[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"app-context":3,"blog-micron-stock-fell-8-in-a-day-heres-where-the-stock-could-go-in-2026-ZH":150},{"languages":4,"categories":41,"products":125,"competitors":149},[5,9,13,17,21,25,29,33,37],{"name":6,"code":7,"id":8},"English","EN","TGFuZ3VhZ2U6ZW4=",{"name":10,"code":11,"id":12},"Español","ES","TGFuZ3VhZ2U6ZXM=",{"name":14,"code":15,"id":16},"Português","PT","TGFuZ3VhZ2U6cHQ=",{"name":18,"code":19,"id":20},"日本語","JA","TGFuZ3VhZ2U6amE=",{"name":22,"code":23,"id":24},"한국어","KO","TGFuZ3VhZ2U6a28=",{"name":26,"code":27,"id":28},"Deutsch","DE","TGFuZ3VhZ2U6ZGU=",{"name":30,"code":31,"id":32},"Italiano","IT","TGFuZ3VhZ2U6aXQ=",{"name":34,"code":35,"id":36},"Français","FR","TGFuZ3VhZ2U6ZnI=",{"name":38,"code":39,"id":40},"中文 (中国)","ZH","TGFuZ3VhZ2U6emg=",[42,73,104],{"icon":43,"slug":44,"title":45,"description":46,"featuredLinks":47},"mingcute:stock-line","stock-market-basics","Stock Market Basics","\u003Cp>Beginners' guides and practical tips for understanding stock market investing.\u003C\u002Fp>\n",[48,53,58,63,68],{"url":49,"title":50,"description":51,"ogImage":52},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fwhat-makes-stocks-go-up-and-down","What Makes Stocks Go Up and Down | TIKR.com","Understanding what makes stock prices go up and down can help investors better navigate investing. Click to learn more!","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FWhat-makes-stocks-go-up-and-down-banner\u002FWhat-makes-stocks-go-up-and-down-banner.jpg?_i=AA",{"url":54,"title":55,"description":56,"ogImage":57},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fdividend-yield-meaning-formula-example","Dividend Yield: Meaning, Formula, Example | Tikr.com Blog | TIKR.com","The dividend yield is a key metric for investors looking to gauge the income potential of their investments. It measures how much a company pays out in","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FDividend-yield\u002FDividend-yield.png?_i=AA",{"url":59,"title":60,"description":61,"ogImage":62},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fmarket-capitalization-definition-formula-and-why-it-matters","Market Capitalization: Definition, Formula, and Why It Matters | TIKR.com","Long-term investors often look at various valuation metrics when deciding whether to invest in a particular company. One helpful metric to evaluate is","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FMarket-Capitalization-Definition-Formula-and-Why-It-Matters\u002FMarket-Capitalization-Definition-Formula-and-Why-It-Matters.png?_i=AA",{"url":64,"title":65,"description":66,"ogImage":67},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fearnings-per-share-definition-formula-and-why-eps-matters","Earnings Per Share: Definition, Formula, and Why EPS Matters | TIKR.com","Earnings Per Share (EPS) represents the portion of a company's net earnings allocated to each share. Click to learn more!","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FEPS-Defiinition-formula-and-why-EPS-matters-1\u002FEPS-Defiinition-formula-and-why-EPS-matters-1.png?_i=AA",{"url":69,"title":70,"description":71,"ogImage":72},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fwhat-is-a-stock-price-target","What Is a Stock Price Target? | TIKR.com","A price target is a stock's estimated future price. It can help investors quickly find undervalued stocks. Learn more now!","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FWhat-is-a-Stock-Price-Target-2\u002FWhat-is-a-Stock-Price-Target-2.png?_i=AA",{"icon":74,"slug":75,"title":76,"description":77,"featuredLinks":78},"material-symbols:analytics-outline","fundamental-analysis","Fundamental Analysis","\u003Cp>In-depth resources and financial metrics to help you evaluate companies like a pro.\u003C\u002Fp>\n",[79,84,89,94,99],{"url":80,"title":81,"description":82,"ogImage":83},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fshare-repurchase-why-do-companies-buy-back-their-stock","Share Repurchase: Why Do Companies Buy Back Their Stock? | TIKR.com","Share repurchases, or share buybacks, have gained popularity in the last two decades. According to a report from Goldman Sachs, stock buybacks initiated","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR-BLOG-COVER-PHOTOS-3_544a7f4e\u002FTIKR-BLOG-COVER-PHOTOS-3_544a7f4e.png?_i=AA",{"url":85,"title":86,"description":87,"ogImage":88},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fwhat-is-a-good-return-on-invested-capital","What Is a Good Return on Invested Capital? | TIKR.com","Learning about Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) can help investors spot highly profitable stocks that can drive long-term returns. Learn more now!","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FWhat-is-a-good-return-on-Invested-capital\u002FWhat-is-a-good-return-on-Invested-capital.png?_i=AA",{"url":90,"title":91,"description":92,"ogImage":93},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fwhat-is-a-good-return-on-equity-ratio","What is a Good Return on Equity Ratio | Tikr.com Blog | TIKR.com","Return on Equity (ROE) is a financial ratio that reflects a company's profitability in relation to the equity invested by shareholders. It basically","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FWhat-is-a-good-return-on-equity-ratio-1\u002FWhat-is-a-good-return-on-equity-ratio-1.jpg?_i=AA",{"url":95,"title":96,"description":97,"ogImage":98},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fwhat-is-a-good-p-e-ratio","What Is a Good P\u002FE Ratio? | TIKR.com","Financial analysts and investors look at various metrics before deciding whether a stock is a buy. One of the metrics is the price-to-earnings ratio (P\u002FE","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FWhat-is-a-good-PE-ratio-1\u002FWhat-is-a-good-PE-ratio-1.jpg?_i=AA",{"url":100,"title":101,"description":102,"ogImage":103},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Ftop-6-metrics-for-investing-in-reits","Top 6 Metrics for Investing in REITs | TIKR.com","Real estate has been one of the greatest asset classes for wealth creation in history, and investing in Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) can allow","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FGroup-10\u002FGroup-10.png?_i=AA",{"icon":105,"slug":106,"title":107,"description":108,"featuredLinks":109},"hugeicons:investigation","investing-lingo","Investing Lingo","\u003Cp>A comprehensive glossary of investing terms and jargon so you can speak the language of the markets confidently.\u003C\u002Fp>\n",[110,115,120],{"url":111,"title":112,"description":113,"ogImage":114},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fenterprise-value-definition-and-calculation","Enterprise Value: Definition and Calculation | Tikr.com Blog | TIKR.com","Enterprise value (EV) is a financial metric that offers a comprehensive snapshot of a company's total value. Unlike market capitalization which solely","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FEnterprise-Value-Definition-and-Calculation_37576e40\u002FEnterprise-Value-Definition-and-Calculation_37576e40.png?_i=AA",{"url":116,"title":117,"description":118,"ogImage":119},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Febitda-definition-formula-how-to-use-it","EBITDA: Definition, Formula, How to Use It | TIKR.com","EBITDA stands for earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. It's a financial metric commonly used to evaluate a company's financial","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FEBITDA-Definition-Formula-How-to-Use-It\u002FEBITDA-Definition-Formula-How-to-Use-It.png?_i=AA",{"url":121,"title":122,"description":123,"ogImage":124},"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fwhat-is-the-free-cash-flow-formula-and-why-does-it-matter","What is the Free Cash Flow Formula and Why Does It Matter | TIKR.com","Free cash flow, or FCF, is the cash a company generates after it accounts for outflows required to maintain business operations and support capital","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fimages\u002FWhat-is-the-free-cash-flow-formula\u002FWhat-is-the-free-cash-flow-formula.png?_i=AA",[126,130,134,137,141,145],{"slug":127,"modified":128,"title":129},"valuation-model-builder","2025-07-03T00:18:53","Value Stocks Quickly and Accurately",{"slug":131,"modified":132,"title":133},"stock-portfolio-tracking","2024-12-02T22:21:28","Monitor Your Portfolio",{"slug":75,"modified":135,"title":136},"2025-01-21T22:10:52","Instantly Analyze Companies with In-Depth Metrics",{"slug":138,"modified":139,"title":140},"stock-screener","2024-12-02T22:13:31","Find the Best Stocks to Buy",{"slug":142,"modified":143,"title":144},"investor-stock-portfolio","2025-01-21T22:02:56","Follow Investment Moves of Top Investors",{"slug":146,"modified":147,"title":148},"analyze-stocks","2025-07-23T16:04:24","Analyze Stocks",[],{"post":151,"seo":187,"relatedPosts":194,"suggestedPosts":274},{"id":152,"title":153,"date":154,"modified":155,"excerpt":156,"content":157,"wordCount":158,"lang":159,"uri":160,"slug":161,"cloudinaryAssetId":162,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":163,"featuredImageMetadata":164,"author":167,"editor":173,"categories":178,"relatedPosts":184,"seo":185},117695,"美光科技股价单日下跌8%。以下是该股在2026年可能达到的位置","2026-07-16T19:30:00","2026-07-17T01:22:23","\u003Cp>美光在7月15日下跌了8%，但整个存储板块都下跌了，闪迪跌得更厉害。前一天，KeyBanc给出了华尔街最高的1750美元目标价。TIKR的中性情景模型显示其公允价值约为935美元。这两个数字之间的差距，才是唯一值得争论的事情。\u003C\u002Fp>","\u003Ch3 id=\"h-k-ey-stats-for-micron-stock\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u003Cstrong>美光股票\u003C\u002Fstrong>的\u003Cstrong>关键数据\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fh3>\n\n\n\n\u003Cul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>当前价格：\u003C\u002Fstrong> $904.28\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>目标价（中值）：\u003C\u002Fstrong> ~$935（于2030年8月31日实现）\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>华尔街目标价：\u003C\u002Fstrong> ~$1,490\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>潜在总回报：\u003C\u002Fstrong> ~3%\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>年化内部收益率：\u003C\u002Fstrong> ~1% \u002F 年\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>最大回撤：\u003C\u002Fstrong> 30.31%（发生于2026年3月30日）\u003C\u002Fli>\n\u003C\u002Ful>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cem>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">现已上线：使用TIKR的新估值模型，发现您最喜爱的股票可能有多少上涨空间（免费）\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fem>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\"> >>>\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Ch2 id=\"h-what-happened\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">发生了什么？\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>美光科技 (\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fstock\u002Fabout?cid=289030&tid=2630498&?ref=tikrblog\">\u003Cstrong>MU\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fa>\u003Cstrong>) \u003C\u002Fstrong>刚刚公布了其历史上最好的季度业绩，然而在周三，其股价下跌了8.02%，收于$904.28。这比52周高点$1,255.00低了27.9%。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">请抵制显而易见的结论。美光并非被单独针对。AMD、英特尔和Marvell的跌幅都超过了5%，而且抛售已经在亚洲市场隔夜发生，韩国综合指数下跌了5%，SK海力士下跌超过9%。这是整个存储板块的集体重新定价。任何向你兜售关于周三美光特定故事的人，都是在根据行情倒推。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">真正值得探讨的论点更为微妙，并且已经持续了数月。华尔街的平均目标价是$1,489.57。TIKR的中值模型给出的公允价值约为$935（截至2030年8月31日）。这两个数字都来自对同一家公司进行过深入研究的人。其背后悬而未决的问题是：美光的盈利能力是永久性的，还是从一个尚未转向的周期中借来的？\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Ch2 id=\"h-the-week-delivered-a-1-750-target-and-an-8-55-billion-chinese-ipo-in-that-order\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u003Cstrong>本周先后出现了$1,750的目标价和一笔$85.5亿美元的中国IPO\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">7月14日，KeyBanc的John Vinh在走访了亚洲供应链后，将其对美光的目标价从$1,600上调至$1,750，创下华尔街新高。他写道，供应链评论继续指向直到2027年内存供应环境都将保持紧张，并预计DRAM（服务器和PC中的工作内存）和NAND（驱动器中的闪存）价格到年底将实现两位数增长。当天股价上涨4.92%至$983.12。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">同一周，长鑫存储技术有限公司在上海科创板上市，定价为每股8.66元人民币，募集资金约579亿元人民币，约合$85.5亿美元。\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fasia-pacific\u002Fchinas-changxin-memory-technologies-sets-july-27-listing-date-sources-say-2026-07-14\u002F\">路透社报道\u003C\u002Fa>了CXMT于7月14日提交的文件中的条款。这是中国A股有史以来最大的半导体发行，该公司将其最初的295亿元人民币目标翻了一番。CXMT是全球第四大DRAM制造商，2025年市场份额约为7.7%。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">两个相反的信号，相隔两天。这就是这场辩论的实际状况。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">CXMT之所以重要，是因为稀缺性是整个投资逻辑的核心。在6月24日的财报电话会议上，董事长、总裁兼首席执行官Sanjay Mehrotra说得再明白不过：\"我们目前看不到内存供应何时能够赶上不断增长的需求。\" 只有获得资金支持的产能才能提供这种可见性。但CXMT长期以来一直被视为相对于三星和SK海力士的技术落后者；它不是近期的HBM竞争对手，而HBM（为AI加速器提供动力的堆叠内存）才是美光利润的真正来源。野村证券大中华区半导体分析师Donnie Teng在同一份路透社报道中直言不讳地表示，内存供应仍然不足。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">7月15日，也有报道称华盛顿正在考虑对HBM实施更严格的单边出口限制。这是对一项审议的二手报道，并非拟议规则，也不是BIS（美国工业和安全局）的行动，且未提及具体官员姓名。现有的HBM管制措施可追溯到2024年12月。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cfigure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\">\u003Cimg width=\"3023\" height=\"2015\" data-public-id=\"images\u002FTIKR.com_Micron-Technology-Inc.-MU-Drawdowns_117757ebf0c\u002FTIKR.com_Micron-Technology-Inc.-MU-Drawdowns_117757ebf0c.webp\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_3023,h_2015,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784226279\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR.com_Micron-Technology-Inc.-MU-Drawdowns_117757ebf0c\u002FTIKR.com_Micron-Technology-Inc.-MU-Drawdowns_117757ebf0c.webp?_i=AA\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-post-117695 wp-image-117757\" data-format=\"webp\" data-transformations=\"f_webp,q_auto\" data-version=\"1784226279\" data-seo=\"1\" srcset=\"https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784226279\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR.com_Micron-Technology-Inc.-MU-Drawdowns_117757ebf0c\u002FTIKR.com_Micron-Technology-Inc.-MU-Drawdowns_117757ebf0c.webp?_i=AA 3023w, https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784226279\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR.com_Micron-Technology-Inc.-MU-Drawdowns_117757ebf0c\u002FTIKR.com_Micron-Technology-Inc.-MU-Drawdowns_117757ebf0c.webp?_i=AA 600w, https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_1200,h_800,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784226279\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR.com_Micron-Technology-Inc.-MU-Drawdowns_117757ebf0c\u002FTIKR.com_Micron-Technology-Inc.-MU-Drawdowns_117757ebf0c.webp?_i=AA 1200w, https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_1400,h_933,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784226279\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR.com_Micron-Technology-Inc.-MU-Drawdowns_117757ebf0c\u002FTIKR.com_Micron-Technology-Inc.-MU-Drawdowns_117757ebf0c.webp?_i=AA 1400w, https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_300,h_200,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784226279\u002Fimages\u002FTIKR.com_Micron-Technology-Inc.-MU-Drawdowns_117757ebf0c\u002FTIKR.com_Micron-Technology-Inc.-MU-Drawdowns_117757ebf0c.webp?_i=AA 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 3023px) 100vw, 3023px\" \u002F>\u003Cfigcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">美光回撤情况 \u003Cstrong>(\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fmarkets?fid=1&?ref=tikrblog\">TIKR\u003C\u002Fa>)\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Ffigcaption>\u003C\u002Ffigure>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\">\u003C\u002Fa>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\">\u003C\u002Fa>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">查看美光股票的历史和前瞻性预测（免费！） >>>\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Ch2 id=\"h-the-quarter-was-extraordinary-which-is-exactly-why-the-bar-is-so-high\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cstrong>季度业绩非同寻常，这也正是市场预期如此之高的原因\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2026财年第三季度打破了公司自身的参照系：\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>营收：$414.56亿美元\u003C\u002Fstrong>，同比增长346%，超出$358.2亿美元的普遍预期\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>非GAAP每股收益：$25.11\u003C\u002Fstrong>，预期为$20.71，环比增长106%\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>毛利率：84.9%\u003C\u002Fstrong>，环比提升10个百分点，创公司纪录\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fwhat-is-a-good-operating-margin-definition-formula\">\u003Cstrong>营业利润率\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fa>\u003Cstrong>：81.2%\u003C\u002Fstrong>，同比增长54个百分点\u003C\u002Fli>\n\u003C\u002Ful>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">首席财务官Mark Murphy指出，$176亿美元的季度营收环比增长是公司历史上最大的，超过了上一季度$102亿美元的纪录。美光期末拥有$302亿美元现金和$244亿美元净现金余额。股价在6月24日财报发布后上涨了15.74%，管理层对2026财年第四季度的指引是营收约$500亿美元，毛利率约86%，每股收益$31。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">市场现在已经看到了这个指引。股价仍比高点低27.9%。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">这不是对季度业绩的怀疑。没有人质疑这个季度。这是对之后年份的怀疑，因为346%的增长率使得每一个后续比较都变得残酷。TIKR的共识预期是，营收在2027财年将达到约$2,340亿美元，然后在2028财年达到约$2,590亿美元，接着在2029财年达到约$2,690亿美元，之后在2030财年下降至约$2,400亿美元。这意味着增长率约为80%，然后约为11%，然后低于4%，最后下降约11%。华尔街的模型并非预测公司永久摆脱周期，而是预测一个在2029财年达到异常高点的周期。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Ch2 id=\"h-sixteen-contracts-and-22-billion-in-deposits-are-real-the-coverage-is-still-building\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u003Cstrong>16份合同和$220亿美元定金是真实的。覆盖范围仍在扩大\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">美光对周期性指控的回应是其战略客户协议，即\"照付不议\"合同，将客户绑定在约五年内的特定采购量上。公司已签署了16份此类协议，涉及四家非常大的客户、三家中等规模的客户以及较小的汽车行业客户。公司预计将获得$220亿美元的现金定金及相关承诺，其中约$180亿美元为现金，约$40亿美元为信用证。这16份协议中的14份，在剩余期限内带来了总计约$1,000亿美元的最低营收。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">最重要的数字不是$1,000亿。而是25%。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">在被瑞银分析师Timothy Arcuri追问如何将这$1,000亿美元与远高于此的run-rate（年化运行率）相协调时，Mehrotra直言不讳：\"我们大约20%的DRAM和大约30%的NAND产量目前被这些SCA覆盖。因此，这大约占我们预计在这些协议期限内营收的25%。\"\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">四分之一的营收，今天已被合同锁定并设定了底价。其余部分在2028年仍将按市场价定价。管理层设定的目标是更好的：当所有计划中的协议都执行后，预计约40%的营收将处于固定价格或价格上限之下，并且公司总营收中约一半或更多将处于SCA的覆盖之下。这些是目标，而非已签署的协议。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">现有的保护确实很强。Mehrotra表示，底价带来的毛利率\"远高于我们在过去任何周期中的季度峰值毛利率\"。至于这个底价具体是多少，美光没有透露。电话会议上的分析师两次追问，将之前的峰值定位在60%出头，并试探每GB的价格范围，Mehrotra两次都拒绝回答。所以，诚实的版本是这样的：底价高于一个管理层从未确认的历史峰值，且仅覆盖四分之一的营收。这比过去在周期底部亏损的业务有了实质性的改善。但它还不是一份完全合同化的业务。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Murphy还确认，定金是无限制现金，计入融资现金流，从不影响自由现金流，并将在协议期限的后半段返还给客户。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cfigure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\">\u003Cimg width=\"660\" height=\"418\" data-public-id=\"images\u002FMU-Street-Targets_117758e37a6\u002FMU-Street-Targets_117758e37a6.webp\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_660,h_418,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784226290\u002Fimages\u002FMU-Street-Targets_117758e37a6\u002FMU-Street-Targets_117758e37a6.webp?_i=AA\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-post-117695 wp-image-117758\" data-format=\"webp\" data-transformations=\"f_webp,q_auto\" data-version=\"1784226290\" data-seo=\"1\" srcset=\"https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784226290\u002Fimages\u002FMU-Street-Targets_117758e37a6\u002FMU-Street-Targets_117758e37a6.webp?_i=AA 660w, https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_300,h_190,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784226290\u002Fimages\u002FMU-Street-Targets_117758e37a6\u002FMU-Street-Targets_117758e37a6.webp?_i=AA 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 660px) 100vw, 660px\" \u002F>\u003Cfigcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">美光华尔街目标价 \u003Cstrong>(\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fmarkets?fid=1&?ref=tikrblog\">TIKR\u003C\u002Fa>)\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Ffigcaption>\u003C\u002Ffigure>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\">查看美光在TIKR中与其同行的表现对比（免费！） >>>\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Ch2 id=\"h-tikr-advanced-model-analysis\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u003Cstrong>TIKR高级模型分析\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\n\n\n\u003Cul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>当前价格：\u003C\u002Fstrong> $904.28\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>目标价（中值）：\u003C\u002Fstrong> ~$935（于2030年8月31日实现）\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>潜在总回报：\u003C\u002Fstrong> ~3%\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>年化内部收益率：\u003C\u002Fstrong> ~1% \u002F 年\u003C\u002Fli>\n\u003C\u002Ful>\n\n\n\n\u003Cfigure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\">\u003Cimg width=\"4968\" height=\"4084\" data-public-id=\"images\u002FMU_valuation_model-3_11775998e03\u002FMU_valuation_model-3_11775998e03.webp\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_4968,h_4084,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784226311\u002Fimages\u002FMU_valuation_model-3_11775998e03\u002FMU_valuation_model-3_11775998e03.webp?_i=AA\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-post-117695 wp-image-117759\" data-format=\"webp\" data-transformations=\"f_webp,q_auto\" data-version=\"1784226311\" data-seo=\"1\" srcset=\"https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784226311\u002Fimages\u002FMU_valuation_model-3_11775998e03\u002FMU_valuation_model-3_11775998e03.webp?_i=AA 4968w, https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_1200,h_986,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784226311\u002Fimages\u002FMU_valuation_model-3_11775998e03\u002FMU_valuation_model-3_11775998e03.webp?_i=AA 1200w, https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_1400,h_1151,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784226311\u002Fimages\u002FMU_valuation_model-3_11775998e03\u002FMU_valuation_model-3_11775998e03.webp?_i=AA 1400w, https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_300,h_247,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784226311\u002Fimages\u002FMU_valuation_model-3_11775998e03\u002FMU_valuation_model-3_11775998e03.webp?_i=AA 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 4968px) 100vw, 4968px\" \u002F>\u003Cfigcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">美光高级估值模型 \u003Cstrong>(\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fmarkets?fid=1&?ref=tikrblog\">TIKR\u003C\u002Fa>)\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Ffigcaption>\u003C\u002Ffigure>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\">查看分析师对美光股票的增长预测和价格目标（免费！） >>>\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">这里使用的是中值情景，其假设已经包含了大多数多头会认为是激进的：营收\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fcompound-annual-growth-rate-cagr-formula-what-it-means\">复合年增长率\u003C\u002Fa>约为14%，\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.tikr.com\u002Fblog\u002Fwhat-is-a-good-net-margin-definition-formula\">净利润率\u003C\u002Fa>约为67%，大约是美光15.1%的五年历史平均水平的四倍半。即使接受所有这些假设，到2030年8月31日，你得到的目标价约为$935。总回报率约为3%，每年约1%，持续四年。这就是当你进行计算而不是断言时，\"已定价\"的样子。将同一模型的时间跨度延长至2034年8月31日，中值情景会急剧转为负值，这是模型在说它预期周期最终会到来。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">支撑营收线的两个驱动因素是：数据中心DRAM和NAND（其年化运行率已超过$1,000亿美元），以及HBM的产能爬坡，其中HBM4 12-high的进展速度是HBM3E 12-high的两倍，并且已出货超过$10亿美元。利润率的驱动因素是产品组合而非价格，因为美光将存储位元转向更高价值的产品。主要风险是，约占营收75%的未签署协议部分，可能会在新增供应浪潮中重新定价；Mehrotra预计行业供应将在2028年逐步改善。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">上行空间：如果利润率在下一个低谷期仍能保持在当前水平附近，那么每个情景中都已包含的估值倍数压缩就会瓦解，KeyBanc的$1,750目标价将显得有先见之明。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">下行风险：如果约67%的利润率假设滑落至50%区间，这个目标价将从持平变为明显为负。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">值得注意的是模型不是什么。它的目标价是4.1年后的实现价；华尔街的$1,489.57是12个月的平均目标价，而这个平均值涵盖了42个估计值，范围从$361.00到$2,200.00。这不是对同一个问题的两个判断。它们是两个不同的问题，而且两者都可能出错。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Ch2 id=\"h-conclusion\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u003Cstrong>结论\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">关注2026财年第四季度的毛利率。美光给出的指引是约86%，Murphy自己也预先宣布了其中的关键点：这一展望\"反映了价格上涨速度的显著放缓。\" 公司是在告诉你，价格带来的顺风因素正在结束。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">如果达到86%且产品组合优化，那么产量（而非价格）支撑了季度业绩，这将是唯一能验证华尔街目标价并打破模型利润率压缩假设的证据。如果毛利率显著低于预期，那么中值情景所依赖的约67%的净利润率在第一年就开始失效，约$935的目标价将从持平情景变为乐观情景。美光上一次公布第四财季财报是在9月23日，因此预计本次财报将在9月下旬发布，请查看公司投资者关系日历以确认具体日期。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">周三的市场表现告诉你，市场对存储风险的胃口很小，这一点你早已知道。九月将告诉你利润率是否真实。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>查看亿万富翁投资者正在买入哪些股票，以便您能通过TIKR跟随聪明钱。\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Ch2 id=\"h-should-you-invest-in-micron\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">你应该投资美光吗？\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">真正了解的唯一方法是亲自查看数据。TIKR为您免费提供专业分析师用来回答这个问题的机构级财务数据。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">打开\u003Cstrong>美光\u003C\u002Fstrong>，您将看到多年的历史财务数据、华尔街分析师对未来几个季度营收和收益的预期、估值倍数随时间的变化情况，以及价格目标是呈上升还是下降趋势。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">您可以建立一个免费的观察列表来跟踪\u003Cstrong>\u003Cstrong>美光\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fstrong>以及您关注的所有其他股票。无需信用卡。只需您做决定所需的数据。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>在TIKR上免费分析美光 →\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Ch2 id=\"h-looking-for-new-opportunities\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">寻找新机会？\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\n\n\n\u003Cul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\u003Cli>查看\u003Cstrong>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\">亿万富翁投资者正在买入的股票\u003C\u002Fa> \u003C\u002Fstrong>，以便跟随聪明钱。\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>使用TIKR一体化、易于使用的平台，\u003Cstrong>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\">在短短5分钟内分析股票\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fstrong>。\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>您翻开的石头越多……发现的机会就越多。\u003Cstrong>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fapp.tikr.com\u002Fregister?ref=tikrblog\">使用TIKR搜索10万+全球股票、全球顶级投资者持仓等。\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fli>\n\u003C\u002Ful>\n\n\n\n\u003Ch2 id=\"h-disclaimer\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u003Cstrong>免责声明：\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cem>请注意，TIKR上的文章并非TIKR或我们的内容团队提供的投资或财务建议，也不是买入或卖出任何股票的建议。我们根据TIKR Terminal的投资数据和分析师预测来创建内容。我们的分析可能未包含近期公司新闻或重要更新。TIKR对提及的任何股票均无持仓。感谢阅读，祝您投资愉快！\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fp>",1914,"zh","\u002Fblog\u002Fmicron-stock-fell-8-in-a-day-heres-where-the-stock-could-go-in-2026","micron-stock-fell-8-in-a-day-heres-where-the-stock-could-go-in-2026","images\u002F10-5_117724f706b\u002F10-5_117724f706b","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784224545\u002Fimages\u002F10-5_117724f706b\u002F10-5_117724f706b.png?_i=AA",{"altText":165,"imageCredit":166},"Micron Stock Fell 8% in a Day. Here’s Where the Stock Could Go in 2026","@Ivan Chumak from Pexels via Canva, @Jakub Pabis from Pexels via Canva",{"name":168,"slug":169,"role":170,"roleTitle":171,"biography":171,"avatar":171,"socialMediaLinks":172},"Wiltone Asuncion","wiltonetikr","author","",[],{"name":174,"slug":175,"role":176,"roleTitle":171,"biography":171,"avatar":171,"socialMediaLinks":177},"David Hanson","davidtikr","editor",[],[179],{"name":180,"slug":181,"uri":182,"description":171,"postsCount":183},"股票评论","reviews","\u002Fblog\u002Fcategory\u002Freviews",0,[],{"title":165,"metaDesc":186,"opengraphDescription":186,"twitterTitle":165,"twitterDescription":186},"Micron fell 8% on July 15, but so did the entire memory complex, and SanDisk fell harder. The day before, KeyBanc set a Street-high $1,750 target. TIKR’s mid-case model says fair value is around $935. The gap between those two numbers is the only thing worth arguing about.",{"title":165,"description":188,"twitterTitle":165,"twitterDescription":188,"author":168,"articlePublisher":189,"articlePublishedTime":154,"articleModifiedTime":155,"twitterLabel1":190,"twitterData1":191,"ogTitle":165,"ogDescription":188,"ogUrl":160,"ogImage":163,"ogImageWidth":192,"ogImageHeight":193,"ogImageSecureUrl":163,"ogImageAlt":165,"twitterImage":163},"Micron fell 8% on July 15, but so did the entire memory complex, and SanDisk fell harder. The day before, KeyBanc set a Street-high $1,750 target. TIKR’s mid-case model says fair value is around $935. The gap between those two numbers is the only thing worth arguing about.","TIKR.com","预计阅读时间","2 minutes",1200,630,[195,212,229,244,259],{"id":183,"title":196,"date":197,"excerpt":198,"wordCount":199,"uri":200,"slug":201,"cloudinaryAssetId":202,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":203,"featuredImageMetadata":204,"author":205,"categories":209,"relatedPosts":211},"联合健康财报后盘中飙升10%。以下是UNH股票在2026年的可能走向","2026-07-17 00:04:35","联合健康集团(UnitedHealth)股价盘中一度飙升10%，此前公布的业绩超出预期，管理层上调了2026年展望。以下是医疗保险业务改善和Optum部门执行力增强如何强化了其转型前景的原因。",1007,"\u002Fblog\u002Funitedhealth-surged-10-intraday-after-earnings-heres-where-unh-stock-could-head-in-2026","unitedhealth-surged-10-intraday-after-earnings-heres-where-unh-stock-could-head-in-2026","images\u002F@jittawit21-from-jittawit21-via-Canva-@aukidphumsirichat-via-Canva\u002F@jittawit21-from-jittawit21-via-Canva-@aukidphumsirichat-via-Canva","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784246277\u002Fimages\u002F@jittawit21-from-jittawit21-via-Canva-@aukidphumsirichat-via-Canva\u002F@jittawit21-from-jittawit21-via-Canva-@aukidphumsirichat-via-Canva.png?_i=AA",{"altText":196},{"name":206,"slug":207,"role":170,"roleTitle":171,"biography":171,"avatar":171,"socialMediaLinks":208},"Nikko Henson","nikkotikr",[],[210],{"name":180,"slug":181,"uri":182,"description":171,"postsCount":183},[],{"id":183,"title":213,"date":214,"excerpt":215,"wordCount":216,"uri":217,"slug":218,"cloudinaryAssetId":219,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":220,"featuredImageMetadata":221,"author":222,"categories":226,"relatedPosts":228},"雪佛龙股价已回调14%，同时每季度向股东返还60亿美元：现在是买入时机吗？","2026-07-16 19:46:00","Advanced Micro Devices已悄然成为AI基础设施建设的第二引擎，其财务数据正开始印证这一点。",921,"\u002Fblog\u002Fchevron-stock-has-pulled-back-14-while-returning-6-billion-a-quarter-to-shareholders-is-now-the-time-to-buy","chevron-stock-has-pulled-back-14-while-returning-6-billion-a-quarter-to-shareholders-is-now-the-time-to-buy","images\u002FChevron-Featured-1\u002FChevron-Featured-1","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784220320\u002Fimages\u002FChevron-Featured-1\u002FChevron-Featured-1.png?_i=AA",{"altText":213},{"name":223,"slug":224,"role":170,"roleTitle":171,"biography":171,"avatar":171,"socialMediaLinks":225},"David Beren","davidberentikr",[],[227],{"name":180,"slug":181,"uri":182,"description":171,"postsCount":183},[],{"id":183,"title":230,"date":231,"excerpt":232,"wordCount":233,"uri":234,"slug":235,"cloudinaryAssetId":236,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":237,"featuredImageMetadata":238,"author":239,"categories":241,"relatedPosts":243},"强生公司业绩超预期并上调业绩指引，股价却收跌近3%","2026-07-16 19:20:00","强生公司营收和盈利均超出预期，并上调全年业绩指引，上调幅度超过当季超预期部分。该股开盘走高，随后收跌2.69%。造成下跌的主要原因是其心脏泵业务，该业务季度销售额为4.4亿美元，而公司总季度销售额为253亿美元。",1830,"\u002Fblog\u002Fjohnson-johnson-beat-raised-guidance-and-still-closed-down-nearly-3","johnson-johnson-beat-raised-guidance-and-still-closed-down-nearly-3","images\u002F9-5_11772367222\u002F9-5_11772367222","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784224540\u002Fimages\u002F9-5_11772367222\u002F9-5_11772367222.png?_i=AA",{"altText":230},{"name":168,"slug":169,"role":170,"roleTitle":171,"biography":171,"avatar":171,"socialMediaLinks":240},[],[242],{"name":180,"slug":181,"uri":182,"description":171,"postsCount":183},[],{"id":183,"title":245,"date":246,"excerpt":247,"wordCount":248,"uri":249,"slug":250,"cloudinaryAssetId":251,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":252,"featuredImageMetadata":253,"author":254,"categories":256,"relatedPosts":258},"SanDisk股价在存储芯片抛售潮中下跌8%。尽管如此，华尔街的目标价仍上调至2,144美元。","2026-07-16 19:10:00","SanDisk在7月15日下跌8.12%，此次抛售波及了市场上所有存储类股票。在同一时期，华尔街的平均目标价已升至2,144.14美元。公司已向投资者披露了其供应协议的价值。",1690,"\u002Fblog\u002Fsandisk-stock-fell-8-in-a-memory-selloff-the-streets-target-went-up-to-2144-anyway","sandisk-stock-fell-8-in-a-memory-selloff-the-streets-target-went-up-to-2144-anyway","images\u002F8-5_117722301c4\u002F8-5_117722301c4","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784224535\u002Fimages\u002F8-5_117722301c4\u002F8-5_117722301c4.png?_i=AA",{"altText":245},{"name":168,"slug":169,"role":170,"roleTitle":171,"biography":171,"avatar":171,"socialMediaLinks":255},[],[257],{"name":180,"slug":181,"uri":182,"description":171,"postsCount":183},[],{"id":183,"title":260,"date":261,"excerpt":262,"wordCount":263,"uri":264,"slug":265,"cloudinaryAssetId":266,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":267,"featuredImageMetadata":268,"author":269,"categories":271,"relatedPosts":273},"希捷订单已覆盖未来五个季度。股价仍下跌24%","2026-07-16 19:00:00","希捷科技首席财务官表示，公司订单已锁定未来四至五个季度的产品组合、出货量与定价。然而其股价仍较6月历史高点下跌24%。7月28日，这两项陈述中必有一项将被证伪。",1173,"\u002Fblog\u002Fseagate-order-book-covers-5-quarters-the-stock-is-down-24-anyway","seagate-order-book-covers-5-quarters-the-stock-is-down-24-anyway","images\u002F7-5_117721170ab\u002F7-5_117721170ab","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784224528\u002Fimages\u002F7-5_117721170ab\u002F7-5_117721170ab.png?_i=AA",{"altText":260},{"name":168,"slug":169,"role":170,"roleTitle":171,"biography":171,"avatar":171,"socialMediaLinks":270},[],[272],{"name":180,"slug":181,"uri":182,"description":171,"postsCount":183},[],[275,293,310,325,340,355,373,388,403,418,433,453,468,483,498,513,531],{"id":183,"title":276,"date":277,"excerpt":278,"wordCount":279,"uri":280,"slug":281,"cloudinaryAssetId":282,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":283,"featuredImageMetadata":284,"author":285,"categories":287,"relatedPosts":292},"巴菲特称投资Alphabet（GOOGL）是他的主意。但他的警告更重要","2026-07-16 18:20:00","沃伦·巴菲特证实，他个人亲自启动了伯克希尔对Alphabet的310亿美元持仓。在同一采访中，他将人工智能领域的数千亿美元支出称为谷歌及其竞争对手面临的\"真正问题\"。",1885,"\u002Fblog\u002Fbuffett-says-the-alphabet-googl-bet-was-his-idea-his-warning-matters-more","buffett-says-the-alphabet-googl-bet-was-his-idea-his-warning-matters-more","images\u002F3-5_117717e0e66\u002F3-5_117717e0e66","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784224511\u002Fimages\u002F3-5_117717e0e66\u002F3-5_117717e0e66.png?_i=AA",{"altText":276},{"name":168,"slug":169,"role":170,"roleTitle":171,"biography":171,"avatar":171,"socialMediaLinks":286},[],[288],{"name":289,"slug":290,"uri":291,"description":171,"postsCount":183},"一般投资","general-investing","\u002Fblog\u002Fcategory\u002Fgeneral-investing",[],{"id":183,"title":294,"date":295,"excerpt":296,"wordCount":297,"uri":298,"slug":299,"cloudinaryAssetId":300,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":301,"featuredImageMetadata":302,"author":303,"categories":307,"relatedPosts":309},"瑞穗下调Circle股票评级，因开放美元联盟威胁稳定币商业模式","2026-07-15 15:23:47","瑞穗因开放美元竞争风险下调Circle股票评级，目标价降至50美元，Baird亦调降其盈利预期。",750,"\u002Fblog\u002Fmizuho-downgrades-circle-nyse-crcl-stock-open-usd-consortium-threatens-stablecoin-business-model","mizuho-downgrades-circle-nyse-crcl-stock-open-usd-consortium-threatens-stablecoin-business-model","images\u002FCRCL-stock-1_11732767401\u002FCRCL-stock-1_11732767401","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784101786\u002Fimages\u002FCRCL-stock-1_11732767401\u002FCRCL-stock-1_11732767401.png?_i=AA",{"altText":294},{"name":304,"slug":305,"role":170,"roleTitle":171,"biography":171,"avatar":171,"socialMediaLinks":306},"Aditya 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15:21:37","花旗集团股价下跌，尽管季度营收创下纪录，但投资者对其维持不变的业绩展望和不断上升的开支表示质疑。",746,"\u002Fblog\u002Fcitigroup-nyse-stock-falls-despite-posting-best-quarterly-revenue-in-a-decade","citigroup-nyse-stock-falls-despite-posting-best-quarterly-revenue-in-a-decade","images\u002FC-stock\u002FC-stock","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784107090\u002Fimages\u002FC-stock\u002FC-stock.png?_i=AA",{"altText":311},{"name":304,"slug":305,"role":170,"roleTitle":171,"biography":171,"avatar":171,"socialMediaLinks":321},[],[323],{"name":289,"slug":290,"uri":291,"description":171,"postsCount":183},[],{"id":183,"title":326,"date":327,"excerpt":328,"wordCount":329,"uri":330,"slug":331,"cloudinaryAssetId":332,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":333,"featuredImageMetadata":334,"author":335,"categories":337,"relatedPosts":339},"Meta面临员工诉讼，指控其在近期裁员中歧视性使用人工智能","2026-07-15 15:16:44","Meta面临一项诉讼，指控其人工智能系统在2026年5月的裁员中歧视了正在休假的员工。",781,"\u002Fblog\u002Fmeta-nasdaq-stock-employee-lawsuit-discriminatory-ai-use-layoffs","meta-nasdaq-stock-employee-lawsuit-discriminatory-ai-use-layoffs","images\u002FMETA-stock-3_1174008286d\u002FMETA-stock-3_1174008286d","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784120055\u002Fimages\u002FMETA-stock-3_1174008286d\u002FMETA-stock-3_1174008286d.png?_i=AA",{"altText":326},{"name":304,"slug":305,"role":170,"roleTitle":171,"biography":171,"avatar":171,"socialMediaLinks":336},[],[338],{"name":289,"slug":290,"uri":291,"description":171,"postsCount":183},[],{"id":183,"title":341,"date":342,"excerpt":343,"wordCount":344,"uri":345,"slug":346,"cloudinaryAssetId":347,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":348,"featuredImageMetadata":349,"author":350,"categories":352,"relatedPosts":354},"美联航推出全新高端经济舱选项，确保中间座位无人占用","2026-07-15 15:12:39","联合航空股票成为焦点，该公司推出配备保证空置中间座位的新型高端舱位。",760,"\u002Fblog\u002Funited-airlines-nasdaq-ual-stock-new-premium-economy-option","united-airlines-nasdaq-ual-stock-new-premium-economy-option","images\u002FUAL-stock-1_117414413ba\u002FUAL-stock-1_117414413ba","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784121218\u002Fimages\u002FUAL-stock-1_117414413ba\u002FUAL-stock-1_117414413ba.png?_i=AA",{"altText":341},{"name":304,"slug":305,"role":170,"roleTitle":171,"biography":171,"avatar":171,"socialMediaLinks":351},[],[353],{"name":289,"slug":290,"uri":291,"description":171,"postsCount":183},[],{"id":183,"title":356,"date":357,"excerpt":358,"wordCount":359,"uri":360,"slug":361,"cloudinaryAssetId":362,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":363,"featuredImageMetadata":364,"author":365,"categories":367,"relatedPosts":372},"贝莱德股价上涨7%，此前第二季度业绩超出华尔街预期","2026-07-16 14:32:10","贝莱德股票在第二季度财报超出预期后飙升7%，这主要得益于创纪录的管理资产规模（AUM）和强劲的ETF资金流入。",793,"\u002Fblog\u002Fblackrock-nyse-shares-rally-7-after-q2-earnings-beat-wall-street-estimates","blackrock-nyse-shares-rally-7-after-q2-earnings-beat-wall-street-estimates","images\u002FBLK-stock_117550e6ec2\u002FBLK-stock_117550e6ec2","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784194680\u002Fimages\u002FBLK-stock_117550e6ec2\u002FBLK-stock_117550e6ec2.png?_i=AA",{"altText":356},{"name":304,"slug":305,"role":170,"roleTitle":171,"biography":171,"avatar":171,"socialMediaLinks":366},[],[368],{"name":369,"slug":370,"uri":371,"description":171,"postsCount":183},"收益更新","earnings-updates","\u002Fblog\u002Fcategory\u002Fearnings-updates",[],{"id":183,"title":374,"date":375,"excerpt":376,"wordCount":377,"uri":378,"slug":379,"cloudinaryAssetId":380,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":381,"featuredImageMetadata":382,"author":383,"categories":385,"relatedPosts":387},"Elevance Health股价大跌，尽管营收超预期并上调全年业绩指引","2026-07-16 14:30:42","Elevance Health股价下跌7-9%，尽管其第二季度业绩超出预期并上调了业绩指引，但利润率同比出现下滑。",789,"\u002Fblog\u002Felevance-health-nyse-elv-stock-tumbles-revenue-beat-and-raised-guidance","elevance-health-nyse-elv-stock-tumbles-revenue-beat-and-raised-guidance","images\u002FELV-stock_117564c746c\u002FELV-stock_117564c746c","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784197227\u002Fimages\u002FELV-stock_117564c746c\u002FELV-stock_117564c746c.png?_i=AA",{"altText":374},{"name":304,"slug":305,"role":170,"roleTitle":171,"biography":171,"avatar":171,"socialMediaLinks":384},[],[386],{"name":369,"slug":370,"uri":371,"description":171,"postsCount":183},[],{"id":183,"title":389,"date":390,"excerpt":391,"wordCount":392,"uri":393,"slug":394,"cloudinaryAssetId":395,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":396,"featuredImageMetadata":397,"author":398,"categories":400,"relatedPosts":402},"高盛股价上涨，此前第二季度业绩远超华尔街预期","2026-07-15 15:20:38","高盛股价在第二季度财报公布后上涨，其业绩远超预期，主要得益于创纪录的交易和投资银行业务收入。",778,"\u002Fblog\u002Fgoldman-sachs-nyse-stock-climbs-after-q2-earnings-smash-wall-street-expectations","goldman-sachs-nyse-stock-climbs-after-q2-earnings-smash-wall-street-expectations","images\u002FGS-stock_11735359ce6\u002FGS-stock_11735359ce6","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784114249\u002Fimages\u002FGS-stock_11735359ce6\u002FGS-stock_11735359ce6.png?_i=AA",{"altText":389},{"name":304,"slug":305,"role":170,"roleTitle":171,"biography":171,"avatar":171,"socialMediaLinks":399},[],[401],{"name":369,"slug":370,"uri":371,"description":171,"postsCount":183},[],{"id":183,"title":404,"date":405,"excerpt":406,"wordCount":407,"uri":408,"slug":409,"cloudinaryAssetId":410,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":411,"featuredImageMetadata":412,"author":413,"categories":415,"relatedPosts":417},"美国银行股价持平，尽管Q2营收和盈利超出预期","2026-07-15 15:19:25","美国银行股价在第二季度业绩超出预期后仍保持平稳，投资者关注点转向下半年业绩指引及可比数据。",851,"\u002Fblog\u002Fbank-of-america-nyse-bac-stock-flatlines-despite-beating-q2-estimates","bank-of-america-nyse-bac-stock-flatlines-despite-beating-q2-estimates","images\u002FBAC-stock-1\u002FBAC-stock-1","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784115855\u002Fimages\u002FBAC-stock-1\u002FBAC-stock-1.png?_i=AA",{"altText":404},{"name":304,"slug":305,"role":170,"roleTitle":171,"biography":171,"avatar":171,"socialMediaLinks":414},[],[416],{"name":369,"slug":370,"uri":371,"description":171,"postsCount":183},[],{"id":183,"title":419,"date":420,"excerpt":421,"wordCount":422,"uri":423,"slug":424,"cloudinaryAssetId":425,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":426,"featuredImageMetadata":427,"author":428,"categories":430,"relatedPosts":432},"ASML股价上涨，此前第二季度销售额和利润率超出预期","2026-07-15 15:17:30","ASML股价在第二季度销售额和利润率超出预期后上涨，其装机基数优势与人工智能需求共同推动公司上调业绩展望。",811,"\u002Fblog\u002Fasml-stock-rises-after-q2-sales-and-margins-beat-guidance","asml-stock-rises-after-q2-sales-and-margins-beat-guidance","images\u002FASML-tock\u002FASML-tock","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784118513\u002Fimages\u002FASML-tock\u002FASML-tock.png?_i=AA",{"altText":419},{"name":304,"slug":305,"role":170,"roleTitle":171,"biography":171,"avatar":171,"socialMediaLinks":429},[],[431],{"name":369,"slug":370,"uri":371,"description":171,"postsCount":183},[],{"id":183,"title":434,"date":435,"excerpt":436,"wordCount":437,"uri":438,"slug":439,"cloudinaryAssetId":440,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":441,"featuredImageMetadata":442,"author":443,"categories":447,"relatedPosts":452},"CVS股票分析：高股息收益率是否值得承担转型风险？","2026-07-16 13:00:00","CVS Health的派息率降至29%，而其季度股息连续八个季度维持在每股0.67美元。股息率则下降至2.47%。",1060,"\u002Fblog\u002Fcvs-stock-analysis-is-the-high-yield-worth-the-turnaround-risk","cvs-stock-analysis-is-the-high-yield-worth-the-turnaround-risk","images\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1058\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1058","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_360,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784199539\u002Fimages\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1058\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1058.png?_i=AA",{"altText":434},{"name":444,"slug":445,"role":170,"roleTitle":171,"biography":171,"avatar":171,"socialMediaLinks":446},"Gian 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12:00:00","思科的派息率已从两年前的74%降至49%，尽管其每股股息已升至0.42美元。",1191,"\u002Fblog\u002Fcsco-stock-review-is-cisco-systems-the-safest-tech-value-play","csco-stock-review-is-cisco-systems-the-safest-tech-value-play","images\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1057\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1057","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_360,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784195959\u002Fimages\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1057\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1057.png?_i=AA",{"altText":454},{"name":444,"slug":445,"role":170,"roleTitle":171,"biography":171,"avatar":171,"socialMediaLinks":464},[],[466],{"name":449,"slug":450,"uri":451,"description":171,"postsCount":183},[],{"id":183,"title":469,"date":470,"excerpt":471,"wordCount":472,"uri":473,"slug":474,"cloudinaryAssetId":475,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":476,"featuredImageMetadata":477,"author":478,"categories":480,"relatedPosts":482},"TXN股息：最适合长期派息增长的芯片股","2026-07-16 11:00:00","德州仪器过去12个月的自由现金流达到44亿美元，是去年17亿美元的两倍多。股息也随之增加。",1470,"\u002Fblog\u002Ftxn-dividend-the-best-long-lifecycle-chip-stock-for-payout-growth","txn-dividend-the-best-long-lifecycle-chip-stock-for-payout-growth","images\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1056\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1056","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_360,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784194373\u002Fimages\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1056\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1056.png?_i=AA",{"altText":469},{"name":444,"slug":445,"role":170,"roleTitle":171,"biography":171,"avatar":171,"socialMediaLinks":479},[],[481],{"name":449,"slug":450,"uri":451,"description":171,"postsCount":183},[],{"id":183,"title":484,"date":485,"excerpt":486,"wordCount":487,"uri":488,"slug":489,"cloudinaryAssetId":490,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":491,"featuredImageMetadata":492,"author":493,"categories":495,"relatedPosts":497},"联合太平洋 (UNP) 股票：买入这家铁路股息股背后的护城河","2026-07-16 10:00:00","联合太平洋公司的派息率目前为48%，调整后每股收益增长了9%。其股息具备大多数股票难以企及的增长空间。",1155,"\u002Fblog\u002Funion-pacific-unp-stock-buying-the-moat-behind-this-rail-dividend","union-pacific-unp-stock-buying-the-moat-behind-this-rail-dividend","images\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1055\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1055","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_360,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784183265\u002Fimages\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1055\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1055.png?_i=AA",{"altText":484},{"name":444,"slug":445,"role":170,"roleTitle":171,"biography":171,"avatar":171,"socialMediaLinks":494},[],[496],{"name":449,"slug":450,"uri":451,"description":171,"postsCount":183},[],{"id":183,"title":499,"date":500,"excerpt":501,"wordCount":502,"uri":503,"slug":504,"cloudinaryAssetId":505,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":506,"featuredImageMetadata":507,"author":508,"categories":510,"relatedPosts":512},"NUE股票股息收益率：为何纽柯公司提供独特的周期性保护","2026-07-16 09:00:00","纽柯钢铁的派息率在创纪录的700万吨季度后降至17%，股息收益率维持在1.0%。以下是股息数据揭示的情况。",1202,"\u002Fblog\u002Fnue-stock-dividend-yield-why-nucor-offers-unique-cyclical-protection","nue-stock-dividend-yield-why-nucor-offers-unique-cyclical-protection","images\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1054\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1054","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_360,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1784181389\u002Fimages\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1054\u002FFEATURED-IMAGE-MAKER-1054.png?_i=AA",{"altText":499},{"name":444,"slug":445,"role":170,"roleTitle":171,"biography":171,"avatar":171,"socialMediaLinks":509},[],[511],{"name":449,"slug":450,"uri":451,"description":171,"postsCount":183},[],{"id":183,"title":514,"date":515,"excerpt":516,"wordCount":517,"uri":518,"slug":519,"cloudinaryAssetId":520,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":521,"featuredImageMetadata":522,"author":523,"categories":525,"relatedPosts":530},"英特尔的转型终于成真，还是投资者应避开的估值陷阱？","2026-07-14 13:51:00","英特尔正全力追求真正的复苏，拆分设计与晶圆代工业务。以下是判断INTC股票是反转机遇还是投资陷阱的关键要点。",1222,"\u002Fblog\u002Fintel-stock-turnaround-real-or-value-trap-investors","intel-stock-turnaround-real-or-value-trap-investors","images\u002FAVGO-stock-1_11637505260\u002FAVGO-stock-1_11637505260","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1783577235\u002Fimages\u002FAVGO-stock-1_11637505260\u002FAVGO-stock-1_11637505260.png?_i=AA",{"altText":514},{"name":304,"slug":305,"role":170,"roleTitle":171,"biography":171,"avatar":171,"socialMediaLinks":524},[],[526],{"name":527,"slug":528,"uri":529,"description":171,"postsCount":183},"估价","valuation","\u002Fblog\u002Fcategory\u002Fvaluation",[],{"id":183,"title":532,"date":533,"excerpt":534,"wordCount":535,"uri":536,"slug":537,"cloudinaryAssetId":538,"featuredImageOriginalUrl":539,"featuredImageMetadata":540,"author":541,"categories":543,"relatedPosts":545},"过去一年下跌71%，Wix股票终于值得仔细审视了吗？","2026-07-13 13:50:00","WIX股价较峰值下跌69%，目前交易价格为47美元。到2028年能否达到81美元？以下是模型预测结果。",1181,"\u002Fblog\u002Fdown-71-from-its-peak-is-wix-nasdaq-stock-undervalued","down-71-from-its-peak-is-wix-nasdaq-stock-undervalued","images\u002FWix-stock_116481b2be8\u002FWix-stock_116481b2be8","https:\u002F\u002Fres.cloudinary.com\u002Ftikr\u002Fimages\u002Fw_600,h_400,c_scale\u002Ff_webp,q_auto\u002Fv1783598340\u002Fimages\u002FWix-stock_116481b2be8\u002FWix-stock_116481b2be8.png?_i=AA",{"altText":532},{"name":304,"slug":305,"role":170,"roleTitle":171,"biography":171,"avatar":171,"socialMediaLinks":542},[],[544],{"name":527,"slug":528,"uri":529,"description":171,"postsCount":183},[]]