Oracle Stock Is Up 28% As RPOs Soar Over 350% to $455 Billion

Aditya Raghunath4 minute read
Reviewed by: Thomas Richmond
Last updated Sep 10, 2025

Key Stats for Oracle Stock

  • Price Change for $ORCL stock: 28%
  • Current Share Price: $310
  • 52-Week High: $310
  • $ORCL Stock Price Target: $252

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What Happened?

Oracle (ORCL) stock surged 28% following earnings results that, although missing Wall Street estimates, revealed massive AI-driven growth prospects, leaving analysts stunned.

The database software giant reported adjusted earnings of $1.47 per share versus $1.48 expected and revenue of $14.93 billion versus $15.04 billion expected, but those misses were completely overshadowed by unprecedented forward guidance.

The company’s remaining performance obligations (RPO), which are contracted revenue not yet recognized, skyrocketed to $455 billion, up 359% from a year earlier and representing over $317 billion in new bookings during just the first quarter.

CEO Safra Catz revealed Oracle signed four multibillion-dollar contracts with three different customers, including a significant agreement with OpenAI to develop 4.5 gigawatts of U.S. data center capacity.

Oracle’s Q1 Earnings vs. Estimates (TIKR)

Oracle projected that its cloud infrastructure revenue will grow 77% to $18 billion this fiscal year, then surge to $32 billion, $73 billion, $114 billion, and $144 billion over the following four years, representing a tenfold increase over five years, which analysts called “absolutely staggering.”

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What the Market Is Telling Us About ORCL Stock

The euphoric market reaction to ORCL stock reflects recognition that Oracle has positioned itself as a critical infrastructure provider for the AI revolution.

While the company missed near-term estimates, investors are focusing on the massive contracted revenue backlog and Oracle’s unique advantages in the AI training and inference markets.

Co-founder Larry Ellison emphasized that Oracle’s differentiated networking capabilities enable AI workloads to run twice as fast as those of competitors, resulting in half the cost per hour.

The company has secured partnerships with OpenAI, xAI, Meta, NVIDIA, AMD, and Google, positioning Oracle as the “go-to place for AI workloads,” according to Catz.

Analysts were effusive in their praise, with Guggenheim’s John DiFucci saying he was “blown away” and Deutsche Bank’s Brad Zelnick calling it evidence of “a seismic shift happening in computing.”

ORCL stock is poised for its best single-day performance since the dot-com boom of 1999, potentially pushing Oracle’s market cap past $870 billion.

Oracle Stock Valuation Model (TIKR)

The massive CapEx guidance of $35 billion for fiscal 2026 reflects Oracle’s confidence in converting its contracted backlog into revenue, with management emphasizing its “asset-light” approach that focuses on revenue-generating equipment rather than owning buildings.

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Disclaimer:

Please note that the articles on TIKR are not intended to serve as investment or financial advice from TIKR or our content team, nor are they recommendations to buy or sell any stocks. We create our content based on TIKR Terminal’s investment data and analysts’ estimates. Our analysis might not include recent company news or important updates. TIKR has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading, and happy investing!

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