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Microsoft (MSFT) Stock Pops 8% After the Tech Giant Crushed Fiscal Q4 Estimates

Aditya Raghunath
Aditya Raghunath4 minute read
Reviewed by: Thomas Richmond
Last updated Jul 31, 2025
Microsoft (MSFT) Stock Pops 8% After the Tech Giant Crushed Fiscal Q4 Estimates

@Kaspars Grinvalds via Canva

Key Stats for Microsoft Stock

  • Price Change for MSFT stock: +8%
  • Current Share Price: $555
  • 52-Week High: $555
  • Microsoft Stock Price Target: $550

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What Happened?

Microsoft (MSFT) stock surged 8% after the tech giant delivered a blockbuster fiscal fourth-quarter earnings report that exceeded Wall Street expectations across all key metrics.

The company posted earnings per share of $3.65 versus the $3.38 consensus estimate, while revenue of $76.44 billion crushed expectations of $73.84 billion, representing 18% year-over-year growth, the fastest pace in over three years.

The standout performance came from Microsoft’s cloud computing business, with the Intelligent Cloud segment generating $29.88 billion in revenue (up 26%) and Azure growth accelerating to 39%, well above the expected 34-35%.

For the first time, Microsoft disclosed that Azure and other cloud services exceeded $75 billion in annual revenue, up 34% from the prior year.

Importantly, MSFT stock guided for 37% Azure growth in the coming quarter, above the 33.7% consensus.

Microsoft’s Fiscal Q4 Earnings Review (TIKR)

Microsoft’s AI investments are clearly paying dividends, with CEO Satya Nadella revealing that Copilot products have reached 100 million monthly active users.

The company’s Microsoft 365 Copilot is driving higher revenue per user across commercial cloud products, demonstrating successful monetization of AI features that many investors have been waiting to see materialize.

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What the Market Is Telling Us About MSFT Stock

The surge in MSFT stock reflects investor enthusiasm for Microsoft’s ability to convert massive AI infrastructure investments into accelerating revenue growth.

Its guidance for over $30 billion in capital expenditures for the first quarter, potentially indicating over $120 billion annually versus the $100.5 billion consensus, signals continued confidence in AI demand despite supply constraints.

MSFT Stock Valuation Model (TIKR)

CFO Amy Hood’s admission that Microsoft expects to remain capacity-constrained through December, rather than achieving a better supply-demand balance as previously hoped, reinforces the strength of underlying demand.

With Microsoft’s cloud business showing no signs of deceleration and AI adoption accelerating across enterprise customers, investors are betting that its leadership position in the AI infrastructure race will drive sustained outperformance.

The MSFT stock climbed to $4.1 trillion in market capitalization, making Microsoft only the second company after Nvidia to cross the $4 trillion threshold, cementing its position as a primary beneficiary of the AI revolution.

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Disclaimer:

Please note that the articles on TIKR are not intended to serve as investment or financial advice from TIKR or our content team, nor are they recommendations to buy or sell any stocks. We create our content based on TIKR Terminal’s investment data and analysts’ estimates. Our analysis might not include recent company news or important updates. TIKR has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading, and happy investing!

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