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Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) remains one of the most widely followed and debated stocks in the world. After years of explosive growth, the company now needs to prove it can maintain leadership in a maturing EV market while expanding into AI, robotics, and energy storage. Shares have rallied in recent months, but analyst views on the stock’s future remain mixed.
In this article, we break down Wall Street forecasts for Tesla through 2027, using consensus targets, valuation models, and historical data to understand where the stock might be headed. These projections are based on analyst estimates and do not reflect TIKR’s own views.
Analyst Price Targets Suggest Limited Near-Term Upside
Wall Street sentiment on Tesla has cooled in recent quarters, with analysts now expecting only modest upside from current levels. As of late July 2025, Tesla trades around $333 per share, while the average price target stands at $305, implying a slight downside of about 8%. This is a big change from early 2024, when Tesla traded closer to $260 and analysts saw over 25% upside for the stock.
Estimates range widely, from a low of $115 to a high of $500, reflecting the market’s uncertainty around Tesla’s growth outside of vehicles in areas including autonomy, energy, and robotics. While analysts still see long-term value in Tesla’s ecosystem, the near-term outlook is more cautious as growth slows and competition intensifies.
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Growth Outlook and Valuation Still Hard to Reconcile
According to analyst projections, Tesla’s revenue is expected to grow at about 12.5% annually through the end of 2027. Operating margins are forecast to expand slightly to 9.7%. This would likely result in Tesla achieving double-digit annual earnings growth.
But even with that growth, Tesla’s valuation remains high. The stock currently trades at 171x forward earnings. If Tesla was valued based on its 3-year average normalized NTM P/E multiple of 75.7x, that would value the stock at a projected share price of $343.79 and imply just a +3.4% total return through 2027, or about 1.4% annualized.
While Tesla continues to post impressive long-term growth, the stock’s current valuation leaves little room for error. Without stronger-than-expected revenue growth or margin expansion, it’s likely that the stock could see low returns if its valuation multiple falls.
However, analysts project Tesla could see EPS growth of 71% in 2028 and 60% in 2029. If these estimates hold, it could warrant the stock continuing to trade at over 100x earnings, which would increase projected returns.
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What’s Driving the Optimism?
The bull case for Tesla rests on its scale, brand strength, and ability to expand beyond just cars. While vehicle sales remain its core business, investors are increasingly focused on Tesla’s potential in energy storage, autonomy, and AI. The company continues to invest in new factories, optimize production, and refine its Full Self-Driving (FSD) software.
Tesla’s massive data advantage in autonomous driving and its growing energy business have helped support its premium valuation. CEO Elon Musk’s long-term vision around robotics and AI has also added excitement, even if those revenues are years away.
I do think if Tesla continues to execute well with vehicle autonomy and humanoid robot autonomy, it will be the most valuable company in the world… provided we execute very well.
Elon Musk Q2 Earnings Call
Bear Case: Slowing Growth and High Expectations
Analysts expect revenue to rise at a 12.5% CAGR through 2027, which is solid, but far from the hypergrowth that once defined the company. Margins have also come under pressure, especially as Tesla cuts prices to stay competitive in a crowded EV market.
Tesla trades at 171x next-twelve-months estimated earnings, which could mean that years of future growth might already be priced in. There’s also execution risk around new initiatives like robotaxis and Optimus. If these projects don’t deliver material revenue by 2027, investors may start to question the company’s valuation.
Outlook for 2027: What Could Tesla Be Worth?
Tesla’s current stock price of around $333 implies limited upside over the next few years. Based on the guided valuation model, the stock could reach $344 by the end of 2027, which would be a gain of just 3.4% total or about 1.4% annually.
At that level, Tesla would be trading at 75.7x forward earnings, assuming $4.5 billion in net income and 1.2 billion shares outstanding. That kind of multiple assumes continued dominance, strong brand loyalty, and real progress in new business lines.
Bottom line: Tesla is still a category-defining company, but its stock price already reflects much of the optimism. Without another breakout product or major margin expansion, near-term returns could stay muted.
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