Casey’s General Stores Stock Rises On Strong Q3 Results And Raised Outlook

Aditya Raghunath4 minute read
Reviewed by: Thomas Richmond
Last updated Mar 11, 2026

Key Stats for Casey’s General Stores Stock

  • Price change for Casey’s General Stores stock: 4%
  • $CASY Share Price as of Mar. 10: $690
  • 52-Week High: $694
  • $CASY Stock Price Target: $692

Now Live: Discover how much upside your favorite stocks could have using TIKR’s new Valuation Model (It’s free)>>>

What Happened?

Casey’s General Stores (CASY) stock slipped but then recovered quickly after Q3 revenue came in slightly below expectations, as the underlying business results were genuinely strong.

  • Total revenue was $3.91 billion, up just 0.3% from last year.
  • Higher inside sales and more fuel gallons sold were mostly offset by lower retail fuel prices. That’s a tough comparison to beat on the top line.
  • But look past revenue, and the numbers are impressive.
  • Diluted EPS jumped 50% to $3.49.
  • Net income rose 49% to $130 million.
  • EBITDA hit $309 million, up 27.5%. Those are big gains.
CASY Stock Q3 Earnings vs. Estimates in Billion USD (TIKR)
  • Same-store sales grew 4%, or nearly 7.4% on a two-year stack.
  • Prepared food margins came in at 58.3%.
  • Fuel margin topped $0.40 per gallon for the fifth straight quarter.
  • Casey’s has also crossed 10 million loyalty members and expanded its chicken wings program to over 550 stores.

Management was confident enough to raise its fiscal 2026 EBITDA growth guidance to 18% to 20%.

The company also ended the quarter with $1.4 billion in liquidity and repurchased about $76 million in shares.

See analysts’ growth forecasts and price targets for Casey’s General Stores stock (It’s free) >>>

What the Market Is Telling Us About Casey’s General Stores Stock

Casey’s General Stores stock has been a strong long-term performer, and this quarter didn’t change that story.

The revenue miss appears to be more about fuel price headwinds than any weakness in the core business.

On the earnings call, CEO Darren Rebelez addressed concerns about rising oil prices from the Iran conflict.

He noted that Casey typically doesn’t see demand destruction until gas hits around $5 a gallon. Today, prices in their footprint are around $3.

That’s a comfortable cushion.

CASY Stock Valuation Model (TIKR)

Casey’s General Stores stock looks like a high-quality business going through a short-term valuation reset. With raised guidance, strong food margins, and a growing loyalty program, the fundamentals remain intact.

Casey’s General Stores stock is one to watch as management unveils its next three-year strategic plan at Investor Day on June 24.

Estimate a company’s fair value instantly (Free with TIKR) >>>

How Much Upside Does Casey’s General Stores Stock Have From Here?

With TIKR’s new Valuation Model tool, you can estimate a stock’s potential share price in under a minute.

All it takes is three simple inputs:

  1. Revenue Growth
  2. Operating Margins
  3. Exit P/E Multiple

If you’re not sure what to enter, TIKR automatically fills in each input using analysts’ consensus estimates, giving you a quick, reliable starting point.

From there, TIKR calculates the potential share price and total returns under Bull, Base, and Bear scenarios so you can quickly see whether a stock looks undervalued or overvalued.

See a stock’s true value in under 60 seconds (Free with TIKR) >>>

Looking for New Opportunities?

Disclaimer:

Please note that the articles on TIKR are not intended to serve as investment or financial advice from TIKR or our content team, nor are they recommendations to buy or sell any stocks. We create our content based on TIKR Terminal’s investment data and analysts’ estimates. Our analysis might not include recent company news or important updates. TIKR has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading, and happy investing!

Join thousands of investors worldwide who use TIKR to supercharge their investment analysis.

Sign Up for FREENo credit card required