Once Upon A Farm Stock Sinks 7% On Weak 2026 Earnings Outlook

Aditya Raghunath4 minute read
Reviewed by: Thomas Richmond
Last updated Mar 16, 2026

Key Stats for Once Upon A Farm Stock

  • Price change for Once Upon A Farm stock: -7%
  • $OFRM Share Price as of Mar. 13: $19
  • 52-Week High: $27
  • $OFRM Stock Price Target: $29

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What Happened?

Once Upon A Farm stock (OFRM) slid on Friday after the company reported its first earnings as a public company. The results were a mixed bag.

The good news:

  • Full-year 2025 net sales jumped 53.5% to $240.7 million, and
  • The company swung to a positive adjusted EBITDA of $2.1 million after a loss of $3.7 million the year before.
  • Q4 was even stronger, with 30% revenue growth and net income of $22.5 million.

But investors are focused on what’s ahead, and the 2026 outlook is where the stock is getting hit.

  • The company guided to $302–310 million in net sales, implying 25–29% growth. That’s solid on paper, but it’s a meaningful slowdown from the 53% growth posted in 2025.
  • Adjusted EBITDA guidance of just $2–4 million also left little room for excitement, suggesting profitability will remain thin for another year.

The February IPO raised roughly $139 million and cleaned up the balance sheet.

Once Upon A Farm now carries about $102 million in cash and no debt, which is a real improvement over the $60 million in debt it carried at year-end before the offering closed.

CEO John Foraker called the IPO “a major milestone” and pointed to expanding distribution, rising household penetration, and growing demand for organic kids’ nutrition as key tailwinds.

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What the Market Is Telling Us About Once Upon A Farm Stock

Once Upon A Farm stock is being punished for a simple reason: growth is decelerating, and the path to real profitability is still unclear.

Investors who bought into the IPO story were likely expecting the strong 2025 momentum to carry further into 2026.

OFRM Stock Valuation Model (TIKR)

The company does have real growth levers.

It’s now in more than 25,000 stores, has about 3,400 refrigerated coolers in retail locations, and is targeting 5,000 by end of 2026.

New protein-forward products launching in April could help lift average selling prices and margins over time.

Still, Once Upon A Farm stock faces the classic early-stage growth company problem: it needs to keep spending to grow, and that spending is keeping profits near zero.

Until margins show a clearer upward trend, the market is likely to stay cautious.

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Disclaimer:

Please note that the articles on TIKR are not intended to serve as investment or financial advice from TIKR or our content team, nor are they recommendations to buy or sell any stocks. We create our content based on TIKR Terminal’s investment data and analysts’ estimates. Our analysis might not include recent company news or important updates. TIKR has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading, and happy investing!

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