Fiserv Stock Plunges 44% to Record Worst Day Ever As Company Slashes Guidance

Aditya Raghunath5 minute read
Reviewed by: Thomas Richmond
Last updated Oct 30, 2025

Key Stats for Fiserv Stock

  • Price Change for Fiserv stock: -44%
  • Current Share Price as of Oct. 29: $71
  • 52-Week High: $239
  • $FI Stock Price Target: $170

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What Happened?

Fiserv (FI) stock suffered its worst day in company history on Wednesday, plunging 44% after the fintech giant slashed its full-year earnings outlook and announced a sweeping management overhaul.

The stock closed at levels not seen in over two years as investors reacted to what CEO Mike Lyons called a “critical and necessary reset.”

Fiserv now expects adjusted earnings of $8.50 to $8.60 per share for 2025, down dramatically from its previous forecast of $10.15 to $10.30. Revenue growth expectations were cut even more sharply, from 10% to just 3.5% to 4%.

In Q3, Fiserv reported adjusted earnings of $2.04 per share, falling well short of the $2.65 analyst estimate. Revenue rose only 1% year-over-year to $4.92 billion, missing the $5.35 billion consensus.

Lyons, who became CEO earlier this year, was blunt about the company’s struggles. “Our current performance is not where we want it to be nor where our stakeholders expect it to be,” he said in a release.

Fiserv had built a highly successful payments business in Argentina that benefited enormously from the country’s high inflation and interest rates.

Last year alone, Argentina contributed a stunning 10 percentage points to the company’s 16% organic revenue growth, compared to 5 percentage points in 2023.

But as Argentina’s economy stabilized in 2025, that tailwind disappeared—and Fiserv stock is paying the price.

Fiserv Stock Earnings vs. Estimates (TIKR)

The original guidance assumed that non-Argentina businesses would grow “significantly faster than their historical mid-single-digit range” to compensate for the slowdown, Lyons explained.

Instead, the company uncovered what Lyons called “optimistic growth assumptions,” deferred investments that hurt client service, and an overreliance on short-term revenue initiatives rather than sustainable, client-focused strategies.

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What the Market Is Telling Us About Fiserv Stock

The market’s savage reaction suggests investors feel blindsided by the magnitude of Fiserv’s problems. The company had already trimmed guidance in July, just weeks into Lyons’ tenure as CEO. Now, three months later, another massive cut has destroyed credibility with Wall Street.

Fiserv stock investors are also digesting major leadership changes announced alongside the results. Starting in December, COO Takis Georgakopoulos will become co-president alongside Dhivya Suryadevara, who recently served as CEO of Optum Financial Services at UnitedHealth. Paul Todd, formerly CFO of Global Payments, was promoted to the role of finance chief.

The board is getting refreshed, too. Gordon Nixon, Gary Shedlin, and Céline Dufétel will join in January 2026, with Nixon taking over as independent chairman. These moves signal that Fiserv recognizes the depth of its operational and execution problems.

Looking ahead, Lyons warned that 2026 will be “a critical investment and transition year” for the company.

He expects organic revenue growth in the low single digits next year, with adjusted earnings modestly down from 2025 levels. That means Fiserv stock faces at least another year of pain before any recovery begins.

Fiserv Stock Valuation Model (TIKR)

The company unveiled what it calls the “One Fiserv” action plan, which includes investments in client service, technology modernization, and operational excellence powered by AI.

Fiserv is partnering with IBM on a multi-year transformation program called Project Elevate aimed at embedding AI across sales, customer service, and back-office functions.

Lyons emphasized that “nothing at Fiserv is fundamentally broken” and pointed to strong underlying assets, such as Clover, Commerce Hub, and the company’s issuing platforms.

But he acknowledged that deferred investments and short-term thinking had created “competitive and client service gaps” that will take time to fix.

One bright spot: Clover continues to grow, with third-quarter gross payment volume up 8% (11% excluding a gateway conversion).

The company signed major deals, including partnerships with Nubank and a contract with the U.S. Treasury Department.

Free cash flow remains strong at $2.9 billion year-to-date, though full-year expectations were cut to $4.25 billion due to higher capital expenditures.

For Fiserv stock investors, the key question is whether management can execute on its turnaround plan and restore the mid-single-digit revenue growth and double-digit EPS growth that made the company a compounding machine in years past.

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Disclaimer:

Please note that the articles on TIKR are not intended to serve as investment or financial advice from TIKR or our content team, nor are they recommendations to buy or sell any stocks. We create our content based on TIKR Terminal’s investment data and analysts’ estimates. Our analysis might not include recent company news or important updates. TIKR has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading, and happy investing!

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