Key Takeaways for CAVA Stock as of August 2026
- 18 of 27 covering analysts rate CAVA stock a buy or better, with 8 holds and a single sell, and the $91 mean target sits 47% above the August 6 close of $62.
- TIKR’s mid-case model values CAVA stock at $217 by December 2030, a 248% total return from current levels, or 33% annualized over the next 4.4 years.
- Trading near $62 after a 37% slide from its high, CAVA stock looks undervalued against fundamentals that are speeding up, not slowing: first-quarter revenue grew 32% while traffic climbed 6.8%.
- With second-quarter results due August 11, the raised same-restaurant sales guide of 4.5% to 6.5% is the number that reframes what the stock is worth.
CAVA Stock Trades at $62 as Accelerating Traffic Collides With a 37% Drawdown
CAVA Group stock closed at $62 on August 6, 2026, down roughly 37% from its 52-week high of $99, even as the Mediterranean chain posted its fastest revenue growth in more than a year. That drawdown has taken the stock back toward the low end of its $43 to $99 annual range, pricing in a slowdown the operating numbers have not delivered.
The disconnect traces to the first quarter reported May 19. CAVA revenue grew 32% to $434 million, same-restaurant sales rose 9.7%, and traffic alone contributed 6.8% of that gain. Adjusted EBITDA jumped 38% to $61.7 million, and the company opened 20 net new restaurants to reach 459 locations.
That traffic figure matters most because it moved the opposite direction from the rest of the category. While peers leaned on discounting to hold volumes, CAVA raised menu prices only 1.4% in January and still grew guest counts.
CFO Tricia Tolivar addressed the current-quarter trend directly on the earnings call, pointing to momentum carrying past the quarter that closed: “Our same-restaurant sales trends in the second quarter are in line with our overall same-restaurant sales in the first quarter and tracking above our revised full year guidance.” Management then raised the full-year same-restaurant sales outlook to 4.5% to 6.5%, lifted the unit target to 75 to 77 net new restaurants, and guided adjusted EBITDA to $181 million to $191 million.
The guide still embeds deceleration. Analysts model revenue growth cooling to 28% in the June quarter and stepping toward 20% by mid-2027 as the 16-week first quarter rolls off and new-unit comparisons harden. New restaurant productivity above 100% and systemwide average unit volumes of $3 million give that forward curve its floor.
Second-quarter results land August 11, the next test of whether the traffic story holds.
See exactly how CAVA’s 6.8% traffic gain stacks against a decelerating sector on TIKR for free →
Wall Street Holds a $91 Mean Target on CAVA Stock, 47% Above the Current Price
Across the 24 analysts publishing price targets, the consensus leans firmly bullish, with 18 of 27 ratings at buy or higher against 8 holds and one sell. The $91 mean target implies 47% upside from the $62 close, and the $94 median sits even higher, signaling that the typical desk sees the current price as a dislocation rather than a re-rating.
That positioning also firmed after UBS moved CAVA stock to buy in June, lifting its target to $90 and calling the chain’s same-restaurant sales performance increasingly scarce among peers.
Wall Street Expects CAVA Stock’s Revenue Growth to Cool From 32% to 20% by Mid-2027
Revenue is the cleanest read on CAVA stock because the thesis rests on share capture, not margin mechanics that management is deliberately holding flat. The first quarter set the high mark at 32% growth, the fastest print in the forward table.
From there, consensus steps the pace down. Analysts model 28% growth in the June quarter, then 24% in September and 23% in December as the extra weeks in the fiscal first quarter drop out of the comparison.
The trajectory flattens into 2027, with revenue growth settling near 20% by the June 2027 quarter. That still keeps CAVA compounding at twice the pace of most scaled restaurant peers, funded by a unit base management guides to expand by 75 to 77 stores this year.
The open question now is whether traffic, up 6.8% last quarter against a backdrop of declining peer volumes, can keep the reported growth above those modeled marks when second-quarter numbers print August 11.
TIKR Values CAVA Stock at $217, Pricing In Nearly 250% Upside by 2030
TIKR’s mid-case model values CAVA stock at $217 by December 2030, a 248% total return from the current $62, or 33% annualized over 4.4 years.
A 33% annual return over four years would rank CAVA among the highest-return names in consumer discretionary, a payout the market reserves for businesses that sustain both unit growth and pricing power well past the point most concepts stall.
The path there leans on the same drivers already in the numbers: 19% revenue growth compounding through the forecast window, net income margins widening toward 7%, and new restaurants opening at productivity above 100%. With the stock trading 37% below its high while the guide moves up, the model’s target reflects a business the market has marked down faster than its fundamentals have softened.
Should You Invest in CAVA Group, Inc.?
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Pull up CAVA Group, Inc. stock and you’ll see years of historical financials, what Wall Street analysts expect for revenue and earnings in the quarters ahead, how valuation multiples have moved over time, and whether price targets are trending up or down.
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Disclaimer:
Please note that the articles on TIKR are not intended to serve as investment or financial advice from TIKR or our content team, nor are they recommendations to buy or sell any stocks. We create our content based on TIKR Terminal’s investment data and analysts’ estimates. Our analysis might not include recent company news or important updates. TIKR has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading, and happy investing!
