Key Stats for Celsius Stock
- Past-Week Performance: -6.9%
- 52-Week Range: $32.4 to $66.7
- Current Price: $39.7
What Happened?
Celsius Holdings (CELH) built a three-brand energy portfolio generating $2.5 billion in full-year 2025 revenue, and its adjusted earnings per share of $0.26 beat the $0.21 consensus by 24%, while the stock sits at $39.65 after briefly touching $59.31 the day results dropped.
Celsius reported Q4 consolidated revenue of approximately $722 million, clearing the LSEG analyst consensus of $640.83 million by 12.7%, driven by Alani Nu, a female-skewed energy drink acquired in April 2025, posting record quarterly net sales of $370 million and pro forma growth of 136%.
Alani Nu alone contributed $1 billion to net sales in just nine months of ownership, and the core CELSIUS brand recorded 12.8% scanner growth at the register in Q4, outpacing the broader energy category where, per management, 54% of all liquid refreshment beverage growth currently originates.
CFO Jarrod Langhans stated at the UBS Global Consumer and Retail Conference on March 11 that “I certainly felt like they were a brand that could get to like a 9% or a 10% share. I don’t know if I would have thought it would have been in less than 12 months,” tying directly to Alani’s March 2026 shelf space gains exceeding 100% as planogram resets finalize through spring.
Celsius enters the next phase with CELSIUS brand shelf space rising 17%, a Spain launch via Suntory Beverage and Food Spain confirmed for March 2026, $260 million remaining under its buyback program, and a gross margin roadmap targeting the low 50s by back-half 2026 and mid-50s within a few years as Alani and Rockstar Energy integration costs clear and a second manufacturing line comes online in Q4 2026.
Wall Street’s Take on CELH Stock
The Q4 earnings beat — revenue $722 million versus the $640.83 million consensus — confirms that the Alani Nu and Rockstar acquisitions are already generating scale, and that normalized EPS of $1.34 for 2025 sets a credible base for the $1.63 estimate Wall Street expects in 2026.
Celsius’ revenue is projected to grow 35% to $3.4 billion in 2026, supported by Alani Nu’s 100%-plus shelf space gains still materializing through spring resets and the CELSIUS brand’s 17% additional shelf space gains, making the top-line estimate feel grounded rather than aspirational.
Twelve analysts rate CELH a buy, six rate it outperform, four hold, and two are negative, with the mean price target of $68.05 across 20 estimates implying 71.6% upside from $39.65, a consensus that reflects confidence in margin recovery once integration costs exit the P&L.
The analyst spread runs from a low of $40 to a high of $85: the low essentially prices in no re-rating beyond current levels and assumes integration drag persists, while the $85 bull case requires the gross margin trajectory to reach the mid-50s on schedule and Alani’s distribution buildout to sustain triple-digit scanner momentum.
What Does the Valuation Model Say?
The TIKR mid-case target of $70.63 requires a 12% revenue CAGR from 2025 through 2030 and a net income margin expanding to 14.4%, both supported by the Alani and Rockstar cost structures fully integrating into Celsius’s orbit supply model by mid-2026 and a second manufacturing line coming online in Q4 2026.
The market is treating a temporary GAAP sales dip for the core CELSIUS brand as structural deterioration, yet scanner data showed 12.8% growth at the register in Q4.
Alani Nu’s $1 billion net sales contribution in just nine months, combined with $260 million remaining under the buyback program, directly underpins the TIKR $70.63 target and its 78.1% total return projection.
Management confirmed at the UBS conference on March 11 that Pepsi inventory dynamics are already normalizing quarter-to-date, the clearest signal yet that Q4’s reported noise was timing, not trend.
The risk is gross margin stalling above 47% if Midwest aluminum premiums and tariffs persist beyond mid-2026, which would delay the EBITDA margin recovery to 24.4% that the TIKR model requires in 2027.
Q1 2026 results, expected this spring, will reveal whether brand CELSIUS shipments have re-aligned with the 12.8% scanner growth and whether Alani’s integration-related load-in benefit fully unwound as management guided.
Should You Invest in Celsius Holdings, Inc.?
The only way to really know is to look at the numbers yourself. TIKR gives you free access to the same institutional-quality financial data that professional analysts use to answer exactly that question.
Pull up CELH stock and you’ll see years of historical financials, what Wall Street analysts expect for revenue and earnings in the quarters ahead, how valuation multiples have moved over time, and whether price targets are trending up or down.
You can build a free watchlist to track Celsius Holdings, Inc. alongside every other stock on your radar. No credit card required. Just the data you need to decide for yourself.
Access Professional Tools to Analyze CELH stock on TIKR for Free →
