Honeywell Projects 15% EBITDA Growth in 2026: Why Wall Street Is Targeting $250 per Share

Gian Estrada4 minute read
Reviewed by: Thomas Richmond
Last updated Mar 1, 2026

Key Stats for Honeywell Stock

  • This Week Performance: -0.2%
  • 52-Week Range: $179.4 to $246
  • Current Price: $243.6

Most investors never know if a stock is truly undervalued or overpriced. TIKR’s professional-grade valuation tools give you a clear, data-backed answer across 60,000+ stocks for free →

What Happened?

Honeywell‘s three-way breakup is turning a $243.59 industrial conglomerate into three focused pure-plays, fundamentally rewriting the stock’s valuation ceiling.

Meanwhile, on February 23, Honeywell renegotiated the Johnson Matthey Catalyst Technologies acquisition down 26% to £1.3 billion, securing an EPS-accretive deal it nearly walked away from entirely.

Specifically, the revised deal locks in Honeywell UOP’s catalyst technology portfolio at a discount, while Verso Energy’s February 24 selection of UOP eFining technology for 7 eSAF plants adds 200 million gallons of annual clean fuel capacity.

Consequently, the market is repricing Honeywell from a sluggish industrial conglomerate to a focused automation and aerospace pure-play, backed by a record $37 billion backlog and 23% order growth.

Chairman and CEO Vimal Kapur stated on the Q4 earnings call that “we expect to once again drive strong organic growth fueled by conversion of our record backlog,” as the Aerospace spin accelerated toward a Q3 completion ahead of original schedule.

Additionally, Jefferies analysts noted the revised Johnson Matthey terms remain “better than potential deal termination,” reinforcing institutional confidence in Honeywell’s dealmaking discipline at current prices.

Looking further ahead, Honeywell’s Quantinuum subsidiary, now valued at $10 billion after raising $840 million, positions the company to monetize quantum computing commercially within a 3-year window, long before most industrials recognize the opportunity.

See the exact moment Wall Street upgrades a stock before the rest of the market piles in — track analyst rating changes in real time with TIKR for free →

Wall Street’s Take on HON Stock

Honeywell’s three-way breakup and the renegotiated £1.3 billion Johnson Matthey deal confirm the company is actively restructuring toward higher-margin, focused businesses, directly accelerating its 2026 earnings recovery.

Underneath that restructuring, the fundamentals are turning: revenue rebounds to $39.5 billion in 2026, up 5.6%, while EBITDA surges 15.1% to $10.1 billion after an 11.1% contraction in 2025.

honeywell stock
Street Analysts Target for HON Stock (TIKR)

Meanwhile, Wall Street holds a cautiously constructive stance, with 11 buys, 3 outperforms, 9 holds, and 2 underperforms, against a mean price target of $247.7, implying just 1.7% upside from current levels.

Still, the analyst range tells a more compelling story: the high target sits at $296.0 and the low at $198.0, with the Aerospace spin in Q3 serving as the single event separating those two outcomes.

What Does the Valuation Model Say?

HON Stock Valuation Model Results  (TIKR)

The TIKR mid-case model targets $321.3 by December 31, 2030, a 31.9% total return from today’s price. That works out to a 5.9% annualized IRR over 4.8 years.

The market is mispricing Honeywell’s post-spin earnings power, treating it as one sluggish industrial when three focused pure-plays are emerging.

The number that makes that mispricing undeniable: EPS grows from $9.8 in 2025 to a projected $10.5 in 2026, a 7.8% jump before spin-related stranded cost elimination even kicks in.

CEO Vimal Kapur confirmed the Aerospace spin is tracking ahead of schedule for Q3, which signals the re-rating event is closer than the stock price reflects.

However, if petrochemical catalyst demand stays suppressed beyond 2026, PA&T margins stay flat and the EPS recovery stalls well short of guidance.

Watch the Q3 Aerospace spin completion date: execution on schedule unlocks the re-rating that the mean analyst target of $247.7 entirely fails to capture.

Honeywell seems to be undervalued, with a 31.9% model upside and a Q3 spin that the current price has not priced in.

Wall Street’s best ideas don’t stay hidden for long. Catch analyst upgrades, earnings beats, and revenue surprises on thousands of stocks the moment they happen with TIKR for free →

Should You Invest in Honeywell International Inc.?

The only way to really know is to look at the numbers yourself. TIKR gives you free access to the same institutional-quality financial data that professional analysts use to answer exactly that question.

Pull up HON stock and you’ll see years of historical financials, what Wall Street analysts expect for revenue and earnings in the quarters ahead, how valuation multiples have moved over time, and whether price targets are trending up or down.

You can build a free watchlist to track Honeywell International Inc. alongside every other stock on your radar. No credit card required. Just the data you need to decide for yourself.

Access Professional Tools to Analyze HON stock on TIKR for Free →

Related Posts

Join thousands of investors worldwide who use TIKR to supercharge their investment analysis.

Sign Up for FREENo credit card required