Key Stats for ASML Stock
- Price change for ASML stock in last 6 months: 11%
- $ASML Stock Price as of Oct. 14: $1596
- 52-Week High: $1988
- $ASML Stock Price Target: $2314
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What Happened?
ASML (ASML) shares slipped on Wednesday after its Q3 report.
- Sales were €11.66 billion, while analysts expected €11.72 billion
- Net profit stood at €4.96 billion, well above the €4.1 billion expected. About €0.5 billion came from a higher value on its Mistral AI investment.
- Earnings per share were €11.82, above estimates of €10.76.
The outlook was also solid. ASML expects Q4 sales of €14.2 billion to €15.2 billion, which beat estimates.
For 2026, it now sees sales of €44 billion to €45 billion, up from a prior low end of €43 billion, which translates to 36% growth.
CEO Christophe Fouquet said some customers want to place orders for 2029 and even 2030, which provides long-term top-line visibility..
The company also said its planned 2027 and 2028 output will not fully meet demand. It is considering adding more than the 30% capacity increase it planned for 2028.
Other notable points from the call:
- China should stay at about 20% of sales.
- Samsung and TSMC plan to use High NA EUV machines in volume production.
- Memory system sales should grow about 75% this year.
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What the Market Is Telling Us About ASML Stock
The reaction looks mixed. The sales miss was tiny, and profit beat by a wide margin, but some investors seem focused on margins.
ASML expects a gross margin of about 57% in Q4, down from 57.5% in Q3.
CFO Roger Dassen said ramp costs are the reason, as ASML is spending to build more capacity.
Price increases should help later, and Dassen said they will show up in 2027, with the full effect in 2028. ASML stock has rallied 48% this year, so even a small miss can lower valuations.
For now, the long-term picture is strong. ASML stock still has a lock on EUV machines, and customers are lining up for years of capacity. The question is how much of that is already in the price.
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So what is ASML stock actually worth?
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Disclaimer:
Please note that the articles on TIKR are not intended to serve as investment or financial advice from TIKR or our content team, nor are they recommendations to buy or sell any stocks. We create our content based on TIKR Terminal’s investment data and analysts’ estimates. Our analysis might not include recent company news or important updates. TIKR has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading, and happy investing!
