Key Takeaways for Sea Limited Stock as of August 2026
- Earnings Pop: Sea Limited stock jumped 15% on Tuesday, August 11, after Q2 revenue hit $7.79B, up 48% YoY and topped Street estimates by ~10%.
- Street Split: 21 buys, 6 outperforms, and 2 holds make up Sea Limited stock’s current coverage, with a $143 mean target sitting just 9% above Tuesday’s close.
- Model Gap: TIKR values SE stock at $276, implying 110% upside.
- Stale Targets: The Street’s mean target barely moved from $141 to $143 over two quarters even as SE stock swung from an $83 low back above $132, a sign analysts have lagged the recovery.
Why Sea Limited Stock Jumped 15% on Blowout Q2 Revenue
Sea Limited (SE) stock jumped 15% to close at $132 on Tuesday, August 11, after the company’s second quarter revenue crushed Wall Street’s estimates and management raised its profitability outlook for Shopee, Sea’s e-commerce arm. Revenue came in at $7.79 billion, up 48% year over year and roughly 10% ahead of the Street’s $7.09 billion estimate.
The beat ran across all three businesses. Shopee’s gross merchandise value climbed 28% year over year to $38.3 billion, and ad revenue jumped more than 70% as sellers leaned harder into Sea’s advertising tools. Monee, the fintech arm, grew its loan book 62% year over year to $11.1 billion while keeping its 90-day delinquency ratio at a stable 1.0%. Garena, the gaming unit, posted bookings of $764 million, up 15% year over year, anchored by Free Fire’s ninth straight year of growth.
Chairman and CEO Forrest Li told investors on the call that Sea is “optimistic that Shopee will achieve the milestone of $1 billion in adjusted EBITDA for the full year,” after the unit’s quarterly adjusted EBITDA rose 12% year over year to $255 million. That guidance, layered on top of the revenue beat, is what pushed traders to look past a messier bottom line.
Shopee’s new buyer growth accelerated too. Average monthly new active buyers grew more than 35% year over year, a sharp acceleration from prior quarters, and purchase frequency rose 8%. That combination told investors the growth was coming from real engagement, not just discounting.
Adjusted EPS of $0.84 missed the Street’s $0.86 estimate, and net income of $527 million came in 4.4% below consensus. But the miss traced to taxes, not operations. Sea’s income tax expense jumped to $251 million from $144 million a year earlier, more than offsetting a 33% jump in EBIT to $650 million that beat Street estimates by 12%. Operating profitability actually improved faster than the headline EPS number suggested.
Investors clearly weighted the operating story over the tax-driven EPS miss, and that reordering of priorities is what repriced Sea Limited stock 15% higher in a single session.
Sea Limited Stock’s Analyst Targets Are Playing Catch-Up
Coverage on Sea Limited stock stands at 21 buys, 6 outperforms, and 2 holds, with no underperform or sell ratings across 28 analysts. The mean target sits at $143, just 9% above Tuesday’s $132 close.
That gap used to be far wider. Analysts cut their mean target hard as the stock fell, from $204 in September 2025 to $141 by March 2026, tracking SE stock’s slide from $179 to $83 over that stretch. But since then the target has barely moved, ticking between $140 and $143 across the last three quarters while Sea Limited stock rallied 59% off its low to $132. Coverage has thinned too, from 33 analysts a year ago to 28 now, and holds have all but disappeared, dropping from 7 to 2 while buys held steady at 21. The Street set its floor during the crash and has stood pat through the rebound, which is why the implied upside has compressed from 46% back in June to just 9% today.
That resilience lines up with Tuesday’s print. A Street that never fully soured on Sea Limited stock through the drawdown is now watching the growth case it defended get confirmed in the numbers, even if the mean target has yet to move.
TIKR Values Sea Limited Stock at $276, Nearly Double Today’s Price
TIKR’s mid-case model values Sea Limited stock at $276 by December 2030, implying a 110% total return from the current price of $132, or 18% annualized over 4.4 years.
An 18% annualized return over more than four years puts SE stock’s implied trajectory well ahead of what most large-cap internet names are priced for today.
That gap is wide because the market is still pricing Sea Limited off the crash that sent the stock to $83 in March, not off the 48% revenue growth and raised Shopee guidance management delivered on August 11. The Street’s $143 mean target barely reflects the rebound already in the price, and TIKR’s model is betting that Shopee’s push toward $1 billion in adjusted EBITDA and Monee’s expanding loan book close the rest of the distance to $276.
None of that requires a growth rate beyond what Sea Limited just delivered. Holding Shopee’s current EBITDA trajectory and Monee’s 62% loan growth over the next several years does most of the work embedded in TIKR’s target, without assuming a re-acceleration from here.
The margin path backs that up. Sea Limited’s EBITDA margin came in at 11.78% in Q2, and TIKR’s own model has it fading further, to 11% by September and 10% by year end. The $276 target isn’t underwritten by expanding profitability. It’s underwritten by revenue outgrowing that margin compression, which is exactly the trade Tuesday’s print confirmed.
Should You Invest in Sea Limited?
The only way to really know is to look at the numbers yourself. TIKR gives you free access to the same institutional-quality financial data that professional analysts use to answer exactly that question.
Pull up Sea Limited stock and you’ll see years of historical financials, what Wall Street analysts expect for revenue and earnings in the quarters ahead, how valuation multiples have moved over time, and whether price targets are trending up or down.
You can build a free watchlist to track Sea Limited alongside every other stock on your radar. No credit card required. Just the data you need to decide for yourself.
Access Professional Tools to Analyze SE stock on TIKR for Free →
Looking for New Opportunities?
- See what stocks billionaire investors are buying so you can follow the smart money.
- Analyze stocks in as little as 5 minutes with TIKR’s all-in-one, easy-to-use platform.
- The more rocks you overturn… the more opportunities you’ll uncover. Search 100K+ global stocks, global top investor holdings, and more with TIKR.
Disclaimer:
Please note that the articles on TIKR are not intended to serve as investment or financial advice from TIKR or our content team, nor are they recommendations to buy or sell any stocks. We create our content based on TIKR Terminal’s investment data and analysts’ estimates. Our analysis might not include recent company news or important updates. TIKR has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading, and happy investing!
