[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"app-context":3,"blog-upstart-stock-contribution-profit-hit-an-all-time-high-the-stock-still-trades-like-a-broken-lender-ZH":222},{"languages":4,"categories":41,"products":125,"competitors":149},[5,9,13,17,21,25,29,33,37],{"name":6,"code":7,"id":8},"English","EN","TGFuZ3VhZ2U6ZW4=",{"name":10,"code":11,"id":12},"Español","ES","TGFuZ3VhZ2U6ZXM=",{"name":14,"code":15,"id":16},"Português","PT","TGFuZ3VhZ2U6cHQ=",{"name":18,"code":19,"id":20},"日本語","JA","TGFuZ3VhZ2U6amE=",{"name":22,"code":23,"id":24},"한국어","KO","TGFuZ3VhZ2U6a28=",{"name":26,"code":27,"id":28},"Deutsch","DE","TGFuZ3VhZ2U6ZGU=",{"name":30,"code":31,"id":32},"Italiano","IT","TGFuZ3VhZ2U6aXQ=",{"name":34,"code":35,"id":36},"Français","FR","TGFuZ3VhZ2U6ZnI=",{"name":38,"code":39,"id":40},"中文 (中国)","ZH","TGFuZ3VhZ2U6emg=",[42,73,104],{"icon":43,"slug":44,"title":45,"description":46,"featuredLinks":47},"mingcute:stock-line","stock-market-basics","Stock Market Basics","\u003Cp>Beginners' guides and practical tips for understanding stock market investing.\u003C\u002Fp>\n",[48,53,58,63,68],{"url":49,"title":50,"description":51,"ogImage":52},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fwhat-makes-stocks-go-up-and-down","What Makes Stocks Go Up and Down | TIKR.com","Understanding what makes stock prices go up and down can help investors better navigate investing. Click to learn more!","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FWhat-makes-stocks-go-up-and-down-banner\u002FWhat-makes-stocks-go-up-and-down-banner.jpg?_i=AA",{"url":54,"title":55,"description":56,"ogImage":57},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fdividend-yield-meaning-formula-example","Dividend Yield: Meaning, Formula, Example | Tikr.com Blog | TIKR.com","The dividend yield is a key metric for investors looking to gauge the income potential of their investments. It measures how much a company pays out in","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FDividend-yield\u002FDividend-yield.png?_i=AA",{"url":59,"title":60,"description":61,"ogImage":62},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fmarket-capitalization-definition-formula-and-why-it-matters","Market Capitalization: Definition, Formula, and Why It Matters | TIKR.com","Long-term investors often look at various valuation metrics when deciding whether to invest in a particular company. One helpful metric to evaluate is","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FMarket-Capitalization-Definition-Formula-and-Why-It-Matters\u002FMarket-Capitalization-Definition-Formula-and-Why-It-Matters.png?_i=AA",{"url":64,"title":65,"description":66,"ogImage":67},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fearnings-per-share-definition-formula-and-why-eps-matters","Earnings Per Share: Definition, Formula, and Why EPS Matters | TIKR.com","Earnings Per Share (EPS) represents the portion of a company's net earnings allocated to each share. Click to learn more!","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FEPS-Defiinition-formula-and-why-EPS-matters-1\u002FEPS-Defiinition-formula-and-why-EPS-matters-1.png?_i=AA",{"url":69,"title":70,"description":71,"ogImage":72},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fwhat-is-a-stock-price-target","What Is a Stock Price Target? | TIKR.com","A price target is a stock's estimated future price. It can help investors quickly find undervalued stocks. Learn more now!","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FWhat-is-a-Stock-Price-Target-2\u002FWhat-is-a-Stock-Price-Target-2.png?_i=AA",{"icon":74,"slug":75,"title":76,"description":77,"featuredLinks":78},"material-symbols:analytics-outline","fundamental-analysis","Fundamental Analysis","\u003Cp>In-depth resources and financial metrics to help you evaluate companies like a pro.\u003C\u002Fp>\n",[79,84,89,94,99],{"url":80,"title":81,"description":82,"ogImage":83},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fshare-repurchase-why-do-companies-buy-back-their-stock","Share Repurchase: Why Do Companies Buy Back Their Stock? | TIKR.com","Share repurchases, or share buybacks, have gained popularity in the last two decades. According to a report from Goldman Sachs, stock buybacks initiated","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR-BLOG-COVER-PHOTOS-3_544a7f4e\u002FTIKR-BLOG-COVER-PHOTOS-3_544a7f4e.png?_i=AA",{"url":85,"title":86,"description":87,"ogImage":88},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fwhat-is-a-good-return-on-invested-capital","What Is a Good Return on Invested Capital? | TIKR.com","Learning about Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) can help investors spot highly profitable stocks that can drive long-term returns. Learn more now!","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FWhat-is-a-good-return-on-Invested-capital\u002FWhat-is-a-good-return-on-Invested-capital.png?_i=AA",{"url":90,"title":91,"description":92,"ogImage":93},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fwhat-is-a-good-return-on-equity-ratio","What is a Good Return on Equity Ratio | Tikr.com Blog | TIKR.com","Return on Equity (ROE) is a financial ratio that reflects a company's profitability in relation to the equity invested by shareholders. It basically","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FWhat-is-a-good-return-on-equity-ratio-1\u002FWhat-is-a-good-return-on-equity-ratio-1.jpg?_i=AA",{"url":95,"title":96,"description":97,"ogImage":98},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fwhat-is-a-good-p-e-ratio","What Is a Good P\u002FE Ratio? | TIKR.com","Financial analysts and investors look at various metrics before deciding whether a stock is a buy. One of the metrics is the price-to-earnings ratio (P\u002FE","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FWhat-is-a-good-PE-ratio-1\u002FWhat-is-a-good-PE-ratio-1.jpg?_i=AA",{"url":100,"title":101,"description":102,"ogImage":103},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Ftop-6-metrics-for-investing-in-reits","Top 6 Metrics for Investing in REITs | TIKR.com","Real estate has been one of the greatest asset classes for wealth creation in history, and investing in Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) can allow","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FGroup-10\u002FGroup-10.png?_i=AA",{"icon":105,"slug":106,"title":107,"description":108,"featuredLinks":109},"hugeicons:investigation","investing-lingo","Investing Lingo","\u003Cp>A comprehensive glossary of investing terms and jargon so you can speak the language of the markets confidently.\u003C\u002Fp>\n",[110,115,120],{"url":111,"title":112,"description":113,"ogImage":114},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fenterprise-value-definition-and-calculation","Enterprise Value: Definition and Calculation | Tikr.com Blog | TIKR.com","Enterprise value (EV) is a financial metric that offers a comprehensive snapshot of a company's total value. Unlike market capitalization which solely","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FEnterprise-Value-Definition-and-Calculation_37576e40\u002FEnterprise-Value-Definition-and-Calculation_37576e40.png?_i=AA",{"url":116,"title":117,"description":118,"ogImage":119},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Febitda-definition-formula-how-to-use-it","EBITDA: Definition, Formula, How to Use It | TIKR.com","EBITDA stands for earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. It's a financial metric commonly used to evaluate a company's financial","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FEBITDA-Definition-Formula-How-to-Use-It\u002FEBITDA-Definition-Formula-How-to-Use-It.png?_i=AA",{"url":121,"title":122,"description":123,"ogImage":124},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fwhat-is-the-free-cash-flow-formula-and-why-does-it-matter","What is the Free Cash Flow Formula and Why Does It Matter | TIKR.com","Free cash flow, or FCF, is the cash a company generates after it accounts for outflows required to maintain business operations and support capital","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FWhat-is-the-free-cash-flow-formula\u002FWhat-is-the-free-cash-flow-formula.png?_i=AA",[126,130,134,137,141,145],{"slug":127,"modified":128,"title":129},"valuation-model-builder","2025-07-03T00:18:53","Value Stocks Quickly and Accurately",{"slug":131,"modified":132,"title":133},"stock-portfolio-tracking","2024-12-02T22:21:28","Monitor Your Portfolio",{"slug":75,"modified":135,"title":136},"2025-01-21T22:10:52","Instantly Analyze Companies with In-Depth Metrics",{"slug":138,"modified":139,"title":140},"stock-screener","2024-12-02T22:13:31","Find the Best Stocks to Buy",{"slug":142,"modified":143,"title":144},"investor-stock-portfolio","2025-01-21T22:02:56","Follow Investment Moves of Top Investors",{"slug":146,"modified":147,"title":148},"analyze-stocks","2025-07-23T16:04:24","Analyze Stocks",[150,154,158,162,166,170,174,178,182,186,190,194,198,202,206,210,214,218],{"slug":151,"title":152,"modified":153},"bloomberg","Bloomberg","2025-01-16T14:23:44",{"slug":155,"title":156,"modified":157},"morningstar","Morningstar","2025-01-16T14:25:16",{"slug":159,"title":160,"modified":161},"sentieo","Sentieo","2025-01-16T17:58:27",{"slug":163,"title":164,"modified":165},"googlefinance","Google Finance","2025-01-17T19:39:37",{"slug":167,"title":168,"modified":169},"tradingview","TradingView","2025-01-16T18:17:01",{"slug":171,"title":172,"modified":173},"factset","Factset","2025-01-16T18:20:16",{"slug":175,"title":176,"modified":177},"finviz","Finviz","2025-01-16T18:23:40",{"slug":179,"title":180,"modified":181},"ycharts","YCharts","2025-01-16T18:32:19",{"slug":183,"title":184,"modified":185},"marketbeat","MarketBeat","2025-03-11T00:27:23",{"slug":187,"title":188,"modified":189},"benzinga","Benzinga","2025-03-11T00:31:00",{"slug":191,"title":192,"modified":193},"gurufocus","Gurufocus","2025-03-11T00:31:12",{"slug":195,"title":196,"modified":197},"fast-graphs","FAST Graphs","2025-03-11T00:31:19",{"slug":199,"title":200,"modified":201},"tipranks","TipRanks","2025-03-11T00:31:26",{"slug":203,"title":204,"modified":205},"seeking-alpha","Seeking Alpha","2025-03-11T00:31:45",{"slug":207,"title":208,"modified":209},"thestreet","TheStreet","2025-03-11T00:31:52",{"slug":211,"title":212,"modified":213},"investing-com","Investing.com","2025-03-11T00:32:00",{"slug":215,"title":216,"modified":217},"zacks","Zacks","2025-03-26T15:40:40",{"slug":219,"title":220,"modified":221},"alphasense","AlphaSense","2025-03-11T00:32:15",{"post":223,"seo":259,"relatedPosts":266,"suggestedPosts":343},{"id":224,"title":225,"date":226,"modified":227,"excerpt":228,"content":229,"wordCount":230,"lang":231,"uri":232,"slug":233,"cloudinaryAssetId":234,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":235,"featuredImageMetadata":236,"author":239,"editor":245,"categories":250,"relatedPosts":256,"seo":257},129473,"Upstart股票贡献利润创下历史新高。该股交易表现仍像一家陷入困境的贷款机构","2026-09-08T21:50:00","2026-09-08T22:09:23","\u003Cp>Upstart自身的宏观指数显示违约风险比正常水平高出50%，但该公司刚刚公布了创纪录的贡献利润以及多年来资本效率最高的季度。股价在28美元的水平，几乎没有反映这些积极因素。\u003C\u002Fp>","\u003Ch3 id=\"h-k-ey-stats-for-upstart-stock\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Upstart股票\u003Cstrong>关键数据\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fh3>\n\n\n\n\u003Cul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>当前价格：\u003C\u002Fstrong> $28.05\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>目标价格（中值）：\u003C\u002Fstrong> ~$113\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>华尔街目标价：\u003C\u002Fstrong> ~$40\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>潜在总回报率：\u003C\u002Fstrong> ~301%\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>年化内部收益率：\u003C\u002Fstrong> ~38% \u002F 年\u003C\u002Fli>\n\u003C\u002Ful>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cem>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">现已上线：使用TIKR全新估值模型，发现您最喜爱股票的潜在上涨空间（免费）\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fem>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\"> >>>\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Ch2 id=\"h-what-happened\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">发生了什么？\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>Upstart Holdings (\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fstock\u002Fabout?cid=28543927&tid=573271536&?ref=tikrblog\">\u003Cstrong>UPST\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fa>\u003Cstrong>)\u003C\u002Fstrong> 股价为$28.05，过去一年下跌约60%，而其自身的信贷模型正发出警示信号：9月3日，Upstart宏观指数（UMI）维持在1.50，意味着宏观环境正推动违约率比公司长期基准高出约50%。令人费解的是，同一家公司刚刚公布了创纪录的贡献利润，实现了迄今为止最佳运营季度，并且今天CEO Paul Gu将在高盛Communacopia会议上登台，论证复苏具有持续性。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">尽管8月份贷款发放额同比增长57%至13.4亿美元，且资产负债表对Upstart自身资本的依赖度降至近两年最低，但股价仍比2026年初低了三分之一，接近多年低点。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Ch2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u003Cstrong>管理层希望你关注的指标\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">第二季度营收达到3.6471亿美元，同比增长41.75%，公司恢复GAAP盈利，实现净利润1650万美元，较一年前的560万美元增长195%。贡献利润创下1.93亿美元的历史新高。调整后\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fearnings-per-share-definition-formula-and-why-eps-matters\">每股收益\u003C\u002Fa>为$0.57，超过华尔街预期的$0.55。财报发布后股价几乎未动，次日仅上涨0.40%，因为一个季度永远无法解决这个由来已久的争论。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">在8月份美国银行的炉边谈话中，Gu提到了一个数字。他说：\"我们在第二季度实现了创纪录的贡献利润，超过了2021年第四季度，而当时的宏观条件要宽松得多。\" 这个比较剥离了利率和违约的背景（现在远比2021年严峻），从而孤立地看运营进展。贡献利润是扣除直接获客和服务成本后剩余的收费收入，它为公司构建的一切其他业务提供资金。核心引擎是个人贷款，这是Upstart利润率最高的产品，其在第二季度的增长超过了前三个季度的总和。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cfigure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\">\u003Cimg width=\"3023\" height=\"2015\" data-public-id=\"images\u002FTIKR.com_UPST-Upstart-Holdings-Inc.-Revenues-and-Net-Income_129504a07ce\u002FTIKR.com_UPST-Upstart-Holdings-Inc.-Revenues-and-Net-Income_129504a07ce.webp\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_3023,h_2015,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788903645\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR.com_UPST-Upstart-Holdings-Inc.-Revenues-and-Net-Income_129504a07ce\u002FTIKR.com_UPST-Upstart-Holdings-Inc.-Revenues-and-Net-Income_129504a07ce.webp?_i=AA\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-post-129473 wp-image-129504\" data-format=\"webp\" data-transformations=\"f_webp,q_auto\" data-version=\"1788903645\" data-seo=\"1\" srcset=\"https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788903645\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR.com_UPST-Upstart-Holdings-Inc.-Revenues-and-Net-Income_129504a07ce\u002FTIKR.com_UPST-Upstart-Holdings-Inc.-Revenues-and-Net-Income_129504a07ce.webp?_i=AA 3023w, https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788903645\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR.com_UPST-Upstart-Holdings-Inc.-Revenues-and-Net-Income_129504a07ce\u002FTIKR.com_UPST-Upstart-Holdings-Inc.-Revenues-and-Net-Income_129504a07ce.webp?_i=AA 600w, https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_1200,h_800,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788903645\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR.com_UPST-Upstart-Holdings-Inc.-Revenues-and-Net-Income_129504a07ce\u002FTIKR.com_UPST-Upstart-Holdings-Inc.-Revenues-and-Net-Income_129504a07ce.webp?_i=AA 1200w, https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_1400,h_933,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788903645\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR.com_UPST-Upstart-Holdings-Inc.-Revenues-and-Net-Income_129504a07ce\u002FTIKR.com_UPST-Upstart-Holdings-Inc.-Revenues-and-Net-Income_129504a07ce.webp?_i=AA 1400w, https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_300,h_200,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788903645\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR.com_UPST-Upstart-Holdings-Inc.-Revenues-and-Net-Income_129504a07ce\u002FTIKR.com_UPST-Upstart-Holdings-Inc.-Revenues-and-Net-Income_129504a07ce.webp?_i=AA 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 3023px) 100vw, 3023px\" \u002F>\u003Cfigcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Upstart营收与净利润 \u003Cstrong>(\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fmarkets?fid=1&?ref=tikrblog\">TIKR\u003C\u002Fa>)\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Ffigcaption>\u003C\u002Ffigure>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\">\u003C\u002Fa>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\">\u003C\u002Fa>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">查看Upstart股票的历史及前瞻预测（免费！）>>>\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Ch2 id=\"h-why-the-funding-story-broke-the-old-bear-case\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cstrong>为何融资情况打破了旧的看跌逻辑\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">多年来，最响亮的批评是增长迫使Upstart将自身股权置于资产负债表上，使其暴露在2022年导致股价崩盘的那种信贷冲击风险中。第二季度直接回应了这一点：贷款发放额环比增长23%，约7.6亿美元，主要由第三方资本提供资金，资产负债表上的贷款占比降至总未偿贷款的大约5.9%，为近两年最低。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">7月29日，Upstart宣布与Castlelake管理的基金达成协议，后者将在长达24个月内购买其高达40亿美元的贷款，这是与该合作伙伴迄今为止最大的项目。这些是对尚未存在的贷款的预先承诺购买，使Upstart能够扩大规模而不增加自身风险。Gu还表示，公司有足够资本在明年初开设Upstart银行，从而解锁更便宜的存款融资，尽管该牌照仍在审批中，尚未获得批准。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Upstart交易价格接近未来十二个月\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fwhat-is-a-good-p-e-ratio\">盈利\u003C\u002Fa>的9.1倍，低于SoFi的大约25倍和Dave的约19倍。华尔街意见分歧：截至9月4日，覆盖该股的15位分析师中，6位给出买入评级，1位跑赢大盘，6位持有，1位跑输大盘，1位卖出，平均目标价接近$40。如果盈利能力是昙花一现，那么这个折价是合理的，但其收费收入的增长速度是同行中独一无二的，以这种速度复合增长的现金流很少会长期保持如此便宜。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Gu坦率地表示，UMI的上升使公司未能上调业绩指引：\"如果不是UMI上升，我认为我们的指引可能会大不相同。\" 对于另一个悬而未决的问题——运营杠杆，他也同样坦率，承认过去一年运营成本增长了30%以上，但随后补充说，从现在起增长速度将大幅放缓。目前指数为1.50，虽然偏高，但仍低于2024年1.68的峰值。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cfigure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\">\u003Cimg width=\"3023\" height=\"2015\" data-public-id=\"images\u002FTIKR.com_Upstart-Holdings-Inc.-UPST-NTM-Price-_-Normalized-Earnings-P_E_12950571589\u002FTIKR.com_Upstart-Holdings-Inc.-UPST-NTM-Price-_-Normalized-Earnings-P_E_12950571589.webp\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_3023,h_2015,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788903660\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR.com_Upstart-Holdings-Inc.-UPST-NTM-Price-_-Normalized-Earnings-P_E_12950571589\u002FTIKR.com_Upstart-Holdings-Inc.-UPST-NTM-Price-_-Normalized-Earnings-P_E_12950571589.webp?_i=AA\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-post-129473 wp-image-129505\" data-format=\"webp\" data-transformations=\"f_webp,q_auto\" data-version=\"1788903660\" data-seo=\"1\" srcset=\"https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788903660\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR.com_Upstart-Holdings-Inc.-UPST-NTM-Price-_-Normalized-Earnings-P_E_12950571589\u002FTIKR.com_Upstart-Holdings-Inc.-UPST-NTM-Price-_-Normalized-Earnings-P_E_12950571589.webp?_i=AA 3023w, https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788903660\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR.com_Upstart-Holdings-Inc.-UPST-NTM-Price-_-Normalized-Earnings-P_E_12950571589\u002FTIKR.com_Upstart-Holdings-Inc.-UPST-NTM-Price-_-Normalized-Earnings-P_E_12950571589.webp?_i=AA 600w, https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_1200,h_800,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788903660\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR.com_Upstart-Holdings-Inc.-UPST-NTM-Price-_-Normalized-Earnings-P_E_12950571589\u002FTIKR.com_Upstart-Holdings-Inc.-UPST-NTM-Price-_-Normalized-Earnings-P_E_12950571589.webp?_i=AA 1200w, https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_1400,h_933,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788903660\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR.com_Upstart-Holdings-Inc.-UPST-NTM-Price-_-Normalized-Earnings-P_E_12950571589\u002FTIKR.com_Upstart-Holdings-Inc.-UPST-NTM-Price-_-Normalized-Earnings-P_E_12950571589.webp?_i=AA 1400w, https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_300,h_200,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788903660\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR.com_Upstart-Holdings-Inc.-UPST-NTM-Price-_-Normalized-Earnings-P_E_12950571589\u002FTIKR.com_Upstart-Holdings-Inc.-UPST-NTM-Price-_-Normalized-Earnings-P_E_12950571589.webp?_i=AA 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 3023px) 100vw, 3023px\" \u002F>\u003Cfigcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Upstart未来十二个月价格\u002F标准化盈利（市盈率） \u003Cstrong>(\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fmarkets?fid=1&?ref=tikrblog\">TIKR\u003C\u002Fa>)\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Ffigcaption>\u003C\u002Ffigure>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\">在TIKR中查看Upstart相对于同行的表现（免费！）>>>\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Ch2 id=\"h-tikr-advanced-model-analysis\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u003Cstrong>TIKR高级模型分析\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\n\n\n\u003Cul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>当前价格：\u003C\u002Fstrong> $28.05\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>目标价格（中值）：\u003C\u002Fstrong> ~$113\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>潜在总回报率：\u003C\u002Fstrong> ~301%\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>年化内部收益率：\u003C\u002Fstrong> ~38% \u002F 年\u003C\u002Fli>\n\u003C\u002Ful>\n\n\n\n\u003Cfigure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\">\u003Cimg width=\"4968\" height=\"4084\" data-public-id=\"images\u002FUPST_valuation_model_129506d821c\u002FUPST_valuation_model_129506d821c.webp\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_4968,h_4084,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788903687\u002Fimages\u002FUPST_valuation_model_129506d821c\u002FUPST_valuation_model_129506d821c.webp?_i=AA\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-post-129473 wp-image-129506\" data-format=\"webp\" data-transformations=\"f_webp,q_auto\" data-version=\"1788903687\" data-seo=\"1\" srcset=\"https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788903687\u002Fimages\u002FUPST_valuation_model_129506d821c\u002FUPST_valuation_model_129506d821c.webp?_i=AA 4968w, https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_1200,h_986,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788903687\u002Fimages\u002FUPST_valuation_model_129506d821c\u002FUPST_valuation_model_129506d821c.webp?_i=AA 1200w, https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_1400,h_1151,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788903687\u002Fimages\u002FUPST_valuation_model_129506d821c\u002FUPST_valuation_model_129506d821c.webp?_i=AA 1400w, https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_300,h_247,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788903687\u002Fimages\u002FUPST_valuation_model_129506d821c\u002FUPST_valuation_model_129506d821c.webp?_i=AA 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 4968px) 100vw, 4968px\" \u002F>\u003Cfigcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Upstart高级估值模型 \u003Cstrong>(\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fmarkets?fid=1&?ref=tikrblog\">TIKR\u003C\u002Fa>)\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Ffigcaption>\u003C\u002Ffigure>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\">查看分析师对Upstart股票的增长预测和价格目标（免费！）>>>\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">TIKR的中值情景指向目标价约$113，总回报率约301%，未来4.3年内实现的年化回报率约38%。这由两个收入驱动因素支撑：高利润率核心个人贷款的重新加速增长，以及汽车贷款和房屋净值信贷额度（HELOC）从亏损转向贡献盈利——管理层预计在2026年底前实现，此前这些业务的利润率在一个季度内扩大了61个百分点。利润率驱动因素是\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fwhat-is-a-good-operating-margin-definition-formula\">运营杠杆\u003C\u002Fa>：随着运营支出增长放缓，贡献利润将转化为净利润，中值情景模型预测本十年晚些时候净利润率将攀升至30%左右的低区间。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">主要风险是宏观环境。因为Upstart在贷款发放时根据UMI进行承保，如果UMI持续攀升至1.68附近，将同时给损失率和增长算法带来压力。上行情况是：随着融资基础变得稳固且银行牌照获批，信贷顺风到来，使贷款量和利润率同时发生积极转变。下行情况是：UMI上升而新产品停滞不前未能盈利，导致核心业务需要支撑一个若增长放缓则不再显得便宜的估值倍数。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Ch2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u003Cstrong>结论\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">下一个真正的考验是11月10日，届时Upstart将发布第三季度财报。关注两点：汽车贷款和HELOC是否如期跨入贡献盈利区间，将管理层的承诺转化为证明；以及UMI在整个季度的趋势。读数维持在1.50或以下，增长逻辑就保持完整；若升至1.60以上，则将为看跌者提供论据，即此次反弹是借宏观之势而非自身实力所得。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>查看亿万富翁投资者正在买入哪些股票，以便您能跟随聪明钱使用TIKR。\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Ch2 id=\"h-should-you-invest-in-upstart\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">您应该投资Upstart吗？\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">唯一真正了解的方法是亲自查看数据。TIKR为您免费提供专业分析师用来回答该问题的机构级财务数据。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">打开\u003Cstrong>Upstart\u003C\u002Fstrong>，您将看到多年的历史财务数据、华尔街分析师对未来几个季度营收和盈利的预期、估值倍数随时间的变化，以及价格目标是呈上升还是下降趋势。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">您可以建立一个免费的观察列表，以跟踪\u003Cstrong>\u003Cstrong>Upstart\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fstrong>以及您关注的所有其他股票。无需信用卡。只需您自己做决定所需的数据。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>在TIKR上免费分析Upstart →\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Ch2 id=\"h-looking-for-new-opportunities\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">寻找新机会？\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\n\n\n\u003Cul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\u003Cli>查看\u003Cstrong>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\">亿万富翁投资者正在买入哪些股票\u003C\u002Fa> \u003C\u002Fstrong>，以便您能跟随聪明钱。\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>使用TIKR一体化、易于使用的平台，\u003Cstrong>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\">在短短5分钟内分析股票\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fstrong>。\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>您翻开的石头越多……发现的机会就越多。\u003Cstrong>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\">使用TIKR搜索10万+全球股票、全球顶级投资者持仓等。\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fli>\n\u003C\u002Ful>\n\n\n\n\u003Ch2 id=\"h-disclaimer\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u003Cstrong>免责声明：\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cem>请注意，TIKR上的文章并非旨在提供TIKR或我们内容团队的投资或财务建议，也不是买卖任何股票的建议。我们根据TIKR Terminal的投资数据和分析师预测创建内容。我们的分析可能未包含最新的公司新闻或重要更新。TIKR对提及的任何股票均无持仓。感谢阅读，祝您投资愉快！\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fp>",1248,"zh","\u002Fblog\u002Fupstart-stock-contribution-profit-hit-an-all-time-high-the-stock-still-trades-like-a-broken-lender","upstart-stock-contribution-profit-hit-an-all-time-high-the-stock-still-trades-like-a-broken-lender","images\u002F4-2_129488000e7\u002F4-2_129488000e7","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788903041\u002Fimages\u002F4-2_129488000e7\u002F4-2_129488000e7.png?_i=AA",{"altText":237,"imageCredit":238},"Upstart Stock Contribution Profit Hit an All-Time High. The Stock Still Trades Like a Broken Lender","@SUMALI IBNU CHAMID from Alemedia.id via Canva, @AI generated from berkay08 via Canva",{"name":240,"slug":241,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":244},"Wiltone Asuncion","wiltonetikr","author","",[],{"name":246,"slug":247,"role":248,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":249},"David Hanson","davidtikr","editor",[],[251],{"name":252,"slug":253,"uri":254,"description":243,"postsCount":255},"一般投资","general-investing","\u002Fblog\u002Fcategory\u002Fgeneral-investing",0,[],{"title":237,"metaDesc":258,"opengraphDescription":258,"twitterTitle":237,"twitterDescription":258},"Upstart’s own macro index flags default risk 50% above normal, yet the company just posted record contribution profit and its most capital-efficient quarter in years. At $28, the stock prices in almost none of it.",{"title":237,"description":260,"twitterTitle":237,"twitterDescription":260,"author":240,"articlePublisher":261,"articlePublishedTime":226,"articleModifiedTime":227,"twitterLabel1":262,"twitterData1":263,"ogTitle":237,"ogDescription":260,"ogUrl":232,"ogImage":235,"ogImageWidth":264,"ogImageHeight":265,"ogImageSecureUrl":235,"ogImageAlt":237,"twitterImage":235},"Upstart’s own macro index flags default risk 50% above normal, yet the company just posted record contribution profit and its most capital-efficient quarter in years. At $28, the stock prices in almost none of it.","TIKR.com","预计阅读时间","2 minutes",1200,630,[267,282,297,312,328],{"id":255,"title":268,"date":269,"excerpt":270,"wordCount":271,"uri":272,"slug":273,"cloudinaryAssetId":274,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":275,"featuredImageMetadata":276,"author":277,"categories":279,"relatedPosts":281},"CrowdStrike股票刚刚成为一家前沿AI实验室。以下是SafeMind对2026年该股票的意义","2026-09-08 22:05:00","在Fal.Con 2026大会上，CrowdStrike转型为一家前沿AI实验室，拥有自己的网络安全模型和新的收费模式。以下是SafeMind、一项代币化收入流，以及一个提前设定的200亿美元年度经常性收入目标对该公司股票的意义。",1334,"\u002Fblog\u002Fcrowdstrike-stock-just-became-a-frontier-ai-lab-heres-what-safemind-means-for-the-stock-in-2026","crowdstrike-stock-just-became-a-frontier-ai-lab-heres-what-safemind-means-for-the-stock-in-2026","images\u002F7-2_1294911ceb3\u002F7-2_1294911ceb3","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788903055\u002Fimages\u002F7-2_1294911ceb3\u002F7-2_1294911ceb3.png?_i=AA",{"altText":268},{"name":240,"slug":241,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":278},[],[280],{"name":252,"slug":253,"uri":254,"description":243,"postsCount":255},[],{"id":255,"title":283,"date":284,"excerpt":285,"wordCount":286,"uri":287,"slug":288,"cloudinaryAssetId":289,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":290,"featuredImageMetadata":291,"author":292,"categories":294,"relatedPosts":296},"雪佛龙股票在委内瑞拉加倍下注：这笔70亿美元的赌注对2026年的CVX股票意味着什么","2026-09-08 22:00:00","雪佛龙承诺投入70亿美元以将其在委内瑞拉的产量翻倍，次日华尔街将其目标价上调至高达243美元。但该股股价目前仍处于历史高点附近3%的范围内。",1118,"\u002Fblog\u002Fchevron-stock-doubles-down-on-venezuela-what-the-7-billion-bet-means-for-cvx-stock-in-2026","chevron-stock-doubles-down-on-venezuela-what-the-7-billion-bet-means-for-cvx-stock-in-2026","images\u002F6-2_129490ecd36\u002F6-2_129490ecd36","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788903050\u002Fimages\u002F6-2_129490ecd36\u002F6-2_129490ecd36.png?_i=AA",{"altText":283},{"name":240,"slug":241,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":293},[],[295],{"name":252,"slug":253,"uri":254,"description":243,"postsCount":255},[],{"id":255,"title":298,"date":299,"excerpt":300,"wordCount":301,"uri":302,"slug":303,"cloudinaryAssetId":304,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":305,"featuredImageMetadata":306,"author":307,"categories":309,"relatedPosts":311},"埃克森美孚股票刚刚获得新的185美元目标价。该分析师仍不给出买入评级。","2026-09-08 21:55:00","Piper Sandler将埃克森美孚的目标价上调至185美元，但维持了持有评级。这种矛盾正是关键所在，而TIKR模型有助于解释其谨慎态度。",1229,"\u002Fblog\u002Fexxonmobil-stock-just-got-a-fresh-185-target-the-analyst-still-wont-say-buy","exxonmobil-stock-just-got-a-fresh-185-target-the-analyst-still-wont-say-buy","images\u002F5-2_1294896d26b\u002F5-2_1294896d26b","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788903047\u002Fimages\u002F5-2_1294896d26b\u002F5-2_1294896d26b.png?_i=AA",{"altText":298},{"name":240,"slug":241,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":308},[],[310],{"name":252,"slug":253,"uri":254,"description":243,"postsCount":255},[],{"id":255,"title":313,"date":314,"excerpt":315,"wordCount":316,"uri":317,"slug":318,"cloudinaryAssetId":-1,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":319,"featuredImageMetadata":320,"author":321,"categories":325,"relatedPosts":327},"EQT股票分析：六个月下跌10%，当前估值是否已现折价？","2026-09-08 15:23:53","疲软的天然气价格导致EQT股价自3月以来下跌了10%，但其背后已签约的需求管道表明，这种价差不会持续太久。",1168,"\u002Fblog\u002Feqt-stock-analysis-down-10-in-six-months-is-it-priced-at-a-discount","eqt-stock-analysis-down-10-in-six-months-is-it-priced-at-a-discount","https:\u002F\u002Ftikr1.wpengine.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2026\u002F09\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1549-600x360.png",{"altText":313},{"name":322,"slug":323,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":324},"Gian Estrada","giantikr",[],[326],{"name":252,"slug":253,"uri":254,"description":243,"postsCount":255},[],{"id":255,"title":329,"date":330,"excerpt":331,"wordCount":332,"uri":333,"slug":334,"cloudinaryAssetId":335,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":336,"featuredImageMetadata":337,"author":338,"categories":340,"relatedPosts":342},"FIS股价今年下跌36%。8月的一次电话会议解释了其中一半原因。","2026-09-08 14:49:35","FIS股价自1月初以来已下跌36%，而8月份其资本市场业务的自发性失误更给这轮抛售增添了新的下行压力。",1310,"\u002Fblog\u002Ffis-stock-is-down-36-this-year-one-august-call-explains-half-of-it","fis-stock-is-down-36-this-year-one-august-call-explains-half-of-it","images\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1548\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1548","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_360,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788878618\u002Fimages\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1548\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1548.png?_i=AA",{"altText":329},{"name":322,"slug":323,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":339},[],[341],{"name":252,"slug":253,"uri":254,"description":243,"postsCount":255},[],[344,362,377,392,409,424,444,459,474,489,504],{"id":255,"title":345,"date":346,"excerpt":347,"wordCount":348,"uri":349,"slug":350,"cloudinaryAssetId":351,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":352,"featuredImageMetadata":353,"author":354,"categories":356,"relatedPosts":361},"苹果首次没有蒂姆·库克主持的发布会。以下是股票需要展示的要点","2026-09-08 21:45:00","15年来首次，蒂姆·库克不再掌舵苹果公司。约翰·特努斯接手之际，公司刚创下历史性季度业绩，却面临被苹果称为\"百年一遇洪水\"的内存成本压力，以及一位看空者声称折叠屏是仅剩的增长杠杆。周三的发布会将决定一切。",1222,"\u002Fblog\u002Fapples-first-keynote-without-tim-cook-heres-what-the-stock-needs-to-show","apples-first-keynote-without-tim-cook-heres-what-the-stock-needs-to-show","images\u002F3-2_129487f848c\u002F3-2_129487f848c","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788903035\u002Fimages\u002F3-2_129487f848c\u002F3-2_129487f848c.png?_i=AA",{"altText":345},{"name":240,"slug":241,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":355},[],[357],{"name":358,"slug":359,"uri":360,"description":243,"postsCount":255},"股票评论","reviews","\u002Fblog\u002Fcategory\u002Freviews",[],{"id":255,"title":363,"date":364,"excerpt":365,"wordCount":366,"uri":367,"slug":368,"cloudinaryAssetId":369,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":370,"featuredImageMetadata":371,"author":372,"categories":374,"relatedPosts":376},"IonQ股票营收增长287%，股价仍较历史高点低53%。以下是该股未来可能的走向","2026-09-08 21:40:00","IonQ欠投资者一个它从未给出的数字：一份超越12月的营收预测。在季度增长287%和18亿美元代工协议之后，157亿美元估值的合理性，如今取决于管理层愿意对2026年之后做出怎样的承诺。",1350,"\u002Fblog\u002Fionq-stock-grew-revenue-287-and-still-sits-53-below-its-high-heres-where-the-stock-could-go","ionq-stock-grew-revenue-287-and-still-sits-53-below-its-high-heres-where-the-stock-could-go","images\u002F2-2_12948671ebe\u002F2-2_12948671ebe","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788903030\u002Fimages\u002F2-2_12948671ebe\u002F2-2_12948671ebe.png?_i=AA",{"altText":363},{"name":240,"slug":241,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":373},[],[375],{"name":358,"slug":359,"uri":360,"description":243,"postsCount":255},[],{"id":255,"title":378,"date":379,"excerpt":380,"wordCount":381,"uri":382,"slug":383,"cloudinaryAssetId":384,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":385,"featuredImageMetadata":386,"author":387,"categories":389,"relatedPosts":391},"CAVA股价在过去六个月下跌24%。首席运营官刚刚买入价值43.2万美元的股票。","2026-09-08 17:51:52","CAVA股价在过去六个月中下跌了24%，尽管第二季度营收跃升了31%，同店销售额达到9%，但华尔街的平均目标价仍基本维持在85美元不变。",1249,"\u002Fblog\u002Fcava-stock-has-fallen-24-in-six-months-the-coo-just-bought-432000-of-shares","cava-stock-has-fallen-24-in-six-months-the-coo-just-bought-432000-of-shares","images\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1551\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1551","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_360,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788889398\u002Fimages\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1551\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1551.png?_i=AA",{"altText":378},{"name":322,"slug":323,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":388},[],[390],{"name":358,"slug":359,"uri":360,"description":243,"postsCount":255},[],{"id":255,"title":393,"date":394,"excerpt":395,"wordCount":396,"uri":397,"slug":398,"cloudinaryAssetId":399,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":400,"featuredImageMetadata":401,"author":402,"categories":406,"relatedPosts":408},"特斯拉今日上涨5%。以下是该股在2026年的潜在走势","2026-09-08 17:00:52","特斯拉股价今日上涨约5%，欧洲FSD进展助力股价从上周Cybertruck引发的抛售中反弹。以下是自动驾驶执行能力、利润率改善及能源业务增长为何仍是特斯拉2026年展望的核心要素。",858,"\u002Fblog\u002Ftesla-rose-5-today-heres-where-the-stock-could-go-in-2026","tesla-rose-5-today-heres-where-the-stock-could-go-in-2026","images\u002F@Matt-Weissinger-from-Pexels-via-Canva-@cimages-via-Canva-1\u002F@Matt-Weissinger-from-Pexels-via-Canva-@cimages-via-Canva-1","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788886789\u002Fimages\u002F@Matt-Weissinger-from-Pexels-via-Canva-@cimages-via-Canva-1\u002F@Matt-Weissinger-from-Pexels-via-Canva-@cimages-via-Canva-1.png?_i=AA",{"altText":393},{"name":403,"slug":404,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":405},"Nikko Henson","nikkotikr",[],[407],{"name":358,"slug":359,"uri":360,"description":243,"postsCount":255},[],{"id":255,"title":410,"date":411,"excerpt":412,"wordCount":413,"uri":414,"slug":415,"cloudinaryAssetId":416,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":417,"featuredImageMetadata":418,"author":419,"categories":421,"relatedPosts":423},"标普全球股票相对于自身近期历史显得便宜。数据说明了原因。","2026-09-08 16:07:14","标普全球股价自1月以来已下跌14%，但导致这波下跌的业绩指引未达预期，在华尔街看来似乎已滞后整整两个季度。",1198,"\u002Fblog\u002Fsp-global-stock-looks-cheap-against-its-own-recent-history-the-numbers-say-why","sp-global-stock-looks-cheap-against-its-own-recent-history-the-numbers-say-why","images\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1550\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1550","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_360,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788882067\u002Fimages\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1550\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1550.png?_i=AA",{"altText":410},{"name":322,"slug":323,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":420},[],[422],{"name":358,"slug":359,"uri":360,"description":243,"postsCount":255},[],{"id":255,"title":425,"date":426,"excerpt":427,"wordCount":428,"uri":429,"slug":430,"cloudinaryAssetId":431,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":432,"featuredImageMetadata":433,"author":434,"categories":438,"relatedPosts":443},"到2026年下跌35%，直觉外科的股票能否在2028年前复苏？","2026-09-08 15:42:33","ISRG股价现报约367美元，美国手术量疲软。查看TIKR估值模型、关键假设及乐观\u002F中性\u002F悲观情景分析。",1113,"\u002Fblog\u002Fintuitive-surgical-isrg-stock-valuation-2028-forecast","intuitive-surgical-isrg-stock-valuation-2028-forecast","images\u002FISRG-stock-@PhonlamaiPhotos-Images-via-Canva-@freedomz-via-Canva\u002FISRG-stock-@PhonlamaiPhotos-Images-via-Canva-@freedomz-via-Canva","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788864551\u002Fimages\u002FISRG-stock-@PhonlamaiPhotos-Images-via-Canva-@freedomz-via-Canva\u002FISRG-stock-@PhonlamaiPhotos-Images-via-Canva-@freedomz-via-Canva.png?_i=AA",{"altText":425},{"name":435,"slug":436,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":437},"Aditya 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15:42:00","EXC股价在44美元附近交易，PJM电网压力持续加剧。查看TIKR的估值模型、关键假设以及Exelon股票的乐观\u002F中性\u002F悲观情景分析。",1169,"\u002Fblog\u002Fexelon-exc-stock-valuation-2028-forecast","exelon-exc-stock-valuation-2028-forecast","images\u002FEXC-stock-@Yelantsevv-from-Getty-Images-via-Canva-@Krasnikova-Ekaterina-from-Изображения-пользователя-Kathleen-via-Canva\u002FEXC-stock-@Yelantsevv-from-Getty-Images-via-Canva-@Krasnikova-Ekaterina-from-Изображения-пользователя-Kathleen-via-Canva","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788866401\u002Fimages\u002FEXC-stock-@Yelantsevv-from-Getty-Images-via-Canva-@Krasnikova-Ekaterina-from-Изображения-пользователя-Kathleen-via-Canva\u002FEXC-stock-@Yelantsevv-from-Getty-Images-via-Canva-@Krasnikova-Ekaterina-from-Изображения-пользователя-Kathleen-via-Canva.png?_i=AA",{"altText":445},{"name":435,"slug":436,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":455},[],[457],{"name":440,"slug":441,"uri":442,"description":243,"postsCount":255},[],{"id":255,"title":460,"date":461,"excerpt":462,"wordCount":463,"uri":464,"slug":465,"cloudinaryAssetId":466,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":467,"featuredImageMetadata":468,"author":469,"categories":471,"relatedPosts":473},"过去12个月下跌39%，挪威邮轮股票能否在2028年前实现逆转？","2026-09-08 15:41:19","NCLH股价现处16美元附近，正处于业务转型中期。查看TIKR估值模型，了解挪威邮轮的关键假设及看涨\u002F中性\u002F看跌情景分析。",1095,"\u002Fblog\u002Fnorwegian-cruise-line-nclh-stock-valuation-2028-forecast","norwegian-cruise-line-nclh-stock-valuation-2028-forecast","images\u002FNCLH-stock-@elijah.lovkoffs-Images-via-Canva-@Kelly-from-Pexels-via-Canva\u002FNCLH-stock-@elijah.lovkoffs-Images-via-Canva-@Kelly-from-Pexels-via-Canva","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788868316\u002Fimages\u002FNCLH-stock-@elijah.lovkoffs-Images-via-Canva-@Kelly-from-Pexels-via-Canva\u002FNCLH-stock-@elijah.lovkoffs-Images-via-Canva-@Kelly-from-Pexels-via-Canva.png?_i=AA",{"altText":460},{"name":435,"slug":436,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":470},[],[472],{"name":440,"slug":441,"uri":442,"description":243,"postsCount":255},[],{"id":255,"title":475,"date":476,"excerpt":477,"wordCount":478,"uri":479,"slug":480,"cloudinaryAssetId":481,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":482,"featuredImageMetadata":483,"author":484,"categories":486,"relatedPosts":488},"过去12个月下跌31%，Pegasystems股票能否在2028年前复苏？","2026-09-08 15:40:50","PEGA股价在缓慢的ACV增长后交易于37美元附近。查看TIKR对Pegasystems股票的估值模型、关键假设以及看涨\u002F中性\u002F看跌情景分析。",1112,"\u002Fblog\u002Fpegasystems-pega-stock-valuation-2028-forecast","pegasystems-pega-stock-valuation-2028-forecast","images\u002FPEGA-stock-@metamorworks-from-Getty-Images-via-Canva-@AndreyPopov-from-Getty-Images-Signature-via-Canva\u002FPEGA-stock-@metamorworks-from-Getty-Images-via-Canva-@AndreyPopov-from-Getty-Images-Signature-via-Canva","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788872863\u002Fimages\u002FPEGA-stock-@metamorworks-from-Getty-Images-via-Canva-@AndreyPopov-from-Getty-Images-Signature-via-Canva\u002FPEGA-stock-@metamorworks-from-Getty-Images-via-Canva-@AndreyPopov-from-Getty-Images-Signature-via-Canva.png?_i=AA",{"altText":475},{"name":435,"slug":436,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":485},[],[487],{"name":440,"slug":441,"uri":442,"description":243,"postsCount":255},[],{"id":255,"title":490,"date":491,"excerpt":492,"wordCount":493,"uri":494,"slug":495,"cloudinaryAssetId":496,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":497,"featuredImageMetadata":498,"author":499,"categories":501,"relatedPosts":503},"从高点下跌19%，Toast股票能否在2028年前实现反弹？","2026-09-08 11:55:00","TOST股价在创纪录的门店增长季度后交易于34美元附近。查看TIKR的估值模型、关键假设以及看涨\u002F中性\u002F看跌情景。",1101,"\u002Fblog\u002Ftoast-tost-stock-valuation-2028-forecast","toast-tost-stock-valuation-2028-forecast","images\u002FTOST-stock-@alengo-from-Getty-Images-Signature-via-Canva-@dogayusufdokdok-from-Getty-Images-Signature-via-Canva\u002FTOST-stock-@alengo-from-Getty-Images-Signature-via-Canva-@dogayusufdokdok-from-Getty-Images-Signature-via-Canva","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788862389\u002Fimages\u002FTOST-stock-@alengo-from-Getty-Images-Signature-via-Canva-@dogayusufdokdok-from-Getty-Images-Signature-via-Canva\u002FTOST-stock-@alengo-from-Getty-Images-Signature-via-Canva-@dogayusufdokdok-from-Getty-Images-Signature-via-Canva.png?_i=AA",{"altText":490},{"name":435,"slug":436,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":500},[],[502],{"name":440,"slug":441,"uri":442,"description":243,"postsCount":255},[],{"id":255,"title":505,"date":506,"excerpt":507,"wordCount":508,"uri":509,"slug":510,"cloudinaryAssetId":511,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":512,"featuredImageMetadata":513,"author":514,"categories":516,"relatedPosts":521},"安霸股价大涨，创纪录的边缘AI需求推动第二财季营收超预期","2026-09-04 13:48:46","安霸股价上涨，此前该公司第二财季营收因创纪录的边缘AI需求而超出业绩指引，同时上调了五年市场预测。",810,"\u002Fblog\u002Fambarella-stock-rallies-record-edge-ai-revenue-beat","ambarella-stock-rallies-record-edge-ai-revenue-beat","images\u002FAMBA-stock_1286743f518\u002FAMBA-stock_1286743f518","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788526155\u002Fimages\u002FAMBA-stock_1286743f518\u002FAMBA-stock_1286743f518.png?_i=AA",{"altText":505},{"name":435,"slug":436,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":515},[],[517],{"name":518,"slug":519,"uri":520,"description":243,"postsCount":255},"收益更新","earnings-updates","\u002Fblog\u002Fcategory\u002Fearnings-updates",[]]