GE HealthCare Is Down 13% in 2026 Despite Record Backlog and a $98 Price Target

Gian Estrada6 minute read
Reviewed by: David Hanson
Last updated Mar 18, 2026

Key Stats for GE Healthcare Stock

  • Past-Week Performance: -4.7%
  • 52-Week Range: $57.7 to $89.8
  • Current Price: $72.3

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What Happened?

GE HealthCare Technologies (GEHC), a maker of diagnostic imaging systems, MRI scanners, and contrast agents used in hospitals worldwide, absorbed a $0.43-per-share tariff headwind in 2025, still grew adjusted EPS 2.2% to $4.59, and now guides 2026 EPS to $4.95–$5.15 with tariff pressure guided lower, all while the stock trades at $72.34, roughly 19% below its 52-week high of $89.77.

GE HealthCare reported Q4 2025 adjusted EPS of $1.44, beating the $1.40 consensus, on revenue of $5.70 billion that topped the $5.61 billion estimate, as its Pharmaceutical Diagnostics segment, which sells contrast media and radiopharmaceuticals used to enhance medical scans, posted 12.7% organic growth and its Imaging unit, the company’s largest segment at $2.55 billion in Q4 revenue, grew 6.6%.

Underpinning the 2026 growth case, GEHC exited 2025 with a record backlog of $21.8 billion, up $2 billion year-over-year, supported by a book-to-bill ratio of 1.07x on a trailing 12-month basis, a demand signal that peers Siemens Healthineers and Philips have not matched at this scale heading into the same product cycle.

The pending acquisition of Intelerad, a cloud-based medical imaging archiving and workflow software platform, is expected to close in the first half of 2026, adding approximately $270 million in first-year revenue growing low double digits and an adjusted EBITDA margin above 30%, which accelerates GEHC’s strategy of building higher-margin, recurring software revenue alongside its capital equipment business.

CFO Jay Saccaro stated on the Q4 2025 earnings call that “in the initial roll-up, the tariff bill was like $1 billion, and we very quickly mitigated that to $0.5 billion,” then tied that execution directly to the Heartbeat lean business system GEHC deployed mid-2025, which also drove a 25% average monthly improvement in past-due backlog in the second half of the year.

Nine major product launches, including the Photonova Spectra photon-counting CT scanner (FDA review underway, approval expected in 2026) and the Flyrcado cardiac PET agent, which hit 220 weekly doses on January 23 and carries a $500 million-plus revenue target by end-2028, position GEHC to add 1 to 2 percentage points of innovation-driven growth on top of the guided 3% to 4% organic base beginning in 2027.

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Wall Street’s Take on GEHC Stock

GEHC’s Q4 beat and record $21.8 billion backlog confirm that tariff neutralization and a nine-product innovation cycle are converging at exactly the moment the stock, at $72.34, prices in neither.

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GEHC Stock Revenue & EBITDA Margins (TIKR)

The TIKR model estimates revenue reaching $21.6 billion in 2026 and $22.6 billion in 2027, supported by the $2 billion year-over-year backlog build and management’s confirmed 3% to 4% organic growth guide, with EBITDA margin expanding from 18.1% in 2025 to 18.5% in 2026 and 19.0% in 2027 as tariff drag falls below the prior year’s $245 million hit and higher-margin new products enter the revenue mix.

ge healthcare stock
Street Analysts Target for GEHC Stock (TIKR)

Fourteen of 20 analysts covering GEHC hold a buy or outperform rating, with a mean price target of $93.05 and a median of $95.00, implying 28.6% upside from the March 17 close of $72.34, a consensus anchored on Flyrcado dose ramp acceleration and Photonova Spectra FDA clearance expected in 2026.

The analyst price target range spans $75.00 on the low end to $110.00 on the high end: the bear case assumes China remains a multi-year drag and Omnipaque market share erodes faster than GEHC’s 20-SKU portfolio can absorb Amneal’s generic entry, while the bull case reflects full Photonova and total body PET revenue contribution beginning in 2027.

What Does the Valuation Model Say?

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GEHC Stock Valuation Model Results (TIKR)

The TIKR mid-case target of $98.77 implies a 4.4% revenue CAGR through 2030 and net income margins expanding from 10.2% in 2025 to 11.6% in the mid case, a trajectory directly justified by the Heartbeat-driven 25% past-due backlog improvement and the Intelerad acquisition adding $270 million in first-year recurring software revenue above 30% adjusted EBITDA margin.

The market is pricing GEHC at roughly 14.3x 2026E normalized EPS of $5.06, a distressed multiple, despite tariff headwinds guided lower and nine major product launches entering the order book.

Record backlog of $21.8 billion plus 1.07x trailing book-to-bill directly supports the TIKR mid-case $98.77 target, with Photonova Spectra orders and Flyrcado dose ramp as the two variables that determine whether 2027 EPS of $5.57 proves conservative.

CFO Saccaro’s confirmation that tariffs are now “neutral to positive” to 2026 financial performance, versus a $0.43-per-share drag in 2025, is the single most underappreciated management signal in the current setup.

China, guided down and representing approximately 10% of total sales, is the one variable that breaks the model if commercial recovery stalls; a sustained decline would pressure the 3% to 4% organic revenue growth assumption and push EBITDA margin expansion below the guided 50 to 80 basis points.

Photonova Spectra FDA clearance, expected in 2026, is the single event to watch; orders taken post-approval convert to revenue primarily in 2027, and the weekly Flyrcado dose count each quarter is the real-time signal of whether the $500 million-plus end-2028 target is tracking.

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Should You Invest in GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.?

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