have moved over time, and whether price targets are trending up or down.

You can build a free watchlist to track LUNR alongside every other stock on your radar. No credit card required. Just the data you need to decide for yourself.

Analyze Intuitive Machines stock on TIKR Free

Looking for New Opportunities?

Disclaimer:

Please note that the articles on TIKR are not intended to serve as investment or financial advice from TIKR or our content team, nor are they recommendations to buy or sell any stocks. We create our content based on TIKR Terminal’s investment data and analysts’ estimates. Our analysis might not include recent company news or important updates. TIKR has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading, and happy investing!

Related Posts

Join thousands of investors worldwide who use TIKR to supercharge their investment analysis.

Sign Up for FREENo credit card required