[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"app-context":3,"blog-oracle-stock-reports-september-10-with-a-638-billion-backlog-the-print-has-to-prove-it-converts-ZH":222},{"languages":4,"categories":41,"products":125,"competitors":149},[5,9,13,17,21,25,29,33,37],{"name":6,"code":7,"id":8},"English","EN","TGFuZ3VhZ2U6ZW4=",{"name":10,"code":11,"id":12},"Español","ES","TGFuZ3VhZ2U6ZXM=",{"name":14,"code":15,"id":16},"Português","PT","TGFuZ3VhZ2U6cHQ=",{"name":18,"code":19,"id":20},"日本語","JA","TGFuZ3VhZ2U6amE=",{"name":22,"code":23,"id":24},"한국어","KO","TGFuZ3VhZ2U6a28=",{"name":26,"code":27,"id":28},"Deutsch","DE","TGFuZ3VhZ2U6ZGU=",{"name":30,"code":31,"id":32},"Italiano","IT","TGFuZ3VhZ2U6aXQ=",{"name":34,"code":35,"id":36},"Français","FR","TGFuZ3VhZ2U6ZnI=",{"name":38,"code":39,"id":40},"中文 (中国)","ZH","TGFuZ3VhZ2U6emg=",[42,73,104],{"icon":43,"slug":44,"title":45,"description":46,"featuredLinks":47},"mingcute:stock-line","stock-market-basics","Stock Market Basics","\u003Cp>Beginners' guides and practical tips for understanding stock market investing.\u003C\u002Fp>\n",[48,53,58,63,68],{"url":49,"title":50,"description":51,"ogImage":52},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fwhat-makes-stocks-go-up-and-down","What Makes Stocks Go Up and Down | TIKR.com","Understanding what makes stock prices go up and down can help investors better navigate investing. Click to learn more!","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FWhat-makes-stocks-go-up-and-down-banner\u002FWhat-makes-stocks-go-up-and-down-banner.jpg?_i=AA",{"url":54,"title":55,"description":56,"ogImage":57},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fdividend-yield-meaning-formula-example","Dividend Yield: Meaning, Formula, Example | Tikr.com Blog | TIKR.com","The dividend yield is a key metric for investors looking to gauge the income potential of their investments. It measures how much a company pays out in","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FDividend-yield\u002FDividend-yield.png?_i=AA",{"url":59,"title":60,"description":61,"ogImage":62},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fmarket-capitalization-definition-formula-and-why-it-matters","Market Capitalization: Definition, Formula, and Why It Matters | TIKR.com","Long-term investors often look at various valuation metrics when deciding whether to invest in a particular company. One helpful metric to evaluate is","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FMarket-Capitalization-Definition-Formula-and-Why-It-Matters\u002FMarket-Capitalization-Definition-Formula-and-Why-It-Matters.png?_i=AA",{"url":64,"title":65,"description":66,"ogImage":67},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fearnings-per-share-definition-formula-and-why-eps-matters","Earnings Per Share: Definition, Formula, and Why EPS Matters | TIKR.com","Earnings Per Share (EPS) represents the portion of a company's net earnings allocated to each share. Click to learn more!","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FEPS-Defiinition-formula-and-why-EPS-matters-1\u002FEPS-Defiinition-formula-and-why-EPS-matters-1.png?_i=AA",{"url":69,"title":70,"description":71,"ogImage":72},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fwhat-is-a-stock-price-target","What Is a Stock Price Target? | TIKR.com","A price target is a stock's estimated future price. It can help investors quickly find undervalued stocks. Learn more now!","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FWhat-is-a-Stock-Price-Target-2\u002FWhat-is-a-Stock-Price-Target-2.png?_i=AA",{"icon":74,"slug":75,"title":76,"description":77,"featuredLinks":78},"material-symbols:analytics-outline","fundamental-analysis","Fundamental Analysis","\u003Cp>In-depth resources and financial metrics to help you evaluate companies like a pro.\u003C\u002Fp>\n",[79,84,89,94,99],{"url":80,"title":81,"description":82,"ogImage":83},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fshare-repurchase-why-do-companies-buy-back-their-stock","Share Repurchase: Why Do Companies Buy Back Their Stock? | TIKR.com","Share repurchases, or share buybacks, have gained popularity in the last two decades. According to a report from Goldman Sachs, stock buybacks initiated","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR-BLOG-COVER-PHOTOS-3_544a7f4e\u002FTIKR-BLOG-COVER-PHOTOS-3_544a7f4e.png?_i=AA",{"url":85,"title":86,"description":87,"ogImage":88},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fwhat-is-a-good-return-on-invested-capital","What Is a Good Return on Invested Capital? | TIKR.com","Learning about Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) can help investors spot highly profitable stocks that can drive long-term returns. Learn more now!","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FWhat-is-a-good-return-on-Invested-capital\u002FWhat-is-a-good-return-on-Invested-capital.png?_i=AA",{"url":90,"title":91,"description":92,"ogImage":93},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fwhat-is-a-good-return-on-equity-ratio","What is a Good Return on Equity Ratio | Tikr.com Blog | TIKR.com","Return on Equity (ROE) is a financial ratio that reflects a company's profitability in relation to the equity invested by shareholders. It basically","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FWhat-is-a-good-return-on-equity-ratio-1\u002FWhat-is-a-good-return-on-equity-ratio-1.jpg?_i=AA",{"url":95,"title":96,"description":97,"ogImage":98},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fwhat-is-a-good-p-e-ratio","What Is a Good P\u002FE Ratio? | TIKR.com","Financial analysts and investors look at various metrics before deciding whether a stock is a buy. One of the metrics is the price-to-earnings ratio (P\u002FE","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FWhat-is-a-good-PE-ratio-1\u002FWhat-is-a-good-PE-ratio-1.jpg?_i=AA",{"url":100,"title":101,"description":102,"ogImage":103},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Ftop-6-metrics-for-investing-in-reits","Top 6 Metrics for Investing in REITs | TIKR.com","Real estate has been one of the greatest asset classes for wealth creation in history, and investing in Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) can allow","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FGroup-10\u002FGroup-10.png?_i=AA",{"icon":105,"slug":106,"title":107,"description":108,"featuredLinks":109},"hugeicons:investigation","investing-lingo","Investing Lingo","\u003Cp>A comprehensive glossary of investing terms and jargon so you can speak the language of the markets confidently.\u003C\u002Fp>\n",[110,115,120],{"url":111,"title":112,"description":113,"ogImage":114},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fenterprise-value-definition-and-calculation","Enterprise Value: Definition and Calculation | Tikr.com Blog | TIKR.com","Enterprise value (EV) is a financial metric that offers a comprehensive snapshot of a company's total value. Unlike market capitalization which solely","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FEnterprise-Value-Definition-and-Calculation_37576e40\u002FEnterprise-Value-Definition-and-Calculation_37576e40.png?_i=AA",{"url":116,"title":117,"description":118,"ogImage":119},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Febitda-definition-formula-how-to-use-it","EBITDA: Definition, Formula, How to Use It | TIKR.com","EBITDA stands for earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. It's a financial metric commonly used to evaluate a company's financial","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FEBITDA-Definition-Formula-How-to-Use-It\u002FEBITDA-Definition-Formula-How-to-Use-It.png?_i=AA",{"url":121,"title":122,"description":123,"ogImage":124},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fwhat-is-the-free-cash-flow-formula-and-why-does-it-matter","What is the Free Cash Flow Formula and Why Does It Matter | TIKR.com","Free cash flow, or FCF, is the cash a company generates after it accounts for outflows required to maintain business operations and support capital","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FWhat-is-the-free-cash-flow-formula\u002FWhat-is-the-free-cash-flow-formula.png?_i=AA",[126,130,134,137,141,145],{"slug":127,"modified":128,"title":129},"valuation-model-builder","2025-07-03T00:18:53","Value Stocks Quickly and Accurately",{"slug":131,"modified":132,"title":133},"stock-portfolio-tracking","2024-12-02T22:21:28","Monitor Your Portfolio",{"slug":75,"modified":135,"title":136},"2025-01-21T22:10:52","Instantly Analyze Companies with In-Depth Metrics",{"slug":138,"modified":139,"title":140},"stock-screener","2024-12-02T22:13:31","Find the Best Stocks to Buy",{"slug":142,"modified":143,"title":144},"investor-stock-portfolio","2025-01-21T22:02:56","Follow Investment Moves of Top Investors",{"slug":146,"modified":147,"title":148},"analyze-stocks","2025-07-23T16:04:24","Analyze Stocks",[150,154,158,162,166,170,174,178,182,186,190,194,198,202,206,210,214,218],{"slug":151,"title":152,"modified":153},"bloomberg","Bloomberg","2025-01-16T14:23:44",{"slug":155,"title":156,"modified":157},"morningstar","Morningstar","2025-01-16T14:25:16",{"slug":159,"title":160,"modified":161},"sentieo","Sentieo","2025-01-16T17:58:27",{"slug":163,"title":164,"modified":165},"googlefinance","Google Finance","2025-01-17T19:39:37",{"slug":167,"title":168,"modified":169},"tradingview","TradingView","2025-01-16T18:17:01",{"slug":171,"title":172,"modified":173},"factset","Factset","2025-01-16T18:20:16",{"slug":175,"title":176,"modified":177},"finviz","Finviz","2025-01-16T18:23:40",{"slug":179,"title":180,"modified":181},"ycharts","YCharts","2025-01-16T18:32:19",{"slug":183,"title":184,"modified":185},"marketbeat","MarketBeat","2025-03-11T00:27:23",{"slug":187,"title":188,"modified":189},"benzinga","Benzinga","2025-03-11T00:31:00",{"slug":191,"title":192,"modified":193},"gurufocus","Gurufocus","2025-03-11T00:31:12",{"slug":195,"title":196,"modified":197},"fast-graphs","FAST Graphs","2025-03-11T00:31:19",{"slug":199,"title":200,"modified":201},"tipranks","TipRanks","2025-03-11T00:31:26",{"slug":203,"title":204,"modified":205},"seeking-alpha","Seeking Alpha","2025-03-11T00:31:45",{"slug":207,"title":208,"modified":209},"thestreet","TheStreet","2025-03-11T00:31:52",{"slug":211,"title":212,"modified":213},"investing-com","Investing.com","2025-03-11T00:32:00",{"slug":215,"title":216,"modified":217},"zacks","Zacks","2025-03-26T15:40:40",{"slug":219,"title":220,"modified":221},"alphasense","AlphaSense","2025-03-11T00:32:15",{"post":223,"seo":259,"relatedPosts":266,"suggestedPosts":345},{"id":224,"title":225,"date":226,"modified":227,"excerpt":228,"content":229,"wordCount":230,"lang":231,"uri":232,"slug":233,"cloudinaryAssetId":234,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":235,"featuredImageMetadata":236,"author":239,"editor":245,"categories":250,"relatedPosts":256,"seo":257},129153,"甲骨文股票将于9月10日发布财报，其积压订单价值6380亿美元。财报数据必须证明其能成功转化这些订单。","2026-09-07T22:15:00","2026-09-07T22:07:04","\u003Cp>甲骨文公司6380亿美元的积压订单是企业软件领域规模最大的，如今已无人质疑其需求。9月10日发布的财报需要回答一个不同的问题：合同收入转化为确认收入的速度有多快？\u003C\u002Fp>","\u003Ch3 id=\"h-k-ey-stats-for-oracle-stock\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u003Cstrong>甲骨文股票\u003C\u002Fstrong>的\u003Cstrong>关键数据\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fh3>\n\n\n\n\u003Cul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>当前价格：\u003C\u002Fstrong> $158.83\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>目标价格（中值）：\u003C\u002Fstrong> ~$549\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>华尔街目标价：\u003C\u002Fstrong> ~$242\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>潜在总回报率：\u003C\u002Fstrong> ~246%\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>年化内部收益率：\u003C\u002Fstrong> ~30% \u002F 年\u003C\u002Fli>\n\u003C\u002Ful>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cem>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">现已上线：使用 TIKR 的新估值模型发现您最喜爱的股票可能有多少上涨空间（免费）\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fem>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\"> >>>\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Ch2 id=\"h-what-happened\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">发生了什么？\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>甲骨文公司 (\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fstock\u002Fabout?cid=22247&tid=2636077&?ref=tikrblog\">\u003Cstrong>ORCL\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fa>\u003Cstrong>)\u003C\u002Fstrong> 将于周四（9月10日）盘后公布2027财年第一季度业绩。这一次，需求问题已不再是关键。积压订单已定：截至2026财年末，剩余履约义务（即已签署但尚未确认为收入的合同）达到6380亿美元，规模超过任何基础设施竞争对手所能展示的。市场目前还无法看清的是，这些合同收入转化为报告收入的速度有多快。这正是本次财报开始弥合的差距，也是为何股价较2025年9月高点下跌54%后，周四晚间仍可能录得两位数涨幅的原因。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">该股上次收盘于9月4日，报$158.83，上涨3.08%，从7月的低点$114.50反弹。这次反弹并未解决投资者解读甲骨文时的分歧。一方看到的是公司过去15年来最快的有机增长。另一方看到的则是2026财年\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fwhat-is-the-free-cash-flow-formula-and-why-does-it-matter\">自由现金流\u003C\u002Fa>为负237亿美元，因为数据中心支出提前于最终将入账的收入。9月10日的财报将同时回应这两点，而管理层已经设定了门槛。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Ch2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u003Cstrong>增长斜率是唯一需要关注的数字\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">管理层对本季度（即当前季度）给出的指引是：总收入增长27%至29%，云收入增长58%至64%，这是甲骨文在本轮周期中给出的最高季度增长率。根据TIKR的业绩超预期\u002F不及预期数据，2026财年第四季度总收入达到191.8亿美元，同比增长20.6%，高于华尔街预期的191.0亿美元。对于周四的财报，市场普遍预期收入约为191亿美元，调整后每股收益约为$1.74。业绩超预期或不及预期会占据头条，但真正影响投资论点的数字是云增长率是否落在指引区间内，因为该增长率反映了积压订单转化为确认收入的速度。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">甲骨文联席CEO Mike Sicilia 在8月26日的德意志银行技术会议上阐述了其机制。他将甲骨文递延收入增速快于当季收入增速描述为\"未来订单强劲的迹象\"，然后指出了将订单转化为报告收入的杠杆：缩短上线时间。由于收入确认需等待上线，实施时间每缩短一个月，就能将合同金额提前确认。他举了一个具体例子。甲骨文与美国退伍军人事务部在电子健康记录方面的合作，通过使用AI工具，上线时间从18个月缩短至8个月，\"还是同一批人，同样的顾问。\"他还估算了剩余市场空间，指出甲骨文约一半的现有客户群已从本地部署迁移到云端，剩余一半尚未迁移，而迁移时合同价值将是原来的4到5倍。如果这种压缩效应在整个客户群中显现，那么9月这个季度将是其首次在增长率中体现出来。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cfigure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\">\u003Cimg width=\"3023\" height=\"2015\" data-public-id=\"images\u002FTIKR.com_ORCL-Oracle-Corporation-Revenue-and-EBITDA_1291939ac5a\u002FTIKR.com_ORCL-Oracle-Corporation-Revenue-and-EBITDA_1291939ac5a.webp\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_3023,h_2015,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788818699\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR.com_ORCL-Oracle-Corporation-Revenue-and-EBITDA_1291939ac5a\u002FTIKR.com_ORCL-Oracle-Corporation-Revenue-and-EBITDA_1291939ac5a.webp?_i=AA\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-post-129153 wp-image-129193\" data-format=\"webp\" data-transformations=\"f_webp,q_auto\" data-version=\"1788818699\" data-seo=\"1\" srcset=\"https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788818699\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR.com_ORCL-Oracle-Corporation-Revenue-and-EBITDA_1291939ac5a\u002FTIKR.com_ORCL-Oracle-Corporation-Revenue-and-EBITDA_1291939ac5a.webp?_i=AA 3023w, https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788818699\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR.com_ORCL-Oracle-Corporation-Revenue-and-EBITDA_1291939ac5a\u002FTIKR.com_ORCL-Oracle-Corporation-Revenue-and-EBITDA_1291939ac5a.webp?_i=AA 600w, https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_1200,h_800,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788818699\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR.com_ORCL-Oracle-Corporation-Revenue-and-EBITDA_1291939ac5a\u002FTIKR.com_ORCL-Oracle-Corporation-Revenue-and-EBITDA_1291939ac5a.webp?_i=AA 1200w, https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_1400,h_933,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788818699\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR.com_ORCL-Oracle-Corporation-Revenue-and-EBITDA_1291939ac5a\u002FTIKR.com_ORCL-Oracle-Corporation-Revenue-and-EBITDA_1291939ac5a.webp?_i=AA 1400w, https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_300,h_200,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788818699\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR.com_ORCL-Oracle-Corporation-Revenue-and-EBITDA_1291939ac5a\u002FTIKR.com_ORCL-Oracle-Corporation-Revenue-and-EBITDA_1291939ac5a.webp?_i=AA 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 3023px) 100vw, 3023px\" \u002F>\u003Cfigcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">甲骨文收入与息税折旧摊销前利润 \u003Cstrong>(\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fmarkets?fid=1&?ref=tikrblog\">TIKR\u003C\u002Fa>)\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Ffigcaption>\u003C\u002Ffigure>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\">\u003C\u002Fa>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\">\u003C\u002Fa>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">查看甲骨文股票的历史及前瞻性预测（免费！）>>>\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Ch2 id=\"h-what-the-backlog-rests-on-and-the-cash-line-that-grades-it\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cstrong>积压订单的支撑因素，以及衡量它的现金流指标\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">积压订单的很大一部分来自少数超大规模AI客户，其中与OpenAI的计算协议\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fopenai.com\u002Findex\u002Ffive-new-stargate-sites\u002F\">（五年期约3000亿美元）\u003C\u002Fa>于本财年开始。这种\"照付不议\"结构使得甲骨文可以将其计入剩余履约义务，但也意味着投资者在周四评估的增长斜率，在很大程度上取决于一个交易对手按计划消耗和支付的能力。支撑此项扩张的融资压力是真实存在的，以至于标普在夏季将甲骨文评级下调至BBB-，仅比高收益级高一级。根据TIKR的预测，巨额资本支出将使共识自由现金流在2028财年之前保持为负，之后才会急剧复苏。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">根据TIKR的业绩超预期\u002F不及预期数据，第四季度经营活动产生的现金流达到146.2亿美元，而预期为84.2亿美元。连续第二个季度经营现金流强劲，缩小了信贷市场的担忧与增长故事之间的距离。若表现疲软，则会扩大这一距离。Sicilia 对需求持模型不可知论，指出甲骨文在其自身应用程序中\"套利\"于OpenAI和开源模型之间以控制成本，这在产品层面是真正的对冲，但在积压订单层面则不然。另外，欧盟反垄断监管机构在9月初对甲骨文的许可做法展开了调查，据报道这是一项问询而非正式指控，不影响本次财报。估值方面，根据TIKR的竞争对手页面，甲骨文以19.69倍的\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fwhat-is-a-good-p-e-ratio\">NTM市盈率\u003C\u002Fa>交易，低于微软的25.30倍和ServiceNow的31.18倍，也低于软件同业平均约25倍的水平。 \u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cfigure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\">\u003Cimg width=\"3023\" height=\"2015\" data-public-id=\"images\u002FTIKR.com_ORCL-Oracle-Corporation-Free-Cash-Flow_1291946a51f\u002FTIKR.com_ORCL-Oracle-Corporation-Free-Cash-Flow_1291946a51f.webp\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_3023,h_2015,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788818718\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR.com_ORCL-Oracle-Corporation-Free-Cash-Flow_1291946a51f\u002FTIKR.com_ORCL-Oracle-Corporation-Free-Cash-Flow_1291946a51f.webp?_i=AA\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-post-129153 wp-image-129194\" data-format=\"webp\" data-transformations=\"f_webp,q_auto\" data-version=\"1788818718\" data-seo=\"1\" srcset=\"https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788818718\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR.com_ORCL-Oracle-Corporation-Free-Cash-Flow_1291946a51f\u002FTIKR.com_ORCL-Oracle-Corporation-Free-Cash-Flow_1291946a51f.webp?_i=AA 3023w, https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788818718\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR.com_ORCL-Oracle-Corporation-Free-Cash-Flow_1291946a51f\u002FTIKR.com_ORCL-Oracle-Corporation-Free-Cash-Flow_1291946a51f.webp?_i=AA 600w, https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_1200,h_800,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788818718\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR.com_ORCL-Oracle-Corporation-Free-Cash-Flow_1291946a51f\u002FTIKR.com_ORCL-Oracle-Corporation-Free-Cash-Flow_1291946a51f.webp?_i=AA 1200w, https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_1400,h_933,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788818718\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR.com_ORCL-Oracle-Corporation-Free-Cash-Flow_1291946a51f\u002FTIKR.com_ORCL-Oracle-Corporation-Free-Cash-Flow_1291946a51f.webp?_i=AA 1400w, https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_300,h_200,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788818718\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR.com_ORCL-Oracle-Corporation-Free-Cash-Flow_1291946a51f\u002FTIKR.com_ORCL-Oracle-Corporation-Free-Cash-Flow_1291946a51f.webp?_i=AA 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 3023px) 100vw, 3023px\" \u002F>\u003Cfigcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">甲骨文自由现金流 \u003Cstrong>(\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fmarkets?fid=1&?ref=tikrblog\">TIKR\u003C\u002Fa>)\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Ffigcaption>\u003C\u002Ffigure>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\">在 TIKR 中查看甲骨文相对于同行的表现（免费！）>>>\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Ch2 id=\"h-tikr-advanced-model-analysis\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u003Cstrong>TIKR 高级模型分析\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\n\n\n\u003Cul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>当前价格：\u003C\u002Fstrong> $158.78\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>目标价格（中值）：\u003C\u002Fstrong> ~$549\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>潜在总回报率：\u003C\u002Fstrong> ~246%\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>年化内部收益率：\u003C\u002Fstrong> ~30% \u002F 年\u003C\u002Fli>\n\u003C\u002Ful>\n\n\n\n\u003Cfigure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\">\u003Cimg width=\"4968\" height=\"4084\" data-public-id=\"images\u002FORCL_valuation_model_129195fea90\u002FORCL_valuation_model_129195fea90.webp\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_4968,h_4084,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788818730\u002Fimages\u002FORCL_valuation_model_129195fea90\u002FORCL_valuation_model_129195fea90.webp?_i=AA\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-post-129153 wp-image-129195\" data-format=\"webp\" data-transformations=\"f_webp,q_auto\" data-version=\"1788818730\" data-seo=\"1\" srcset=\"https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788818730\u002Fimages\u002FORCL_valuation_model_129195fea90\u002FORCL_valuation_model_129195fea90.webp?_i=AA 4968w, https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_1200,h_986,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788818730\u002Fimages\u002FORCL_valuation_model_129195fea90\u002FORCL_valuation_model_129195fea90.webp?_i=AA 1200w, https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_1400,h_1151,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788818730\u002Fimages\u002FORCL_valuation_model_129195fea90\u002FORCL_valuation_model_129195fea90.webp?_i=AA 1400w, https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_300,h_247,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788818730\u002Fimages\u002FORCL_valuation_model_129195fea90\u002FORCL_valuation_model_129195fea90.webp?_i=AA 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 4968px) 100vw, 4968px\" \u002F>\u003Cfigcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">甲骨文高级估值模型 \u003Cstrong>(\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fmarkets?fid=1&?ref=tikrblog\">TIKR\u003C\u002Fa>)\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Ffigcaption>\u003C\u002Ffigure>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\">查看分析师对甲骨文股票的增长预测和价格目标（免费！）>>>\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">TIKR的中值情景模型预计，到2031年5月，甲骨文的价值约为$549，这意味着从入场价计算的总回报率接近246%，或者说在4.7年内年化回报率约为30%。支撑该情景的两个收入驱动因素是：甲骨文云基础设施（OCI）的消耗增长（这是支撑58%至64%云增长率指引背后的引擎），以及多云数据库附加业务——Sicilia表示，随着企业同时在AWS、Azure和Google上运行甲骨文数据库，该业务同比增长超过400%。该模型依赖于接近23%的中值收入复合年增长率，以及\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fwhat-is-a-good-net-margin-definition-formula\">净利润率\u003C\u002Fa>恢复至27%左右，第四季度息税折旧摊销前利润率已达57%，为运营引擎承载增长斜率提供了空间。 \u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">利润率驱动因素是OCI的规模效应，因为高利用率将固定的数据中心成本分摊到更多已确认的收入上。主要风险则恰恰相反：如果主要客户的消耗量因电力或芯片供应问题在未来12至18个月内下滑，现金流复苏将推迟，杠杆率将在更长时间内保持高位。上行情景是积压订单按计划转化，估值倍数向同行靠拢。下行风险则是在现金流转正之前，融资压力迫使公司进行股权稀释。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">为关注华尔街目标的读者提供一个解释：约$242的平均分析师目标价是基于约12个月的时间范围，而TIKR的约$549则是4.7年中值情景模型的输出结果。它们衡量的是不同的东西，但两者都远高于周四的价格。模型的入场价$158.78略低于上次收盘价$158.83。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Ch2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u003Cstrong>结论\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">周四晚间请关注一个数字：云收入增长率。如果落在58%至64%的指引区间内（最好是接近上限），且总增长率达到或超过27%，则表明积压订单正在按计划转化，为看涨者提供了第二个数据点。若低于该区间，或总增长率跌破27%，则说明上线时间正在推迟，现金流复苏将延后，而这正是信贷市场正在定价的确切担忧。无论增长率指向哪个方向，经营现金流指标都将是对其的确认。甲骨文将于9月10日盘后公布业绩，盘后走势将告诉您市场最终决定对哪种担忧进行定价。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>查看亿万富翁投资者正在买入哪些股票，以便您能通过 TIKR 跟随聪明钱。\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Ch2 id=\"h-should-you-invest-in-oracle\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">您应该投资甲骨文吗？\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">真正了解的唯一方法就是亲自查看数据。TIKR 为您免费提供专业分析师用来回答这个问题的机构级财务数据。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">打开\u003Cstrong>甲骨文\u003C\u002Fstrong>，您将看到多年的历史财务数据、华尔街分析师对未来几个季度收入和盈利的预期、估值倍数随时间的变化情况，以及价格目标是呈上升还是下降趋势。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">您可以建立一个免费的观察列表，跟踪\u003Cstrong>\u003Cstrong>甲骨文\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fstrong>以及您关注的所有其他股票。无需信用卡。只需您做决策所需的数据。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>在 TIKR 上免费分析甲骨文 →\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Ch2 id=\"h-looking-for-new-opportunities\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">寻找新机会？\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\n\n\n\u003Cul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\u003Cli>查看\u003Cstrong>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\">亿万富翁投资者正在买入\u003C\u002Fa> \u003C\u002Fstrong>哪些股票，以便跟随聪明钱。\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>使用 TIKR 一体化、易于使用的平台，\u003Cstrong>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\">在短短 5 分钟内分析股票\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fstrong>。\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>您翻开的石头越多……发现的机会就越多。\u003Cstrong>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\">使用 TIKR 搜索超过 10 万只全球股票、全球顶级投资者持仓等更多信息。\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fli>\n\u003C\u002Ful>\n\n\n\n\u003Ch2 id=\"h-disclaimer\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u003Cstrong>免责声明：\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cem>请注意，TIKR 上的文章并非 TIKR 或我们的内容团队提供的投资或财务建议，也不是买入或卖出任何股票的建议。我们根据 TIKR Terminal 的投资数据和分析师预测来创建内容。我们的分析可能未包含最新的公司新闻或重要更新。TIKR 对提及的任何股票均无持仓。感谢阅读，祝您投资愉快！\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fp>",1450,"zh","\u002Fblog\u002Foracle-stock-reports-september-10-with-a-638-billion-backlog-the-print-has-to-prove-it-converts","oracle-stock-reports-september-10-with-a-638-billion-backlog-the-print-has-to-prove-it-converts","images\u002F5-1_1291729334c\u002F5-1_1291729334c","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788817987\u002Fimages\u002F5-1_1291729334c\u002F5-1_1291729334c.png?_i=AA",{"altText":237,"imageCredit":238},"Oracle Stock Reports September 10 With a $638 Billion Backlog. The Print Has to Prove It Converts.","@Mungkhoodstudio's Images via Canva, @Bianca Constantinescu's Images via Canva",{"name":240,"slug":241,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":244},"Wiltone Asuncion","wiltonetikr","author","",[],{"name":246,"slug":247,"role":248,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":249},"David Hanson","davidtikr","editor",[],[251],{"name":252,"slug":253,"uri":254,"description":243,"postsCount":255},"一般投资","general-investing","\u002Fblog\u002Fcategory\u002Fgeneral-investing",0,[],{"title":237,"metaDesc":258,"opengraphDescription":258,"twitterTitle":237,"twitterDescription":258},"Oracle’s $638 billion backlog is the largest in enterprise software, and nobody doubts the demand anymore. The September 10 print has to answer a different question: how fast does contracted revenue turn into recognized revenue?",{"title":237,"description":260,"twitterTitle":237,"twitterDescription":260,"author":240,"articlePublisher":261,"articlePublishedTime":226,"articleModifiedTime":227,"twitterLabel1":262,"twitterData1":263,"ogTitle":237,"ogDescription":260,"ogUrl":232,"ogImage":235,"ogImageWidth":264,"ogImageHeight":265,"ogImageSecureUrl":235,"ogImageAlt":237,"twitterImage":235},"Oracle’s $638 billion backlog is the largest in enterprise software, and nobody doubts the demand anymore. The September 10 print has to answer a different question: how fast does contracted revenue turn into recognized revenue?","TIKR.com","预计阅读时间","2 minutes",1200,630,[267,282,297,314,330],{"id":255,"title":268,"date":269,"excerpt":270,"wordCount":271,"uri":272,"slug":273,"cloudinaryAssetId":274,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":275,"featuredImageMetadata":276,"author":277,"categories":279,"relatedPosts":281},"IBM股票在量子计算领域持续领先。股价却仍徘徊于低位附近","2026-09-07 22:05:00","IBM的量子路线图从未显得如此强劲，然而其股价却徘徊在235美元附近，较6月高点下跌近30%。第二季度的业绩未达预期，给投资者提出了一个问题：大型机的失误是时机问题，还是结构性问题？",1554,"\u002Fblog\u002Fibm-stock-keeps-winning-in-quantum-the-stock-is-still-stuck-near-its-lows","ibm-stock-keeps-winning-in-quantum-the-stock-is-still-stuck-near-its-lows","images\u002F3-1_129170bac0e\u002F3-1_129170bac0e","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788817975\u002Fimages\u002F3-1_129170bac0e\u002F3-1_129170bac0e.png?_i=AA",{"altText":268},{"name":240,"slug":241,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":278},[],[280],{"name":252,"slug":253,"uri":254,"description":243,"postsCount":255},[],{"id":255,"title":283,"date":284,"excerpt":285,"wordCount":286,"uri":287,"slug":288,"cloudinaryAssetId":289,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":290,"featuredImageMetadata":291,"author":292,"categories":294,"relatedPosts":296},"联合航空股价在2026年表现平平，尽管录得创纪录季度业绩并实现史上最大规模扩张","2026-09-07 22:00:00","美联航刚刚宣布了其历史上最大规模的国际扩张计划，并推出了专为盈利性薄弱的远程航线打造的机型。然而，其股价今年以来却毫无起色。该股目前远期市盈率约为8倍，而华尔街目标价为161美元，公司基本面与股价之间的差距鲜有如此之大。",1234,"\u002Fblog\u002Funited-airlines-stock-is-flat-in-2026-despite-a-record-quarter-and-its-biggest-expansion-ever","united-airlines-stock-is-flat-in-2026-despite-a-record-quarter-and-its-biggest-expansion-ever","images\u002F2-1_12916983bdd\u002F2-1_12916983bdd","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788817967\u002Fimages\u002F2-1_12916983bdd\u002F2-1_12916983bdd.png?_i=AA",{"altText":283},{"name":240,"slug":241,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":293},[],[295],{"name":252,"slug":253,"uri":254,"description":243,"postsCount":255},[],{"id":255,"title":298,"date":299,"excerpt":300,"wordCount":301,"uri":302,"slug":303,"cloudinaryAssetId":304,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":305,"featuredImageMetadata":306,"author":307,"categories":311,"relatedPosts":313},"SpaceX德国竞争对手火箭首次进入轨道","2026-09-07 12:51:43","Isar Aerospace首次成功进入轨道，但SpaceX股票仍占据主导地位，其发射质量占全球入轨总质量的80-90%。",803,"\u002Fblog\u002Fspacex-spcx-stock-german-rival-isar-aerospace-orbit","spacex-spcx-stock-german-rival-isar-aerospace-orbit","images\u002FSPCX-stock-@Kmeel_com-from-pixabay-via-Canva-@3DSculptor-from-Getty-Images-via-Canva_1290832dea0\u002FSPCX-stock-@Kmeel_com-from-pixabay-via-Canva-@3DSculptor-from-Getty-Images-via-Canva_1290832dea0","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788782152\u002Fimages\u002FSPCX-stock-@Kmeel_com-from-pixabay-via-Canva-@3DSculptor-from-Getty-Images-via-Canva_1290832dea0\u002FSPCX-stock-@Kmeel_com-from-pixabay-via-Canva-@3DSculptor-from-Getty-Images-via-Canva_1290832dea0.png?_i=AA",{"altText":298},{"name":308,"slug":309,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":310},"Aditya Raghunath","adityatikr",[],[312],{"name":252,"slug":253,"uri":254,"description":243,"postsCount":255},[],{"id":255,"title":315,"date":316,"excerpt":317,"wordCount":318,"uri":319,"slug":320,"cloudinaryAssetId":-1,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":321,"featuredImageMetadata":322,"author":323,"categories":327,"relatedPosts":329},"Ciena第三季度财报显示利润率创下新高。积压订单的故事更为重要。","2026-09-07 10:30:30","Ciena的积压订单在一个季度内激增8亿美元，达到85亿美元，管理层表示需求仍超过供应。",993,"\u002Fblog\u002Fcienas-q3-earnings-show-record-margins-the-backlog-story-is-bigger","cienas-q3-earnings-show-record-margins-the-backlog-story-is-bigger","https:\u002F\u002Ftikr1.wpengine.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2026\u002F09\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1543-600x360.png",{"altText":315},{"name":324,"slug":325,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":326},"Gian 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10:30:00","UiPath股价上周暴跌17%，尽管营收超预期并上调了全年业绩指引。真正的症结在于其三季度增长预测几乎在一夜之间被腰斩。",1179,"\u002Fblog\u002Fwhy-uipath-stock-fell-17-last-week-despite-beating-estimates","why-uipath-stock-fell-17-last-week-despite-beating-estimates","images\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1542\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1542","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_360,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788775958\u002Fimages\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1542\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1542.png?_i=AA",{"altText":331},{"name":324,"slug":325,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":341},[],[343],{"name":252,"slug":253,"uri":254,"description":243,"postsCount":255},[],[346,364,380,395,410,427,445,460,475,489,504,522,537,552,567],{"id":255,"title":347,"date":348,"excerpt":349,"wordCount":350,"uri":351,"slug":352,"cloudinaryAssetId":353,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":354,"featuredImageMetadata":355,"author":356,"categories":358,"relatedPosts":363},"Shopify股价单日飙升17%，随后一个月陷入停滞。以下是该股未来可能的走向","2026-09-07 22:10:00","Shopify第二季度业绩大超预期，推动股价单日暴涨17%。一个月后，股价却停滞不前，市盈率已接近98倍。当前买家面临的问题是：下一轮上涨是否会到来，还是说单日飙升行情已透支了全部涨幅。",1288,"\u002Fblog\u002Fshopify-stock-soared-17-in-a-day-then-went-nowhere-for-a-month-heres-where-the-stock-could-go","shopify-stock-soared-17-in-a-day-then-went-nowhere-for-a-month-heres-where-the-stock-could-go","images\u002F4-1_12917172a81\u002F4-1_12917172a81","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788817980\u002Fimages\u002F4-1_12917172a81\u002F4-1_12917172a81.png?_i=AA",{"altText":347},{"name":240,"slug":241,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":357},[],[359],{"name":360,"slug":361,"uri":362,"description":243,"postsCount":255},"股票评论","reviews","\u002Fblog\u002Fcategory\u002Freviews",[],{"id":255,"title":365,"date":366,"excerpt":367,"wordCount":368,"uri":369,"slug":370,"cloudinaryAssetId":-1,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":371,"featuredImageMetadata":372,"author":373,"categories":377,"relatedPosts":379},"IREN股价已从峰值下跌57%。其去年营收却增长了266%。","2026-09-07 19:35:00","一家比特币矿商转型进入AI算力领域，身处全球两大增长最快行业之间动荡的无人地带。",1037,"\u002Fblog\u002Firen-has-lost-57-from-its-peak-its-revenue-just-grew-266-last-year","iren-has-lost-57-from-its-peak-its-revenue-just-grew-266-last-year","https:\u002F\u002Ftikr1.wpengine.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2026\u002F09\u002FIREN-Featured-600x400.png",{"altText":365},{"name":374,"slug":375,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":376},"David Beren","davidberentikr",[],[378],{"name":360,"slug":361,"uri":362,"description":243,"postsCount":255},[],{"id":255,"title":381,"date":382,"excerpt":383,"wordCount":384,"uri":385,"slug":386,"cloudinaryAssetId":387,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":388,"featuredImageMetadata":389,"author":390,"categories":392,"relatedPosts":394},"美国航空公布创纪录季度营收 股价较峰值下跌28%","2026-09-07 18:16:00","商业转型的成效已体现在营收层面。能否最终转化为盈利，才是当前争议的核心所在。",980,"\u002Fblog\u002Famerican-airlines-just-posted-record-quarterly-revenue-the-stock-is-down-28-from-its-peak","american-airlines-just-posted-record-quarterly-revenue-the-stock-is-down-28-from-its-peak","images\u002FAmerican-Airlines-Featured_129132b8170\u002FAmerican-Airlines-Featured_129132b8170","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788801407\u002Fimages\u002FAmerican-Airlines-Featured_129132b8170\u002FAmerican-Airlines-Featured_129132b8170.png?_i=AA",{"altText":381},{"name":374,"slug":375,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":391},[],[393],{"name":360,"slug":361,"uri":362,"description":243,"postsCount":255},[],{"id":255,"title":396,"date":397,"excerpt":398,"wordCount":399,"uri":400,"slug":401,"cloudinaryAssetId":402,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":403,"featuredImageMetadata":404,"author":405,"categories":407,"relatedPosts":409},"Arista Networks刚刚实现首个30亿美元季度业绩。AI网络建设正在加速推进。","2026-09-07 17:51:00","营收在四年内增长了两倍，自由现金流增长了近十倍。Arista正位于当前所有主要AI基础设施项目的核心位置。",1147,"\u002Fblog\u002Farista-networks-just-posted-its-first-3-billion-quarter-the-ai-networking-buildout-is-accelerating","arista-networks-just-posted-its-first-3-billion-quarter-the-ai-networking-buildout-is-accelerating","images\u002FArista-Networks-Featured_1291214a499\u002FArista-Networks-Featured_1291214a499","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788799854\u002Fimages\u002FArista-Networks-Featured_1291214a499\u002FArista-Networks-Featured_1291214a499.png?_i=AA",{"altText":396},{"name":374,"slug":375,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":406},[],[408],{"name":360,"slug":361,"uri":362,"description":243,"postsCount":255},[],{"id":255,"title":411,"date":412,"excerpt":413,"wordCount":414,"uri":415,"slug":416,"cloudinaryAssetId":417,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":418,"featuredImageMetadata":419,"author":420,"categories":424,"relatedPosts":426},"Lululemon财报后下跌18%。以下是该股到2026年可能上涨的幅度","2026-09-07 07:29:20","Lululemon Athletica股价在财报发布后下跌约18%，至每股约100美元。其第二财季业绩显示，在其最大的几个市场，需求均出现疲软，这引发了市场对其转型计划持久性的新担忧。",981,"\u002Fblog\u002Flululemon-fell-18-after-earnings-heres-how-much-the-stock-could-rise-in-2026","lululemon-fell-18-after-earnings-heres-how-much-the-stock-could-rise-in-2026","images\u002F@mimagephotography-via-Canva-@breakermaximus-from-Getty-Images-via-Canva\u002F@mimagephotography-via-Canva-@breakermaximus-from-Getty-Images-via-Canva","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788765775\u002Fimages\u002F@mimagephotography-via-Canva-@breakermaximus-from-Getty-Images-via-Canva\u002F@mimagephotography-via-Canva-@breakermaximus-from-Getty-Images-via-Canva.png?_i=AA",{"altText":411},{"name":421,"slug":422,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":423},"Nikko 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13:48:44","TER股价在强劲的AI驱动季度后交易于357美元附近。查看TIKR的估值模型、关键假设以及看涨\u002F中性\u002F看跌情景。",1081,"\u002Fblog\u002Fteradyne-ter-stock-valuation-2028-forecast","teradyne-ter-stock-valuation-2028-forecast","images\u002FTER-stock-@undefined-from-Getty-Images-Pro-via-Canva-@Aaron-Hawkins-from-Getty-Images-via-Canva\u002FTER-stock-@undefined-from-Getty-Images-Pro-via-Canva-@Aaron-Hawkins-from-Getty-Images-via-Canva","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788787091\u002Fimages\u002FTER-stock-@undefined-from-Getty-Images-Pro-via-Canva-@Aaron-Hawkins-from-Getty-Images-via-Canva\u002FTER-stock-@undefined-from-Getty-Images-Pro-via-Canva-@Aaron-Hawkins-from-Getty-Images-via-Canva.png?_i=AA",{"altText":428},{"name":308,"slug":309,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":438},[],[440],{"name":441,"slug":442,"uri":443,"description":243,"postsCount":255},"估价","valuation","\u002Fblog\u002Fcategory\u002Fvaluation",[],{"id":255,"title":446,"date":447,"excerpt":448,"wordCount":449,"uri":450,"slug":451,"cloudinaryAssetId":452,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":453,"featuredImageMetadata":454,"author":455,"categories":457,"relatedPosts":459},"过去12个月下跌52%，Monday.com股票能否在2028年前扭转局面？","2026-09-07 13:48:05","MNDY股价现报约91美元，经历艰难一年后。查看TIKR估值模型、关键假设以及monday.com股票的多头\u002F中性\u002F空头情景分析。",1057,"\u002Fblog\u002Fmonday-com-mndy-stock-valuation-2028-forecast","monday-com-mndy-stock-valuation-2028-forecast","images\u002FMNDY-stock-@SUMALI-IBNU-CHAMID-from-Alemedia.id-via-Canva-@Lukas-Blazek-from-Pexels-via-Canva\u002FMNDY-stock-@SUMALI-IBNU-CHAMID-from-Alemedia.id-via-Canva-@Lukas-Blazek-from-Pexels-via-Canva","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788785282\u002Fimages\u002FMNDY-stock-@SUMALI-IBNU-CHAMID-from-Alemedia.id-via-Canva-@Lukas-Blazek-from-Pexels-via-Canva\u002FMNDY-stock-@SUMALI-IBNU-CHAMID-from-Alemedia.id-via-Canva-@Lukas-Blazek-from-Pexels-via-Canva.png?_i=AA",{"altText":446},{"name":308,"slug":309,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":456},[],[458],{"name":441,"slug":442,"uri":443,"description":243,"postsCount":255},[],{"id":255,"title":461,"date":462,"excerpt":463,"wordCount":464,"uri":465,"slug":466,"cloudinaryAssetId":467,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":468,"featuredImageMetadata":469,"author":470,"categories":472,"relatedPosts":474},"在过去12个月下跌近3%，穆迪股票能否在2028年前反弹？","2026-09-07 12:51:18","MCO股价在强劲的第二季度业绩后交易于494美元附近。查看TIKR的估值模型、关键假设以及穆迪股票的看涨\u002F中性\u002F看跌情景。",1051,"\u002Fblog\u002Fmoodys-mco-stock-valuation-2028-forecast","moodys-mco-stock-valuation-2028-forecast","images\u002FMCO-stock_12907910dc1\u002FMCO-stock_12907910dc1","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788777469\u002Fimages\u002FMCO-stock_12907910dc1\u002FMCO-stock_12907910dc1.png?_i=AA",{"altText":461},{"name":308,"slug":309,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":471},[],[473],{"name":441,"slug":442,"uri":443,"description":243,"postsCount":255},[],{"id":255,"title":476,"date":477,"excerpt":478,"wordCount":264,"uri":479,"slug":480,"cloudinaryAssetId":481,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":482,"featuredImageMetadata":483,"author":484,"categories":486,"relatedPosts":488},"过去12个月下跌16%，IDEXX股票能否在2027年反弹？","2026-09-07 12:50:27","IDEXX股价下跌，尽管其诊断业务增长强劲。以下是TIKR估值模型对其截至2028年目标价格的预测。","\u002Fblog\u002Fidexx-idxx-stock-valuation-2027-price-target","idexx-idxx-stock-valuation-2027-price-target","images\u002FIDXX-stock_129056d2db7\u002FIDXX-stock_129056d2db7","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788775298\u002Fimages\u002FIDXX-stock_129056d2db7\u002FIDXX-stock_129056d2db7.png?_i=AA",{"altText":476},{"name":308,"slug":309,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":485},[],[487],{"name":441,"slug":442,"uri":443,"description":243,"postsCount":255},[],{"id":255,"title":490,"date":491,"excerpt":492,"wordCount":493,"uri":494,"slug":495,"cloudinaryAssetId":496,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":497,"featuredImageMetadata":498,"author":499,"categories":501,"relatedPosts":503},"过去12个月下跌23%，达美乐披萨股票能否在2027年迎来转机？","2026-09-07 12:49:28","达美乐披萨股价大幅下挫，尽管订单增长强劲。以下是TIKR估值模型对其截至2028年目标价格的预测。",1151,"\u002Fblog\u002Fdominos-pizza-dpz-stock-valuation-2027-price-target","dominos-pizza-dpz-stock-valuation-2027-price-target","images\u002FDPZ-stock_128908c596b\u002FDPZ-stock_128908c596b","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788670110\u002Fimages\u002FDPZ-stock_128908c596b\u002FDPZ-stock_128908c596b.png?_i=AA",{"altText":490},{"name":308,"slug":309,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":500},[],[502],{"name":441,"slug":442,"uri":443,"description":243,"postsCount":255},[],{"id":255,"title":505,"date":506,"excerpt":507,"wordCount":508,"uri":509,"slug":510,"cloudinaryAssetId":511,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":512,"featuredImageMetadata":513,"author":514,"categories":516,"relatedPosts":521},"安霸股价大涨，创纪录的边缘AI需求推动第二财季营收超预期","2026-09-04 13:48:46","安霸股价上涨，此前该公司第二财季营收因创纪录的边缘AI需求而超出业绩指引，同时上调了五年市场预测。",810,"\u002Fblog\u002Fambarella-stock-rallies-record-edge-ai-revenue-beat","ambarella-stock-rallies-record-edge-ai-revenue-beat","images\u002FAMBA-stock_1286743f518\u002FAMBA-stock_1286743f518","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788526155\u002Fimages\u002FAMBA-stock_1286743f518\u002FAMBA-stock_1286743f518.png?_i=AA",{"altText":505},{"name":308,"slug":309,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":515},[],[517],{"name":518,"slug":519,"uri":520,"description":243,"postsCount":255},"收益更新","earnings-updates","\u002Fblog\u002Fcategory\u002Fearnings-updates",[],{"id":255,"title":523,"date":524,"excerpt":525,"wordCount":526,"uri":527,"slug":528,"cloudinaryAssetId":529,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":530,"featuredImageMetadata":531,"author":532,"categories":534,"relatedPosts":536},"Lululemon第二季度息税前利润超预期。但业绩指引下调抹去了这一利好消息。","2026-09-04 09:30:00","Lululemon的GAAP每股收益达到2.92美元，这得益于一笔1.345亿美元的一次性关税退款，但调整后每股收益下降34%至2.06美元，同时公司大幅下调了业绩指引。",1020,"\u002Fblog\u002Flululemons-q2-earnings-beat-on-ebit-a-guidance-cut-erased-the-good-news","lululemons-q2-earnings-beat-on-ebit-a-guidance-cut-erased-the-good-news","images\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1521\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1521","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_360,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788505347\u002Fimages\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1521\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1521.png?_i=AA",{"altText":523},{"name":324,"slug":325,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":533},[],[535],{"name":518,"slug":519,"uri":520,"description":243,"postsCount":255},[],{"id":255,"title":538,"date":539,"excerpt":540,"wordCount":541,"uri":542,"slug":543,"cloudinaryAssetId":544,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":545,"featuredImageMetadata":546,"author":547,"categories":549,"relatedPosts":551},"Samsara 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09:00:00","Samsara在单个季度内新增了242个价值10万美元以上的客户。年度经常性收入（ARR）刚刚突破21亿美元。",1045,"\u002Fblog\u002Fsamsara-2026-q2-earnings-confirm-a-fourth-straight-quarter-of-gaap-profit","samsara-2026-q2-earnings-confirm-a-fourth-straight-quarter-of-gaap-profit","images\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1520\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1520","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_360,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788503322\u002Fimages\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1520\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1520.png?_i=AA",{"altText":538},{"name":324,"slug":325,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":548},[],[550],{"name":518,"slug":519,"uri":520,"description":243,"postsCount":255},[],{"id":255,"title":553,"date":554,"excerpt":555,"wordCount":556,"uri":557,"slug":558,"cloudinaryAssetId":559,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":560,"featuredImageMetadata":561,"author":562,"categories":564,"relatedPosts":566},"Zscaler第四季度业绩全线超预期。但2027财年指引未能延续这一势头。","2026-09-04 08:30:00","Zscaler第四季度营收达到8.98亿美元，同比增长25%，全面超出华尔街的各项预期指标。",982,"\u002Fblog\u002Fzscalers-q4-earnings-beat-on-every-line-the-fy27-guide-didnt-follow-through","zscalers-q4-earnings-beat-on-every-line-the-fy27-guide-didnt-follow-through","images\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1519\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1519","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_360,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788501841\u002Fimages\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1519\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1519.png?_i=AA",{"altText":553},{"name":324,"slug":325,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":563},[],[565],{"name":518,"slug":519,"uri":520,"description":243,"postsCount":255},[],{"id":255,"title":568,"date":569,"excerpt":570,"wordCount":571,"uri":572,"slug":573,"cloudinaryAssetId":574,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":575,"featuredImageMetadata":576,"author":577,"categories":579,"relatedPosts":581},"DocuSign Q2财报全线超预期。IAM平台功不可没。","2026-09-04 08:00:00","DocuSign的身份与访问管理平台在单个季度内跃升至年度经常性收入的15.1%，为上调的业绩指引和3.07亿美元的股票回购提供了资金支持。",956,"\u002Fblog\u002Fdocusigns-q2-earnings-beat-on-every-line-the-iam-platform-is-why","docusigns-q2-earnings-beat-on-every-line-the-iam-platform-is-why","images\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1518\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1518","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_360,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1788501374\u002Fimages\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1518\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1518.png?_i=AA",{"altText":568},{"name":324,"slug":325,"role":242,"roleTitle":243,"biography":243,"avatar":243,"socialMediaLinks":578},[],[580],{"name":518,"slug":519,"uri":520,"description":243,"postsCount":255},[]]