Dell Stock Dropped 8% Last Week. Why Analysts See a Rebound to $162

Wiltone Asuncion3 minute read
Reviewed by: Thomas Richmond
Last updated Jan 21, 2026

Key Stats for Dell Stock

  • Price Change: -7.9%
  • Current Price: $111
  • Advanced Model Price Target: $162

The market says AI is cooling. The data says otherwise. Run the numbers on TIKR →

What Happened?

Shares of Dell Technologies (DELL) crashed 7.9% on Wednesday, closing at $111.

The drop came as a wave of “Hardware Sector Weakness” hammered the broader market.

Investors are worried that the AI server hype cycle is finally cooling off.

This sentiment dragged down major peers like Broadcom (AVGO) and even Nvidia (NVDA).

The selling pressure suggests a sector-wide exit from hardware names.

Dell Stock Price Target (TIKR)

Is Dell Undervalued Today?

While the stock chart looks broken, the actual order book tells a completely different story.

Speaking at the UBS Global Technology Conference, COO Jeff Clarke revealed that demand is actually accelerating.

He confirmed that Dell posted $12.3 billion in record AI orders for the quarter.

Even more critical, the company’s backlog has swelled to $18.4 billion.

This growth is driven by massive demand from Neoclouds and enterprise clients.

According to TIKR’s Advanced Valuation Model, the market is mispricing this growth.

  • Advanced Model Price Target: $162
  • Current Price: $111
  • Potential Upside: +45.5%

The model assumes Dell can maintain an 8.7% revenue CAGR through 2031 as it converts that massive backlog into recognized revenue.

Conclusion: The market is panic-selling on “hype fatigue,” but with an $18 billion backlog, Dell’s fundamentals suggest a rebound to $162 is justified.

How Much Upside Does Dell Stock Have From Here?

With TIKR’s new Valuation Model tool, you can estimate a stock’s potential share price in under a minute.

All it takes is three simple inputs:

  1. Revenue Growth
  2. Operating Margins
  3. Exit P/E Multiple

If you’re not sure what to enter, TIKR automatically fills in each input using analysts’ consensus estimates, giving you a quick, reliable starting point.

From there, TIKR calculates the potential share price and total returns under Bull, Base, and Bear scenarios so you can quickly see whether a stock looks undervalued or overvalued.

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Disclaimer:

Please note that the articles on TIKR are not intended to serve as investment or financial advice from TIKR or our content team, nor are they recommendations to buy or sell any stocks. We create our content based on TIKR Terminal’s investment data and analysts’ estimates. Our analysis might not include recent company news or important updates. TIKR has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading, and happy investing!

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